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	<title>Comments on: Nouriel Roubini Warns of Another Broker-Dealer Run</title>
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	<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker.html</link>
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		<title>By: cent21</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker.html#comment-24305</link>
		<dc:creator>cent21</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Nov 2008 04:26:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker-dealer-run/#comment-24305</guid>
		<description>I suspect Roubini isn&#039;t a whole lot smarter than many other people but had the conviction to go with a scenario that was pretty far from the main-stream starting a few years ago.  But now he&#039;s riding his success.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;I can certainly see the possibility that much worse things are to come, but unlike a few years ago, when I thought a bubble was building because of federal policy, at this point, the bubble is well enough burst that it is no longer a primary concern; I have some concern about the huge volumes of countering financial flows and their secondary effects; and I&#039;d just as soon see some stability emerge, hopefully with current equity prices for homes and stocks more or less supported by current employment levels and wages.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Though I&#039;m far from the front lines I have a suspicion that the central players are risking going too far rather than not far enough, in introducing large new policies.  On the one hand, I think some flexibility has to be kept in reserve; and on the other, I think the private sector really has to find its own equilibrium somewhere, and the public sector has to get feedback from the current policies and fine tune them and do whatever it can to take a few steps back from the fire pit wherever possible.  People aren&#039;t going to be confident in the future until they have some sene that the present is stabilized.  And I don&#039;t want to be in an uber-centralized world, I&#039;m I guess what you&#039;d call a &quot;mixed economy&quot; guy, of the 1960s variety, not a fascist or a crony capitalist.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Though I must say, it certainly seems that the markets have been pretty far from straight and true the past bunch of years.  My goodness, gasoline down to $2.31 this week.  I think we&#039;d have all been better off if it had just stuck a shade under $3 on the upside and the downside rather than whipping its way up to a froth and now falling like a dead cat waiting to bounce.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I suspect Roubini isn&#8217;t a whole lot smarter than many other people but had the conviction to go with a scenario that was pretty far from the main-stream starting a few years ago.  But now he&#8217;s riding his success.</p>
<p>I can certainly see the possibility that much worse things are to come, but unlike a few years ago, when I thought a bubble was building because of federal policy, at this point, the bubble is well enough burst that it is no longer a primary concern; I have some concern about the huge volumes of countering financial flows and their secondary effects; and I&#8217;d just as soon see some stability emerge, hopefully with current equity prices for homes and stocks more or less supported by current employment levels and wages.</p>
<p>Though I&#8217;m far from the front lines I have a suspicion that the central players are risking going too far rather than not far enough, in introducing large new policies.  On the one hand, I think some flexibility has to be kept in reserve; and on the other, I think the private sector really has to find its own equilibrium somewhere, and the public sector has to get feedback from the current policies and fine tune them and do whatever it can to take a few steps back from the fire pit wherever possible.  People aren&#8217;t going to be confident in the future until they have some sene that the present is stabilized.  And I don&#8217;t want to be in an uber-centralized world, I&#8217;m I guess what you&#8217;d call a &#8220;mixed economy&#8221; guy, of the 1960s variety, not a fascist or a crony capitalist.</p>
<p>Though I must say, it certainly seems that the markets have been pretty far from straight and true the past bunch of years.  My goodness, gasoline down to $2.31 this week.  I think we&#8217;d have all been better off if it had just stuck a shade under $3 on the upside and the downside rather than whipping its way up to a froth and now falling like a dead cat waiting to bounce.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker.html#comment-11767</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Jul 2008 00:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker-dealer-run/#comment-11767</guid>
		<description>You think Roubini is saying all this to get the fed to act???  You totally missed the point!  He&#039;s saying the fed CAUSED this in the first place with easy money policies.  You can not &quot;fix&quot; this.  Roubini in no way tried to offer suggestions for a way to avoid the turbulence other than to strap in.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;When are you folks going to wake up from LA LA pollyanna land?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You think Roubini is saying all this to get the fed to act???  You totally missed the point!  He&#8217;s saying the fed CAUSED this in the first place with easy money policies.  You can not &#8220;fix&#8221; this.  Roubini in no way tried to offer suggestions for a way to avoid the turbulence other than to strap in.</p>
<p>When are you folks going to wake up from LA LA pollyanna land?</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker.html#comment-10276</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 Jun 2008 16:10:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>fine, the likelihood of a big instituion going under is not zero - so what? that doesn&#039;t mean the system is about to collapse there is too much speculation in this piece</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>fine, the likelihood of a big instituion going under is not zero &#8211; so what? that doesn&#8217;t mean the system is about to collapse there is too much speculation in this piece</p>
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		<title>By: sinic</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker.html#comment-10258</link>
		<dc:creator>sinic</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 Jun 2008 02:53:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker-dealer-run/#comment-10258</guid>
