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	<title>Comments on: Why Should We Be Surprised? (Treasury Conduct Edition)</title>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/11/why-should-we-be-surprised-treasury.html#comment-27362</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Nov 2008 06:06:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>the scope of the GAO audit is obviously limited to TARP, but as NYT has related recently: &quot;In the last year, the government has assumed about $7.8 trillion in direct and indirect financial obligations. That is equal to about half the size of the nation’s entire economy and far eclipses the $700 billion that Congress authorized for the Treasury’s financial rescue plan.&quot;  this is getting dangerously close to usurping congress&#039; constitutional prerogative over the purse strings (Article 1, Section 8).&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;will ANYone petition the supreme court already!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>the scope of the GAO audit is obviously limited to TARP, but as NYT has related recently: &#8220;In the last year, the government has assumed about $7.8 trillion in direct and indirect financial obligations. That is equal to about half the size of the nation’s entire economy and far eclipses the $700 billion that Congress authorized for the Treasury’s financial rescue plan.&#8221;  this is getting dangerously close to usurping congress&#8217; constitutional prerogative over the purse strings (Article 1, Section 8).</p>
<p>will ANYone petition the supreme court already!</p>
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		<title>By: Darcy</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/11/why-should-we-be-surprised-treasury.html#comment-27346</link>
		<dc:creator>Darcy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Nov 2008 03:20:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Lucifer,&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Good post.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Only point i would add.   &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Water, land and the earths resources are finite.   The consumer religion will fail because it does not factor in all its external costs.       &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;All the various religions need a sustainability audit and we junk the ones that have obvious flaws and try again.   &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Its sure getting hot in here.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Lucifer,</p>
<p>Good post.</p>
<p>Only point i would add.   </p>
<p>Water, land and the earths resources are finite.   The consumer religion will fail because it does not factor in all its external costs.       </p>
<p>All the various religions need a sustainability audit and we junk the ones that have obvious flaws and try again.   </p>
<p>Its sure getting hot in here.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/11/why-should-we-be-surprised-treasury.html#comment-27331</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Nov 2008 01:19:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Faith is lost in currency when the controls are abandoned or ignored. And I&#039;m guessing it&#039;s due to greed. That&#039;s why systems fail. The top (bankers) abscond with the spoils  after converting it to gold because they know they can convert it back to any paper currency they desire.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;What is kool about gold is that it has no debt attached to it unlike paper currency and its promise to pay (IOU) or why else do central banks stock pile gold, why even have it?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Faith is lost in currency when the controls are abandoned or ignored. And I&#8217;m guessing it&#8217;s due to greed. That&#8217;s why systems fail. The top (bankers) abscond with the spoils  after converting it to gold because they know they can convert it back to any paper currency they desire.</p>
<p>What is kool about gold is that it has no debt attached to it unlike paper currency and its promise to pay (IOU) or why else do central banks stock pile gold, why even have it?</p>
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		<title>By: satan</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/11/why-should-we-be-surprised-treasury.html#comment-27322</link>
		<dc:creator>satan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 23:38:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>That is because we see banking as an enterprise rather than a utility or welfare program to keep people happy. Look, banks have lost more money than they ever made- even government regulated electric companies are more profitable in the long run.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;//I beg to differ on bankers. Necessary evil or not, it is the environment they exist under that is the problem.You will not get the investment money or funding for your social advancements without them handling the accountings and taking the risks.Unfettered, bankers over leverage investments and handout credit like cookies by doing over the counter deals which have no controls but between the parties involved. Where have the checks and balances been? Ask Congress about enforcement, fines, repayment and lack accounting laws. It&#039;s the system that is not trustworthy, not the bankers.//&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;If you have read enough history you will realize that when civilizations collapse, the control mechanisms you describe fail. No civilization has been able to stop the collapse process once it goes beyond a certain point. All the clever shysters (banksters, sophists) end up in the same boat as the plebs.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;//A simple example of mind control is: You have to pay taxes and the method of payment is the currency that is issued. From that, it instills value in paper. Add some laws and punishment and you have no other choice except jail time or comply.//</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That is because we see banking as an enterprise rather than a utility or welfare program to keep people happy. Look, banks have lost more money than they ever made- even government regulated electric companies are more profitable in the long run.</p>
