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	<title>Comments on: Mohamed El-Erian Hoists Hurricane Flag on Risk</title>
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	<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/07/mohamed-el-erian-hoists-hurricane-flag.html</link>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/07/mohamed-el-erian-hoists-hurricane-flag.html#comment-10862</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jul 2008 03:19:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Sy Krass said...&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Anon 3:38 has it right, deflation and depression occurs when too much wealth is concentrated at the top.  Too many people have not enough money to keep prices and assets up by purchasing services, thus &quot;deflating&quot; everything, even for the rich.  The &quot;system&quot; desires equilibrium.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sy Krass said&#8230;</p>
<p>Anon 3:38 has it right, deflation and depression occurs when too much wealth is concentrated at the top.  Too many people have not enough money to keep prices and assets up by purchasing services, thus &#8220;deflating&#8221; everything, even for the rich.  The &#8220;system&#8221; desires equilibrium.</p>
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		<title>By: ajw</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/07/mohamed-el-erian-hoists-hurricane-flag.html#comment-10823</link>
		<dc:creator>ajw</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 20:10:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Anonymous @ 1:53 hit the nail on the head - let&#039;s not forget that El-Erian is also about to launch a new mutual fund with a specific mandate to capitalize on the very things he discusses in his commentary. Not to detract from the truth of his research, but it does pay to bear in mind that his agenda is not entirely disinterested.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Anonymous @ 1:53 hit the nail on the head &#8211; let&#8217;s not forget that El-Erian is also about to launch a new mutual fund with a specific mandate to capitalize on the very things he discusses in his commentary. Not to detract from the truth of his research, but it does pay to bear in mind that his agenda is not entirely disinterested.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/07/mohamed-el-erian-hoists-hurricane-flag.html#comment-10814</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 19:38:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&lt;i&gt;Ah, why is it just about inevitable that the rich get richer?&lt;/i&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Not sure it will play out that way. The last great disruption aka the Great Depression wasn&#039;t kind to the rich. They overplayed their hand then and got socked. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;It may be the same now and the real opportunity may well be for governments to reassert themselves. Anyway, they will have to jump in and put the financial system back in shape.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Ah, why is it just about inevitable that the rich get richer?</i></p>
<p>Not sure it will play out that way. The last great disruption aka the Great Depression wasn&#8217;t kind to the rich. They overplayed their hand then and got socked. </p>
<p>It may be the same now and the real opportunity may well be for governments to reassert themselves. Anyway, they will have to jump in and put the financial system back in shape.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/07/mohamed-el-erian-hoists-hurricane-flag.html#comment-10801</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 17:53:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>It sounds like he&#039;s trying to drum up business.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It sounds like he&#8217;s trying to drum up business.</p>
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		<title>By: James</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/07/mohamed-el-erian-hoists-hurricane-flag.html#comment-10788</link>
		<dc:creator>James</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 15:35:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I wouldnt make too many predictions about what can happen.  Its possible things go really wrong for everyone.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I wouldnt make too many predictions about what can happen.  Its possible things go really wrong for everyone.</p>
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		<title>By: Francois</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/07/mohamed-el-erian-hoists-hurricane-flag.html#comment-10785</link>
		<dc:creator>Francois</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 14:52:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/07/mohamed-el-erian-hoists-hurricane-flag-on-risk/#comment-10785</guid>
		<description>&quot;Ah, why is it just about inevitable that the rich get richer?&quot;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;I agree...and disagree. It is not &quot;inevitable&quot;&#039; rather, it is highly more probable (and easy to do) that the rich will get richer.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Some people with modest means may become quite wealthy. They&#039;ll hunker down on consumption, keep on working and saving the maximum possible while scanning around for opportunities, all systems fully activated, then pounce when ready.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Won&#039;t be easy to pull off, but some will do it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Ah, why is it just about inevitable that the rich get richer?&#8221;</p>
<p>I agree&#8230;and disagree. It is not &#8220;inevitable&#8221;&#8216; rather, it is highly more probable (and easy to do) that the rich will get richer.</p>
<p>Some people with modest means may become quite wealthy. They&#8217;ll hunker down on consumption, keep on working and saving the maximum possible while scanning around for opportunities, all systems fully activated, then pounce when ready.</p>
<p>Won&#8217;t be easy to pull off, but some will do it.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/07/mohamed-el-erian-hoists-hurricane-flag.html#comment-10772</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 12:59:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>To answer the (rhetorical) question you posed Yves,&quot;Why is it that the rich get richer&quot; takes us to &quot;tinfoil hat&quot; land but a conspiracy doesn&#039;t have to be present for a group of individuals to always win.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Its obvious to anyone with half a brain that the only people benefitting from the current environment are those with lots of capital. Either because they can protect it better by moving it to the best preservation instrument available or their standard of living is not affected one bit by a 40-50% drop in real value (Oh gosh, my 200 billion dollar portfolio is only worth 140 billion now!)&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;When real estate settles out, the vultures will fly in buy it cheaply and then rent it back to US at a nice little profit. How decent of them.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;This wasn&#039;t &quot;orchestrated&quot; per se, but it is HOW the system works (presently) and the rule makers know best how to navigate it.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;BTW, this has become my favorite site. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Thanks for what you do Yves.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Greg</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To answer the (rhetorical) question you posed Yves,&#8221;Why is it that the rich get richer&#8221; takes us to &#8220;tinfoil hat&#8221; land but a conspiracy doesn&#8217;t have to be present for a group of individuals to always win.</p>
<p>Its obvious to anyone with half a brain that the only people benefitting from the current environment are those with lots of capital. Either because they can protect it better by moving it to the best preservation instrument available or their standard of living is not affected one bit by a 40-50% drop in real value (Oh gosh, my 200 billion dollar portfolio is only worth 140 billion now!)</p>
<p>When real estate settles out, the vultures will fly in buy it cheaply and then rent it back to US at a nice little profit. How decent of them.</p>
<p>This wasn&#8217;t &#8220;orchestrated&#8221; per se, but it is HOW the system works (presently) and the rule makers know best how to navigate it.</p>
<p>BTW, this has become my favorite site. </p>
<p>Thanks for what you do Yves.</p>
<p>Greg</p>
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		<title>By: S</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/07/mohamed-el-erian-hoists-hurricane-flag.html#comment-10769</link>
		<dc:creator>S</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 12:24:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>In the long run we are all dead. Didn;t I read somewhere the other day that buy and hold is dead.  Sad plea not to abandon the markets..enough already</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the long run we are all dead. Didn;t I read somewhere the other day that buy and hold is dead.  Sad plea not to abandon the markets..enough already</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/07/mohamed-el-erian-hoists-hurricane-flag.html#comment-10760</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 10:53:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Which, to me, implies that the SWF&#039;s of oil rich states and China are going to make a killing in the long run as they are the ones running the oversized capital surpluses right now.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Which, to me, implies that the SWF&#8217;s of oil rich states and China are going to make a killing in the long run as they are the ones running the oversized capital surpluses right now.</p>
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