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	<title>Comments on: Bear/JPM Congressional Hearings: Post Mortems</title>
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		<title>By: Anon</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post.html#comment-6564</link>
		<dc:creator>Anon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 20:33:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post-mortems/#comment-6564</guid>
		<description>I may not have stated it clearly at 3:55, but I do now understand that all derivatives are effectively reset to be at the money at the date of bankruptcy and after this date the &quot;reset&quot; derivatives all have priority claims over other creditors.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;While the decision in Mirant may have made sense for the specific case at the time, it clearly results in a huge increase in systemic risk.  Derivatives holders can now game bankruptcy to try to make sure that as much as possible of the future value of their derivatives is accrued after a bankruptcy event rather than before.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Financial weapons of mass destruction, indeed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I may not have stated it clearly at 3:55, but I do now understand that all derivatives are effectively reset to be at the money at the date of bankruptcy and after this date the &#8220;reset&#8221; derivatives all have priority claims over other creditors.</p>
<p>While the decision in Mirant may have made sense for the specific case at the time, it clearly results in a huge increase in systemic risk.  Derivatives holders can now game bankruptcy to try to make sure that as much as possible of the future value of their derivatives is accrued after a bankruptcy event rather than before.</p>
<p>Financial weapons of mass destruction, indeed.</p>
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		<title>By: bobo7874</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post.html#comment-6563</link>
		<dc:creator>bobo7874</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 20:16:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post-mortems/#comment-6563</guid>
		<description>anon 3:55,&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;You missed the critical point.  The counterparties in trades with Bear at the time Bear files bankruptcy DO NOT get a priority based on pre-bankruptcy market movements, only POST-bankruptcy market movements.  Thus, if the counterparty&#039;s side of the trade is in-the-money at the time Bear files bankruptcy, it is as if the trade is reset into an at-the-money trade, and as compensation, the counterparty gets an unsecured, nonpriority claim for the amount of the appreciation that occurred before Bear&#039;s bankruptcy filing, and the counterparty can take just as much of a haircut as a general unsecured creditor on that claim.  Now afterward, if the trade appreciates in value, the counterparty gets a priority claim for that, but that is totally separate.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Read my example above in my posting at 2:25pm.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;PS - this is not legal advice.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>anon 3:55,</p>
<p>You missed the critical point.  The counterparties in trades with Bear at the time Bear files bankruptcy DO NOT get a priority based on pre-bankruptcy market movements, only POST-bankruptcy market movements.  Thus, if the counterparty&#8217;s side of the trade is in-the-money at the time Bear files bankruptcy, it is as if the trade is reset into an at-the-money trade, and as compensation, the counterparty gets an unsecured, nonpriority claim for the amount of the appreciation that occurred before Bear&#8217;s bankruptcy filing, and the counterparty can take just as much of a haircut as a general unsecured creditor on that claim.  Now afterward, if the trade appreciates in value, the counterparty gets a priority claim for that, but that is totally separate.</p>
<p>Read my example above in my posting at 2:25pm.</p>
<p>PS &#8211; this is not legal advice.</p>
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		<title>By: Anon</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post.html#comment-6562</link>
		<dc:creator>Anon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 20:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post-mortems/#comment-6562</guid>
		<description>Assuming the Mirant precedent holds and a bankruptcy on Wall Street is in the offing, the legal situation seems to create very strong incentives to take down a big counterparty or two, &lt;b&gt;before&lt;/b&gt; the reference entities in the CDS go bust.  &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;What a mess!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Assuming the Mirant precedent holds and a bankruptcy on Wall Street is in the offing, the legal situation seems to create very strong incentives to take down a big counterparty or two, <b>before</b> the reference entities in the CDS go bust.  </p>
<p>What a mess!</p>
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		<title>By: Anon</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post.html#comment-6561</link>
		<dc:creator>Anon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 19:55:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post-mortems/#comment-6561</guid>