<p>//I beg to differ on bankers. Necessary evil or not, it is the environment they exist under that is the problem.You will not get the investment money or funding for your social advancements without them handling the accountings and taking the risks.Unfettered, bankers over leverage investments and handout credit like cookies by doing over the counter deals which have no controls but between the parties involved. Where have the checks and balances been? Ask Congress about enforcement, fines, repayment and lack accounting laws. It&#8217;s the system that is not trustworthy, not the bankers.//</p>
<p>If you have read enough history you will realize that when civilizations collapse, the control mechanisms you describe fail. No civilization has been able to stop the collapse process once it goes beyond a certain point. All the clever shysters (banksters, sophists) end up in the same boat as the plebs.</p>
<p>//A simple example of mind control is: You have to pay taxes and the method of payment is the currency that is issued. From that, it instills value in paper. Add some laws and punishment and you have no other choice except jail time or comply.//</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/11/why-should-we-be-surprised-treasury.html#comment-27317</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 23:12:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I beg to differ on bankers. Necessary evil or not, it is the environment they exist under that is the problem.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;You will not get the investment money or funding for your social advancements without them handling the accountings and taking the risks.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Unfettered, bankers over leverage investments and handout credit like cookies by doing over the counter deals which have no controls but between the parties involved. Where have the checks and balances been? Ask Congress about enforcement, fines, repayment and lack accounting laws. It&#039;s the system that is not trustworthy, not the bankers.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;I would hope you rethink compounding interest. Of and in itself it is a direct drain on anything attached to it except the bankers. (servitude)&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Without currency you have barter which is a survival mode without growth. Currency allows growth, backed by gold (whatever anchor is chosen) prevents runaway growth outside the means.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;A simple example of mind control is: You have to pay taxes and the method of payment is the currency that is issued. From that, it instills value in paper. Add some laws and punishment and you have no other choice except jail time or comply.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I beg to differ on bankers. Necessary evil or not, it is the environment they exist under that is the problem.</p>
<p>You will not get the investment money or funding for your social advancements without them handling the accountings and taking the risks.</p>
<p>Unfettered, bankers over leverage investments and handout credit like cookies by doing over the counter deals which have no controls but between the parties involved. Where have the checks and balances been? Ask Congress about enforcement, fines, repayment and lack accounting laws. It&#8217;s the system that is not trustworthy, not the bankers.</p>
<p>I would hope you rethink compounding interest. Of and in itself it is a direct drain on anything attached to it except the bankers. (servitude)</p>
<p>Without currency you have barter which is a survival mode without growth. Currency allows growth, backed by gold (whatever anchor is chosen) prevents runaway growth outside the means.</p>
<p>A simple example of mind control is: You have to pay taxes and the method of payment is the currency that is issued. From that, it instills value in paper. Add some laws and punishment and you have no other choice except jail time or comply.</p>
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		<title>By: Twenty first century blues</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/11/why-should-we-be-surprised-treasury.html#comment-27312</link>
		<dc:creator>Twenty first century blues</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 22:38:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>We live in times of peril because:&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Just as asset classes such as real estate and equities can take on ever greater astonishingly HIGH valuations during a mania, they can also find no bottom during a panic. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;All of us realize this on some visceral level (except for those of us still without guile). And this explains why we crossed a tipping point late this summer when those who believed markets had &quot;bottomed&quot; were outnumbered by those with the vertiginous feeling that happens when you stare into the abyss.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Lucifer: your posts speak to this phenomenon. The sudden feeling that money has no real value (or stocks, bonds, real estate etc) is an existential moment that can grip people and spread like a virus. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The Existentialists, Dadaists, Kafka to name a few attest to this phenomenon through the ages. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The trivial pursuits of daily life seem meaningless when we realize we are all hanging onto a rock in the middle of the limitless, cold void of space. A rock with a core of lava. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Things are tenuous indeed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We live in times of peril because:</p>
