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	<title>Comments on: Worries on Valuing &quot;Repackaged Debt&quot;</title>
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		<title>By: fidel</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2007/06/worries-on-valuing-repackaged-debt.html#comment-13123</link>
		<dc:creator>fidel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Aug 2008 09:38:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>no doubt that the facts given in the article are very relevent.&lt;a HREF=&quot;http://www.christiansdebtcounseling.com/&quot; REL=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt; Online Debt Counseling &lt;/a&gt; is help on your finger tips. It is one of the most relevant methods of getting out of loans and other liabilities. Experts will make a personal debt management program according to your needs.  &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;http://www.christiansdebtcounseling.com/</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>no doubt that the facts given in the article are very relevent.<a HREF="http://www.christiansdebtcounseling.com/" REL="nofollow"> Online Debt Counseling </a> is help on your finger tips. It is one of the most relevant methods of getting out of loans and other liabilities. Experts will make a personal debt management program according to your needs.  </p>
<p><a href="http://www.christiansdebtcounseling.com/" rel="nofollow">http://www.christiansdebtcounseling.com/</a></p>
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		<title>By: Yves Smith</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2007/06/worries-on-valuing-repackaged-debt.html#comment-164</link>
		<dc:creator>Yves Smith</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jul 2007 04:15:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Zar amd Jano,&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;In a way, what you say doesn&#039;t surprise me (Gillian Tett at the Financial Times has been quoting traders who have said, in less detail that you, that a lot of the buyers are unsophisticated) but it is still pretty horrifying.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;I haven&#039;t had direct experience in this market, but I worked actively with some derivatives players in the early days and witnessed the same phenomenon you saw:  investors buying products they didn&#039;t,  and couldn&#039;t possibly, understand.  If you don&#039;t have the higher math skills, you are certain to be taken.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;It reminds me of that old saying, &quot;If you are playing poker, and you don&#039;t know who the mark is, it must be you.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Zar amd Jano,</p>
<p>In a way, what you say doesn&#8217;t surprise me (Gillian Tett at the Financial Times has been quoting traders who have said, in less detail that you, that a lot of the buyers are unsophisticated) but it is still pretty horrifying.</p>
<p>I haven&#8217;t had direct experience in this market, but I worked actively with some derivatives players in the early days and witnessed the same phenomenon you saw:  investors buying products they didn&#8217;t,  and couldn&#8217;t possibly, understand.  If you don&#8217;t have the higher math skills, you are certain to be taken.</p>
<p>It reminds me of that old saying, &#8220;If you are playing poker, and you don&#8217;t know who the mark is, it must be you.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: Zar and Jano</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2007/06/worries-on-valuing-repackaged-debt.html#comment-163</link>
		<dc:creator>Zar and Jano</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jul 2007 03:56:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>From 04 to 06 I was involved in many Subprime, ABS, ABS CDO transactions and I am sure that most of the buyers (long/short) of these risks had no idea of what the hell they were getting into. I remember a Japanese investor that did not even understand English buying at the equity tranche of an ABS CDO,.... Keep in mind most ABS market participants are bond traders at best and have no idea of the derivative nature of the business.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;There is now an active market on Subprime Correlation risk (TABX), and I am more interested in seeing how much and how well people are engaging in this product. How do you determine the default correlation of a New Century pool of loans with a Countrywide pool of loans...And yes it&#039;s the same cash bond traders that are now using gaussian copula to trade these instruments.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From 04 to 06 I was involved in many Subprime, ABS, ABS CDO transactions and I am sure that most of the buyers (long/short) of these risks had no idea of what the hell they were getting into. I remember a Japanese investor that did not even understand English buying at the equity tranche of an ABS CDO,&#8230;. Keep in mind most ABS market participants are bond traders at best and have no idea of the derivative nature of the business.</p>