		<description>Bobo,&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;I&#039;m a bit slow, but after rereading your description I actually think I understand how Mirant makes sense.  It was precisely to deal with the possibility of hedging being thrown out of kilter that claims before bankruptcy are unsecured, but claims for &lt;i&gt;everybody including existing counterparties who already have an unsecured claim&lt;/i&gt; have priority after bankruptcy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bobo,</p>
<p>I&#8217;m a bit slow, but after rereading your description I actually think I understand how Mirant makes sense.  It was precisely to deal with the possibility of hedging being thrown out of kilter that claims before bankruptcy are unsecured, but claims for <i>everybody including existing counterparties who already have an unsecured claim</i> have priority after bankruptcy.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post.html#comment-6558</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 19:29:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post-mortems/#comment-6558</guid>
		<description>Re:  A financial panic is fully avoidable if Wall Street and the media stop propagating the utterly false belief that a Bear Stearns bankruptcy would have led to a “chain reaction” of financial losses. While we might very well see some over-leveraged firms go bankrupt, with substantial losses to their own stockholders and bondholders, the customers and counterparties are generally not at risk if there is enough stockholders equity and bondholder capital to eat through without leaving the remaining book value negative. Bankruptcy or no bankruptcy, the underlying book of assets and liabilities can be transferred quickly. The only question is how much the bondholders come away with. That &quot;chain reaction&quot; theory is just utterly irresponsible fearmongering.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;I like the way in which WaMu is allowing a non-bank to loan it $8 billion, but then that private entity is not regulated, and all the while, the insolvency issues are swept away while the illusion of an FDIC guarantee is projected into this smoke and mirrors congame, where now you see reality and now you don&#039;t and   --  meanwhile, according to Hussman,  counterparties are protected....yah, right!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Re:  A financial panic is fully avoidable if Wall Street and the media stop propagating the utterly false belief that a Bear Stearns bankruptcy would have led to a “chain reaction” of financial losses. While we might very well see some over-leveraged firms go bankrupt, with substantial losses to their own stockholders and bondholders, the customers and counterparties are generally not at risk if there is enough stockholders equity and bondholder capital to eat through without leaving the remaining book value negative. Bankruptcy or no bankruptcy, the underlying book of assets and liabilities can be transferred quickly. The only question is how much the bondholders come away with. That &#8220;chain reaction&#8221; theory is just utterly irresponsible fearmongering.</p>
<p>I like the way in which WaMu is allowing a non-bank to loan it $8 billion, but then that private entity is not regulated, and all the while, the insolvency issues are swept away while the illusion of an FDIC guarantee is projected into this smoke and mirrors congame, where now you see reality and now you don&#8217;t and   &#8212;  meanwhile, according to Hussman,  counterparties are protected&#8230;.yah, right!</p>
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		<title>By: Anon</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post.html#comment-6557</link>
		<dc:creator>Anon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 18:57:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post-mortems/#comment-6557</guid>
		<description>Bobo,&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Thank you, that&#039;s clear now.  One more question.  If the Mirant precedent is followed, what happens to counterparties who owed Bear money.  Is it possible that their debt would be fixed at the bankruptcy date value too?  Or does the whole concept of hedging potentially get thrown out of kilter once a major counterparty goes bankrupt?&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;(Btw, conservatively invested in old-fashioned products and not in need of legal advice.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bobo,</p>
<p>Thank you, that&#8217;s clear now.  One more question.  If the Mirant precedent is followed, what happens to counterparties who owed Bear money.  Is it possible that their debt would be fixed at the bankruptcy date value too?  Or does the whole concept of hedging potentially get thrown out of kilter once a major counterparty goes bankrupt?</p>
<p>(Btw, conservatively invested in old-fashioned products and not in need of legal advice.)</p>
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		<title>By: bobo7874</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post.html#comment-6556</link>
		<dc:creator>bobo7874</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 18:25:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post-mortems/#comment-6556</guid>
