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	<title>Comments on: Credit Markets Predictably Not Happy Right Now</title>
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		<title>By: tz</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/09/credit-market-predictably-not-happy.html#comment-17674</link>
		<dc:creator>tz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 27 Sep 2008 01:49:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>If someone has a short position, it would be easy to loan the target money, with a note saying &quot;please go bankrupt&quot;.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Long bond / Short stock was a reasonable hedging strategy until they banned shortselling.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;If the bank might go bankrupt overnight and there is no way of hedging, no one in their right mind would loan them money.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;(Somewhere there is a paper or thesis calculating short position hedge on equity depressing stock values equal to interest rate borrowing costs).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If someone has a short position, it would be easy to loan the target money, with a note saying &#8220;please go bankrupt&#8221;.</p>
<p>Long bond / Short stock was a reasonable hedging strategy until they banned shortselling.</p>
<p>If the bank might go bankrupt overnight and there is no way of hedging, no one in their right mind would loan them money.</p>
<p>(Somewhere there is a paper or thesis calculating short position hedge on equity depressing stock values equal to interest rate borrowing costs).</p>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/09/credit-market-predictably-not-happy.html#comment-17654</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Sep 2008 23:53:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I am reposting this question from an older thread (I was late in posting) since it is related to the posting. The context is the Treasury Supplemental Financing Program and how it is represented in the H.4.1.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;anon said in another thread:&lt;br/&gt;&quot;From a monetary and inflation perspective, the key to the transaction is the liability side of the Feds balance sheet. The transaction doesn&#039;t create new reserves or new money supply - it creates locked in government funding for the Fed and shifts existing money supply around. That&#039;s a lot different because the monetary base doesn&#039;t change.&quot;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My comment:&lt;br/&gt;This is the part that I am struggling with ... if no new reserves are created (which I agree with since this was new treasury debt that was sold and not treasuries held on the Fed balance sheet), then why the substantial increase in &quot;Reserve Bank credit&quot; in the H.4.1? The &quot;Total factors supplying reserve funds&quot; (asset side) must increase because the &quot;Total factors, other than reserve balances, absorbing reserve funds&quot; also increased due to the the Treasury deposit of proceeds in the &quot;U.S. Treasury, supplementary financing account&quot; line on the H.4.1 (the proceeds from the Treasury debt auction under the Supplemental Financing Program).&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;In other words, it seems that Treasury credit was increased here, not Fed credit. But the H.4.1 represents it as an increase in Fed credit.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Thanks for your input.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Brian</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am reposting this question from an older thread (I was late in posting) since it is related to the posting. The context is the Treasury Supplemental Financing Program and how it is represented in the H.4.1.</p>
<p>anon said in another thread:<br />&#8220;From a monetary and inflation perspective, the key to the transaction is the liability side of the Feds balance sheet. The transaction doesn&#8217;t create new reserves or new money supply &#8211; it creates locked in government funding for the Fed and shifts existing money supply around. That&#8217;s a lot different because the monetary base doesn&#8217;t change.&#8221;</p>
<p>My comment:<br />This is the part that I am struggling with &#8230; if no new reserves are created (which I agree with since this was new treasury debt that was sold and not treasuries held on the Fed balance sheet), then why the substantial increase in &#8220;Reserve Bank credit&#8221; in the H.4.1? The &#8220;Total factors supplying reserve funds&#8221; (asset side) must increase because the &#8220;Total factors, other than reserve balances, absorbing reserve funds&#8221; also increased due to the the Treasury deposit of proceeds in the &#8220;U.S. Treasury, supplementary financing account&#8221; line on the H.4.1 (the proceeds from the Treasury debt auction under the Supplemental Financing Program).</p>
<p>In other words, it seems that Treasury credit was increased here, not Fed credit. But the H.4.1 represents it as an increase in Fed credit.</p>
<p>Thanks for your input.</p>
<p>Brian</p>
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		<title>By: RebelEconomist</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/09/credit-market-predictably-not-happy.html#comment-17608</link>
		<dc:creator>RebelEconomist</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Sep 2008 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I would not read too much into the increase in Fed custody holdings. As I explain on my blog ( http://reservedplace.blogspot.com/2008/09/beware-rising-custody-holdings.html ), I think that an increase in custody holdings would be expected because of the collateral taken by the central banks lending under the reciprocal swap lines arrangement.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I would not read too much into the increase in Fed custody holdings. As I explain on my blog ( <a href="http://reservedplace.blogspot.com/2008/09/beware-rising-custody-holdings.html" rel="nofollow">http://reservedplace.blogspot.com/2008/09/beware-rising-custody-holdings.html</a> ), I think that an increase in custody holdings would be expected because of the collateral taken by the central banks lending under the reciprocal swap lines arrangement.</p>
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		<title>By: Marie</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/09/credit-market-predictably-not-happy.html#comment-17603</link>