		<description>anonymous, Roubini sees a train wreck coming and is warning people about it. He can &quot;see&quot; into the future better than some of his colleagues. He publishes what he comes up with using his analytic skills; if the powers that be heed his warnings and take timely action, who knows, the wreck might be averted.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>anonymous, Roubini sees a train wreck coming and is warning people about it. He can &#8220;see&#8221; into the future better than some of his colleagues. He publishes what he comes up with using his analytic skills; if the powers that be heed his warnings and take timely action, who knows, the wreck might be averted.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker.html#comment-10249</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Jun 2008 19:15:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Not sure what the point of previous comments to the effect that Roubini&#039;s doomsday forecasts are designed to encourge action that would prevent the doomsday result.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Are you saying that Roubini doesn&#039;t believe the doomsday forecasts but wants to encourage Fed bailout actions anyway?&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Or that he does believe his doomsday forecasts but shouldn&#039;t tell anyone because he might influence others to take action to prevent the doomsday event?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Not sure what the point of previous comments to the effect that Roubini&#8217;s doomsday forecasts are designed to encourge action that would prevent the doomsday result.</p>
<p>Are you saying that Roubini doesn&#8217;t believe the doomsday forecasts but wants to encourage Fed bailout actions anyway?</p>
<p>Or that he does believe his doomsday forecasts but shouldn&#8217;t tell anyone because he might influence others to take action to prevent the doomsday event?</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker.html#comment-10245</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Jun 2008 17:05:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>With the Supreme Court ruling, you could say the government is staring down the barrel (so to speak). Not much else can be done but injections   of capital, another rate cute, rollover windows loans into the next millennium and let populace eat cake.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With the Supreme Court ruling, you could say the government is staring down the barrel (so to speak). Not much else can be done but injections   of capital, another rate cute, rollover windows loans into the next millennium and let populace eat cake.</p>
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		<title>By: Bob_in_MA</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker.html#comment-10242</link>
		<dc:creator>Bob_in_MA</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Jun 2008 16:27:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker-dealer-run/#comment-10242</guid>
		<description>If another broker-dealer, or large bank, does get in trouble, it&#039;s hard to see another JPMorgan (or BoA in the case of Countrywide) rushing in to pick up the pieces. Who&#039;s left to do it? Maybe a Chinese bank? ;-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If another broker-dealer, or large bank, does get in trouble, it&#8217;s hard to see another JPMorgan (or BoA in the case of Countrywide) rushing in to pick up the pieces. Who&#8217;s left to do it? Maybe a Chinese bank? <img src='http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: sinic</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker.html#comment-10240</link>
		<dc:creator>sinic</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Jun 2008 16:10:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I agree with Independent Accountant above. Roubini has been delivering these doom and gloom pieces regularly, I believe, with the goal of  encouraging a response by the Fed and Treasury to prevent the scenarios that he&#039;s outlining.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I agree with Independent Accountant above. Roubini has been delivering these doom and gloom pieces regularly, I believe, with the goal of  encouraging a response by the Fed and Treasury to prevent the scenarios that he&#8217;s outlining.</p>
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		<title>By: a</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker.html#comment-10236</link>
		<dc:creator>a</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Jun 2008 14:55:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Sure, there are a lot of insolvent banks out there, being held up by the Fed&#039;s life support.  The Fed&#039;s strategy is to hold them up long enough until they get recapitalized and/or earn profits by lending long and borrowing short from the Fed.  I&#039;d agree that this strategy is not sure to work, indeed is more likely than not to misfire, as banks begin to collapse too soon.  But heck, stranger things have happened.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sure, there are a lot of insolvent banks out there, being held up by the Fed&#8217;s life support.  The Fed&#8217;s strategy is to hold them up long enough until they get recapitalized and/or earn profits by lending long and borrowing short from the Fed.  I&#8217;d agree that this strategy is not sure to work, indeed is more likely than not to misfire, as banks begin to collapse too soon.  But heck, stranger things have happened.</p>
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		<title>By: Independent Accountant</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/nouriel-roubini-warns-of-another-broker.html#comment-10234</link>
		<dc:creator>Independent Accountant</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Jun 2008 11:13:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>YS:&lt;br/&gt;My spin is that this is an advocacy piece.  Roubini is a smart guy.  I&#039;ve read him for over a year.  What he is doing here is signalling the Fed he wants more forceful action to protect the banks and brokers.  Larry Summers is another smart guy who writes advocacy pieces from time-to-time.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>YS:<br />My spin is that this is an advocacy piece.  Roubini is a smart guy.  I&#8217;ve read him for over a year.  What he is doing here is signalling the Fed he wants more forceful action to protect the banks and brokers.  Larry Summers is another smart guy who writes advocacy pieces from time-to-time.</p>
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