<p>There is now an active market on Subprime Correlation risk (TABX), and I am more interested in seeing how much and how well people are engaging in this product. How do you determine the default correlation of a New Century pool of loans with a Countrywide pool of loans&#8230;And yes it&#8217;s the same cash bond traders that are now using gaussian copula to trade these instruments.</p>
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		<title>By: Yves Smith</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2007/06/worries-on-valuing-repackaged-debt.html#comment-147</link>
		<dc:creator>Yves Smith</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Jun 2007 19:18:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Agreed, and that&#039;s an important point.  Sorry if I oversimplified.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Agreed, and that&#8217;s an important point.  Sorry if I oversimplified.</p>
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		<title>By: trotsky</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2007/06/worries-on-valuing-repackaged-debt.html#comment-146</link>
		<dc:creator>trotsky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Jun 2007 18:33:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I would suggest that it&#039;s not merely &#039;other illiquid markets&#039; that are in danger of a sudden &#039;repricing&#039;. many hedge funds hold both illiquid AND liquid assets such as publicly listed equities for example. when margin calls come, it is the liquid stuff that gets sold first. this is how you get the &#039;mass-correlation effect&#039;, when normally uncorrelated markets suddenly strongly correlate to the downside.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I would suggest that it&#8217;s not merely &#8216;other illiquid markets&#8217; that are in danger of a sudden &#8216;repricing&#8217;. many hedge funds hold both illiquid AND liquid assets such as publicly listed equities for example. when margin calls come, it is the liquid stuff that gets sold first. this is how you get the &#8216;mass-correlation effect&#8217;, when normally uncorrelated markets suddenly strongly correlate to the downside.</p>
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		<title>By: Yves Smith</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2007/06/worries-on-valuing-repackaged-debt.html#comment-140</link>
		<dc:creator>Yves Smith</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jun 2007 14:51:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>With all due respect, the buyers we are discussing  in this case are the investors in CDOs or other similarly complicated paper.  Investors such as pension funds (which have been buyers of CDOs) have a fiduciary responsibility, which means they have legal obligations (specifically, a duty of care and a &quot;prudent investor&quot; standard, which is a higher bar than the &quot;prudent man&quot; level). The people who make investments &lt;i&gt;are paid&lt;/i&gt; to evaluate what they are buying.  They are &lt;i&gt;liable&lt;/i&gt; for their actions.    This paper isn&#039;t being sold to individuals who are taking risks on their own behalf. (Hedge funds are also liable, but because only &quot;qualified investors&quot; who are assumed to be sophisticated by virtue of meeting certain income and net worth standards) can invest in hedge funds, they are understood to be taking a greater level of risk).&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The big fixed income investors (until hedge funds joined in the game) were pension funds and insurance companies (they are still big, mind you).  They have projected liabilities and they buy various assets to make sure they have the cash flow to meet their obligations. This isn&#039;t supposed to be a rock n&#039; roll, swing for the fences, bunch.  Historically, fixed income investors are a skeptical and dour lot.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Now in fairness, it is apparently the public pension funds that have bought this stuff, and they are more herdlike in their behavior.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Investors and lenders DID read documents, including indenture (those specify the terms of the covenants), and I guarantee you at at places like Pimco they still do.  You know what sections are boilerplate and hone in  on the ones that count.  And Moody&#039;s and Standard &amp; Poors publish detailed summaries of the key terms of all public debt deals.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;In this case (see post http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2007/06/bear-stearns-and-vagaries-of-models.html) many investors seemed to have derived false comfort from credit agency models (meant to measure credit quality ONLY) and used them as pricing models. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Your comment does apply to what is called &quot;active&quot; or &quot;managed&quot; CDOs, where a manager can and does trade assets within the CDO vehicle during the life of the deal.  It bears some resemblance to a mutual fund, except it lacks liquidity and transparency. It&#039;s complete &quot;trust me&quot; paper.    Why anyone would buy this stuff is still beyond me.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With all due respect, the buyers we are discussing  in this case are the investors in CDOs or other similarly complicated paper.  