		<dc:creator>Marie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Sep 2008 17:13:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>It looks like Kathy Fuld (wife of Lehman CEO) is seeking liquidity also.  &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;http://www.bailoutville.com/forums/f5/let-them-eat-cake-64.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It looks like Kathy Fuld (wife of Lehman CEO) is seeking liquidity also.  </p>
<p><a href="http://www.bailoutville.com/forums/f5/let-them-eat-cake-64.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.bailoutville.com/forums/f5/let-them-eat-cake-64.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: doc holiday</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/09/credit-market-predictably-not-happy.html#comment-17592</link>
		<dc:creator>doc holiday</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Sep 2008 16:17:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I know it will take years, but someday my plea and prayer to shut down SIFMA and rewire FASB will be a part of the solution to this mess.  IMHO, short term liquid cash is being linked and backed and connected to derivatives that act as a sort of drano plug filler, i.e, every time money is injected into this corrupt and fraud-filled sewer, derivatives act as sponge-like depends pads that absorb liquidity.  Has anyone seen my walker and dementia pills?&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;What is the role of FASB you ask, as you agree that SIFMA is a corrupt lobby group?&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The Mission of the Financial Accounting Standards Board&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;http://www.fasb.org/facts/index.shtml#mission&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The mission of the FASB is to establish and improve standards of financial accounting and reporting for the guidance and education of the public, including issuers, auditors, and users of financial information.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Accounting standards are essential to the efficient functioning of the economy because decisions about the allocation of resources rely heavily on credible, concise, transparent, and understandable financial information. Financial information about the operations and financial position of individual entities also is used by the public in making various other kinds of decisions.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&gt;&gt;  Does anyone out there think they have helped make corporate accounting on wall street efficient?  Have they thus contributed to the mess we are in, and then have they worked with SIFMA to delay accounting reform, e.g, things like:&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;  Saying that the “risks of too much haste are high,” SIFMA and the ASF suggested that a quick implementation of any proposed changes could further impair bruised balance sheets and drive up capital constraints at a time when very few firms in the financial sector could handle such a burden.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Both organizations said that the changes would impact more than $10 trillion in MBS, ABS and commercial paper facilities and that any change to accounting standards would affect “large markets that provide substantial funding for U.S. business and consumers.”&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The trade organizations’ cause was joined on July 22 by House Committee of Financial Services ranking member Spencer Bachus (R-AL), who sent a letter to FASB chairman Robert Herz and Securities and Exchange Commission chairman Christopher Cox echoing similar concern over “serious unintended consequences.”&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;FASB appears to at least have considered the requests, saying late last week that it would “reconsider the effective date and transition provisions” around its proposed changes to FAS 140 and FIN 46R.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;  Corruption, that is what will destroy America and like Japan, it could take decades for reality to gain fractional acceptance.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I know it will take years, but someday my plea and prayer to shut down SIFMA and rewire FASB will be a part of the solution to this mess.  IMHO, short term liquid cash is being linked and backed and connected to derivatives that act as a sort of drano plug filler, i.e, every time money is injected into this corrupt and fraud-filled sewer, derivatives act as sponge-like depends pads that absorb liquidity.  Has anyone seen my walker and dementia pills?</p>
<p>What is the role of FASB you ask, as you agree that SIFMA is a corrupt lobby group?</p>
<p>The Mission of the Financial Accounting Standards Board</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fasb.org/facts/index.shtml#mission" rel="nofollow">http://www.fasb.org/facts/index.shtml#mission</a></p>
<p>The mission of the FASB is to establish and improve standards of financial accounting and reporting for the guidance and education of the public, including issuers, auditors, and users of financial information.</p>
<p>Accounting standards are essential to the efficient functioning of the economy because decisions about the allocation of resources rely heavily on credible, concise, transparent, and understandable financial information. Financial information about the operations and financial position of individual entities also is used by the public in making various other kinds of decisions.</p>
<p>&gt;&gt;  Does anyone out there think they have helped make corporate accounting on wall street efficient?  Have they thus contributed to the mess we are in, and then have they worked with SIFMA to delay accounting reform, e.g, things like:</p>
<p>&gt;&gt;&gt;  Saying that the “risks of too much haste are high,” SIFMA and the ASF suggested that a quick implementation of any proposed changes could further impair bruised balance sheets and drive up capital constraints at a time when very few firms in the financial sector could handle such a burden.</p>
<p>Both organizations said that the changes would impact more than $10 trillion in MBS, ABS and commercial paper facilities and that any change to accounting standards would affect “large markets that provide substantial funding for U.S. business and consumers.”</p>