		<description>anon,&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The implications of a Bear counterparty getting a nonpriority claim for pre-bankruptcy appreciation of the counterparty&#039;s rights are like this.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Suppose a fund bought credit protection from Bear by entering into credit default swaps (CDSs), referencing the ABX.  Suppose by Day X, suppose the ABX falls a lot and the fund could sell its positions against Bear for $1000k, and suppose on Day X Bear files bankruptcy.  The fund would have unsecured nonpriority claims for $1000k, subject to taking a haircut like all the other unsecured creditors.  So for example, if Bear&#039;s unsecured bondholders get paid 10% of par in bankruptcy, the fund would also get paid 10%, and only get $100k on its claim of $1000k.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Now, suppose after filing bankruptcy, Bear wants to keep its trading business running, Bear could request that the bankruptcy court give priority unsecured creditor rights to counterparties trades Bear enters after it filed bankruptcy, and also for counterparties on trades with Bear outstanding at the time Bear filed bankruptcy.  Suppose after Bear files bankruptcy, the ABX index falls a bit more, and the fund&#039;s swap rights appreciate another $50k.  The fund would have a priority claim for this $50k of appreciation, and so would get paid before Bear&#039;s general unsecured creditors on the $50k.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;PS - This is not legal advice.  Seek your own advisor.  It is very foolish not to do so.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>anon,</p>
<p>The implications of a Bear counterparty getting a nonpriority claim for pre-bankruptcy appreciation of the counterparty&#8217;s rights are like this.</p>
<p>Suppose a fund bought credit protection from Bear by entering into credit default swaps (CDSs), referencing the ABX.  Suppose by Day X, suppose the ABX falls a lot and the fund could sell its positions against Bear for $1000k, and suppose on Day X Bear files bankruptcy.  The fund would have unsecured nonpriority claims for $1000k, subject to taking a haircut like all the other unsecured creditors.  So for example, if Bear&#8217;s unsecured bondholders get paid 10% of par in bankruptcy, the fund would also get paid 10%, and only get $100k on its claim of $1000k.</p>
<p>Now, suppose after filing bankruptcy, Bear wants to keep its trading business running, Bear could request that the bankruptcy court give priority unsecured creditor rights to counterparties trades Bear enters after it filed bankruptcy, and also for counterparties on trades with Bear outstanding at the time Bear filed bankruptcy.  Suppose after Bear files bankruptcy, the ABX index falls a bit more, and the fund&#8217;s swap rights appreciate another $50k.  The fund would have a priority claim for this $50k of appreciation, and so would get paid before Bear&#8217;s general unsecured creditors on the $50k.</p>
<p>PS &#8211; This is not legal advice.  Seek your own advisor.  It is very foolish not to do so.</p>
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		<title>By: Anon</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post.html#comment-6555</link>
		<dc:creator>Anon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 17:12:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post-mortems/#comment-6555</guid>
		<description>Bobo,&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Could you please explain a little more clearly what the implications of this: &quot;the court gave counterparties a priority for claims under trades for market movements that occured ***AFTER*** Mirant filed bankruptcy, but not market movements that occurred ***BEFORE*** Mirant filed bankruptcy.&quot; are.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bobo,</p>
<p>Could you please explain a little more clearly what the implications of this: &#8220;the court gave counterparties a priority for claims under trades for market movements that occured ***AFTER*** Mirant filed bankruptcy, but not market movements that occurred ***BEFORE*** Mirant filed bankruptcy.&#8221; are.</p>
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		<title>By: wprestong</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post.html#comment-6554</link>
		<dc:creator>wprestong</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 16:40:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post-mortems/#comment-6554</guid>
		<description>I was a Refco customer (for futures trading) a few years ago when they went through bankruptcy and then came out again.  I never lost access to my account.  I never came near a margin call during that period, though, and I don&#039;t know what would have happened if I had.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was a Refco customer (for futures trading) a few years ago when they went through bankruptcy and then came out again.  I never lost access to my account.  I never came near a margin call during that period, though, and I don&#8217;t know what would have happened if I had.</p>
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		<title>By: bobo</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post.html#comment-6539</link>