Investors such as pension funds (which have been buyers of CDOs) have a fiduciary responsibility, which means they have legal obligations (specifically, a duty of care and a &#8220;prudent investor&#8221; standard, which is a higher bar than the &#8220;prudent man&#8221; level). The people who make investments <i>are paid</i> to evaluate what they are buying.  They are <i>liable</i> for their actions.    This paper isn&#8217;t being sold to individuals who are taking risks on their own behalf. (Hedge funds are also liable, but because only &#8220;qualified investors&#8221; who are assumed to be sophisticated by virtue of meeting certain income and net worth standards) can invest in hedge funds, they are understood to be taking a greater level of risk).</p>
<p>The big fixed income investors (until hedge funds joined in the game) were pension funds and insurance companies (they are still big, mind you).  They have projected liabilities and they buy various assets to make sure they have the cash flow to meet their obligations. This isn&#8217;t supposed to be a rock n&#8217; roll, swing for the fences, bunch.  Historically, fixed income investors are a skeptical and dour lot.</p>
<p>Now in fairness, it is apparently the public pension funds that have bought this stuff, and they are more herdlike in their behavior.</p>
<p>Investors and lenders DID read documents, including indenture (those specify the terms of the covenants), and I guarantee you at at places like Pimco they still do.  You know what sections are boilerplate and hone in  on the ones that count.  And Moody&#8217;s and Standard &#038; Poors publish detailed summaries of the key terms of all public debt deals.</p>
<p>In this case (see post <a href="http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2007/06/bear-stearns-and-vagaries-of-models.html)" rel="nofollow">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2007/06/bear-stearns-and-vagaries-of-models.html)</a> many investors seemed to have derived false comfort from credit agency models (meant to measure credit quality ONLY) and used them as pricing models. </p>
<p>Your comment does apply to what is called &#8220;active&#8221; or &#8220;managed&#8221; CDOs, where a manager can and does trade assets within the CDO vehicle during the life of the deal.  It bears some resemblance to a mutual fund, except it lacks liquidity and transparency. It&#8217;s complete &#8220;trust me&#8221; paper.    Why anyone would buy this stuff is still beyond me.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2007/06/worries-on-valuing-repackaged-debt.html#comment-138</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jun 2007 13:23:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>People are only looking for the sale. On both sides. The buyer wants, house, car, boat, interest income, whatever and the seller wants to make a sale, mostly for the commission earned. If you have been in a real estate closing with a loan you would realize that NO One reads the loan documents. At least no one I have ever heard of or been with. To many pages of legalese. It is all about TRUST in most cases. We have to trust that what is being sold is not to different from what we think we are buying. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;So in the case of CDOs and MBSs, the pension funds and other buyers bought believing the sales person and the fact that these instruments had been sold for some time without any real problems. This trust gave way over the years to egregious behavior.  Human nature. Now that there is a problem everyone goes around looking for a villain and claiming to be victims. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;I&#039;m sure there are both. Where the real problem lies in the lack of regulatory supervision. This is what government is suppose to do IMO is to keep the playing field even and the rules transparent and eliminate those who morf the system to be a one sided win lose game.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>People are only looking for the sale. On both sides. The buyer wants, house, car, boat, interest income, whatever and the seller wants to make a sale, mostly for the commission earned. If you have been in a real estate closing with a loan you would realize that NO One reads the loan documents. At least no one I have ever heard of or been with. To many pages of legalese. It is all about TRUST in most cases. We have to trust that what is being sold is not to different from what we think we are buying. </p>
<p>So in the case of CDOs and MBSs, the pension funds and other buyers bought believing the sales person and the fact that these instruments had been sold for some time without any real problems. This trust gave way over the years to egregious behavior.  Human nature. Now that there is a problem everyone goes around looking for a villain and claiming to be victims. </p>
<p>I&#8217;m sure there are both. Where the real problem lies in the lack of regulatory supervision. This is what government is suppose to do IMO is to keep the playing field even and the rules transparent and eliminate those who morf the system to be a one sided win lose game.</p>
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