<p>The trade organizations’ cause was joined on July 22 by House Committee of Financial Services ranking member Spencer Bachus (R-AL), who sent a letter to FASB chairman Robert Herz and Securities and Exchange Commission chairman Christopher Cox echoing similar concern over “serious unintended consequences.”</p>
<p>FASB appears to at least have considered the requests, saying late last week that it would “reconsider the effective date and transition provisions” around its proposed changes to FAS 140 and FIN 46R.</p>
<p>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;  Corruption, that is what will destroy America and like Japan, it could take decades for reality to gain fractional acceptance.</p>
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		<title>By: Matt-is-delusional</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/09/credit-market-predictably-not-happy.html#comment-17589</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt-is-delusional</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Sep 2008 16:05:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>An Informal Poll:&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Who&#039;s more insane---Paulson or this Matt character who leads off these comments?&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;That is one tough call.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;I gotta go with Matt, though.  Yes, clearly Paulson&#039;s has an insane ego, but he&#039;s at least been on the public scene for many years.  Matt, on the other hand, is convinced that he is some kind of public figure and that we are all talking about is prescience.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An Informal Poll:</p>
<p>Who&#8217;s more insane&#8212;Paulson or this Matt character who leads off these comments?</p>
<p>That is one tough call.</p>
<p>I gotta go with Matt, though.  Yes, clearly Paulson&#8217;s has an insane ego, but he&#8217;s at least been on the public scene for many years.  Matt, on the other hand, is convinced that he is some kind of public figure and that we are all talking about is prescience.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/09/credit-market-predictably-not-happy.html#comment-17586</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Sep 2008 15:52:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&quot;I never claim to be perfect.&quot;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&quot;But I have never fought the wrong war.&quot;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;YES OF COURSE!  This is all about you.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;I never claim to be perfect.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;But I have never fought the wrong war.&#8221;</p>
<p>YES OF COURSE!  This is all about you.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/09/credit-market-predictably-not-happy.html#comment-17578</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Sep 2008 15:17:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&quot;Markets now view [US] credit worthiness as akin to - or even worse than - that of McDonald’s, a shocking fact even if you believe that both are fronted by clowns.&quot;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;ah ha ha ha&lt;br/&gt;AH HA HA HA&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The only difference being, USGOV don&#039;t serve Happy Meals. Instead, it smacks us in the face with a reeking pile of Shinola.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;-- Juan Falcone</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Markets now view [US] credit worthiness as akin to &#8211; or even worse than &#8211; that of McDonald’s, a shocking fact even if you believe that both are fronted by clowns.&#8221;</p>
<p>ah ha ha ha<br />AH HA HA HA</p>
<p>The only difference being, USGOV don&#8217;t serve Happy Meals. Instead, it smacks us in the face with a reeking pile of Shinola.</p>
<p>&#8211; Juan Falcone</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/09/credit-market-predictably-not-happy.html#comment-17574</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Sep 2008 14:55:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Yves:&lt;br/&gt;Thought to post this whilst you were still asleep but took too long.&lt;br/&gt;Perhaps Roubini is our modern profit.&lt;br/&gt;As you may know he was a displaced Iranian Jew.&lt;br/&gt;Nouriel took a little digging. But in the Kabbala (Jewish mystical teachings) Nouiel is the spirit of fire. And from the Zohar the spirit of fire performs a cleansing activity But it is the previous defilement which provides the source of fire.&lt;br/&gt;And finally from KingsI: And after the earthquake a fire; but the Lord was not in the fire: and after the fire a still small voice.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Just sayin&#039;&lt;br/&gt;foolonthehill&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;OT Yves is there anywhere apicture of you? Make you less of a electron-ic being :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yves:<br />Thought to post this whilst you were still asleep but took too long.<br />Perhaps Roubini is our modern profit.<br />As you may know he was a displaced Iranian Jew.<br />Nouriel took a little digging. But in the Kabbala (Jewish mystical teachings) Nouiel is the spirit of fire. And from the Zohar the spirit of fire performs a cleansing activity But it is the previous defilement which provides the source of fire.<br />And finally from KingsI: And after the earthquake a fire; but the Lord was not in the fire: and after the fire a still small voice.</p>
<p>Just sayin&#8217;<br />foolonthehill</p>
<p>OT Yves is there anywhere apicture of you? Make you less of a electron-ic being <img src='http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: a</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/09/credit-market-predictably-not-happy.html#comment-17573</link>
		<dc:creator>a</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Sep 2008 14:54:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/09/credit-markets-predictably-not-happy-right-now/#comment-17573</guid>
		<description>&quot;But I have never fought the wrong war.&quot;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Have you ever fought the right one?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;But I have never fought the wrong war.&#8221;</p>
<p>Have you ever fought the right one?</p>
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