		<dc:creator>bobo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 10:04:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/04/bearjpm-congressional-hearings-post-mortems/#comment-6539</guid>
		<description>Note, Cox didn&#039;t say Bear&#039;s counterparties were protected; Cox just said that Bear&#039;s customers were protected.  This is the third week in a row that Hussman has persisted in claiming that Bear Stearn&#039;s counterparties are protected.  If Bear went bankrupt, and a counterparty to a financial transaction was in the money (e.g., the counterparty bought credit protection from Bear with respect to subprime mortgages, and the credit risk increased, so the value of the counterparties&#039; contractual rights had appreciated prior to Bear filing bankruptcy), then the counterparty&#039;s claim would be translated into an unsecured claim for damages against Bear subject to losing money in bankruptcy, like any other unsecured creditor.  Here is a link to an article in Derivatives Week by the law firm Patterson Belknap explaining the rules:  http://www.pbwt.com/files/Publication/3ad02c75-b637-42a8-85e5-05ef6b0dcb7d/Presentation/PublicationAttachment/638eb373-0dfd-4b5b-83e0-0b32fcc4b9cc/DW_03_21_2005_PBWT.pdf&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;An example of this is the bankruptcy of Mirant, which had a book of energy trades.  The debtor wanted to preserve the business, and the court gave counterparties a priority for claims under trades for market movements that occured ***AFTER*** Mirant filed bankruptcy, but not market movements that occurred ***BEFORE*** Mirant filed bankruptcy.  Here is a link to commentary from the law firm Strook regarding the Mirant case.  http://www.stroock.com/SiteFiles/Pub437.pdf&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;If you want to read the actual law, look at 11 usc sections 502(a), 502(g)(2), and 562; these provisions give a Bear counterparty an unsecured, nonpriority claim for amounts due under existing trades with Bear at the time Bear filed bankruptcy.  Also, look 11 usc 752 or 766, these provisions give a &quot;customer&quot; a priority claim for assets held by Bear in the person&#039;s brokerage account.  There is not a similar provision giving a priority to counterparties to Bear&#039;s existing trades at the time it files bankruptcy.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;PS - This is not legal advice; seek your own advisor.  People like Bob Rodriguez at FPA Funds and Andy Weiss at Weiss Asset Management get advice from lawyers so they don&#039;t make foolish mistakes like Hussman&#039;s regarding counterparties&#039; rights in bankruptcy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Note, Cox didn&#8217;t say Bear&#8217;s counterparties were protected; Cox just said that Bear&#8217;s customers were protected.  This is the third week in a row that Hussman has persisted in claiming that Bear Stearn&#8217;s counterparties are protected.  If Bear went bankrupt, and a counterparty to a financial transaction was in the money (e.g., the counterparty bought credit protection from Bear with respect to subprime mortgages, and the credit risk increased, so the value of the counterparties&#8217; contractual rights had appreciated prior to Bear filing bankruptcy), then the counterparty&#8217;s claim would be translated into an unsecured claim for damages against Bear subject to losing money in bankruptcy, like any other unsecured creditor.  Here is a link to an article in Derivatives Week by the law firm Patterson Belknap explaining the rules:  <a href="http://www.pbwt.com/files/Publication/3ad02c75-b637-42a8-85e5-05ef6b0dcb7d/Presentation/PublicationAttachment/638eb373-0dfd-4b5b-83e0-0b32fcc4b9cc/DW_03_21_2005_PBWT.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://www.pbwt.com/files/Publication/3ad02c75-b637-42a8-85e5-05ef6b0dcb7d/Presentation/PublicationAttachment/638eb373-0dfd-4b5b-83e0-0b32fcc4b9cc/DW_03_21_2005_PBWT.pdf</a></p>
<p>An example of this is the bankruptcy of Mirant, which had a book of energy trades.  The debtor wanted to preserve the business, and the court gave counterparties a priority for claims under trades for market movements that occured ***AFTER*** Mirant filed bankruptcy, but not market movements that occurred ***BEFORE*** Mirant filed bankruptcy.  Here is a link to commentary from the law firm Strook regarding the Mirant case.  <a href="http://www.stroock.com/SiteFiles/Pub437.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://www.stroock.com/SiteFiles/Pub437.pdf</a></p>
<p>If you want to read the actual law, look at 11 usc sections 502(a), 502(g)(2), and 562; these provisions give a Bear counterparty an unsecured, nonpriority claim for amounts due under existing trades with Bear at the time Bear filed bankruptcy.  Also, look 11 usc 752 or 766, these provisions give a &#8220;customer&#8221; a priority claim for assets held by Bear in the person&#8217;s brokerage account.  There is not a similar provision giving a priority to counterparties to Bear&#8217;s existing trades at the time it files bankruptcy.</p>
<p>PS &#8211; This is not legal advice; seek your own advisor.  People like Bob Rodriguez at FPA Funds and Andy Weiss at Weiss Asset Management get advice from lawyers so they don&#8217;t make foolish mistakes like Hussman&#8217;s regarding counterparties&#8217; rights in bankruptcy.</p>
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