<p>Just as asset classes such as real estate and equities can take on ever greater astonishingly HIGH valuations during a mania, they can also find no bottom during a panic. </p>
<p>All of us realize this on some visceral level (except for those of us still without guile). And this explains why we crossed a tipping point late this summer when those who believed markets had &#8220;bottomed&#8221; were outnumbered by those with the vertiginous feeling that happens when you stare into the abyss.</p>
<p>Lucifer: your posts speak to this phenomenon. The sudden feeling that money has no real value (or stocks, bonds, real estate etc) is an existential moment that can grip people and spread like a virus. </p>
<p>The Existentialists, Dadaists, Kafka to name a few attest to this phenomenon through the ages. </p>
<p>The trivial pursuits of daily life seem meaningless when we realize we are all hanging onto a rock in the middle of the limitless, cold void of space. A rock with a core of lava. </p>
<p>Things are tenuous indeed.</p>
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		<title>By: lucifer</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/11/why-should-we-be-surprised-treasury.html#comment-27305</link>
		<dc:creator>lucifer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 21:03:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Thanks for the encouraging comments. I have considered the blog option for some time, but I had been fairly busy to take on an additional commitment. But I think I might reevaluate that decision.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;ndk- most of my comments were aimed at people who talk about money as if it is real, like gravity or light.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;for anonymous- China has no option, but to renegotiate debt. The problem is not with compound interest but the belief that money is real, if we accept that money is a creation of human imagination to make society possible, periodic defaults can be seen as a necessary evil. And yes the system functions on confidence, but all the current players have shown themselves to be untrustworthy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for the encouraging comments. I have considered the blog option for some time, but I had been fairly busy to take on an additional commitment. But I think I might reevaluate that decision.</p>
<p>ndk- most of my comments were aimed at people who talk about money as if it is real, like gravity or light.</p>
<p>for anonymous- China has no option, but to renegotiate debt. The problem is not with compound interest but the belief that money is real, if we accept that money is a creation of human imagination to make society possible, periodic defaults can be seen as a necessary evil. And yes the system functions on confidence, but all the current players have shown themselves to be untrustworthy.</p>
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		<title>By: doc holiday</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/11/why-should-we-be-surprised-treasury.html#comment-27292</link>
		<dc:creator>doc holiday</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 18:20:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>US 10-year Treasury note yield falls to 5-decade low&lt;br/&gt;http://www.reuters.com/article/ m...G00141820081126&lt;br/&gt;The U.S. 10-year Treasury note&#039;s yield dipped to 2.9889 percent, below the 2.9900 percent level hit last Thursday, according to Reuters data, marking the lowest in 50 years.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&gt;  Sort of off topic, but then again, as money is being burned up, accounting does come to mind.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;  Long term declines in rates will have a crucial impact on the ability of people to save cash and build accounts for future purchase activity, i.e, if unemployment shoots to 10% and people have no way to receive dividends or collect interest, this will add to deflation, because there will be no way to make money and stimulate the economy (IMHO).&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&gt;&gt;  From http://acrossthecurve.com/&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The salient point is that hundreds of billions of these will be issued over the next few months as banks take advantage of cheap funding and replace maturing paper. So there will be a flood of issuance in the 3 year sector from that source.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The Treasury has reintroduced the 3 year note and it is a monthly issue and not a quarterly issue. Expect $25 billion per month from that source. That is brand new supply. Fresh cash being raised. That will weigh heavily on the sector.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The funds rate is at or near terminal levels. It has traded recently well below the 1 percent target level. It will not be going much lower. That means that the shorter maturities which are anchored by the cost of funds will not have room to materially appreciate. Another negative for the short end.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The Federal Reserve program announced yesterday will center on buying longer dated risky assets. $600 billion of them.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Succinctly stated, you have natural buyers and natural sellers of sectors of the curve. In conjunction with an anchored funds rate the flattening process which is underway should continue and probably with 10 year notes and 30 year bond yields plumbing regions one would have thought unthinkable.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>US 10-year Treasury note yield falls to 5-decade low<br /><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/" rel="nofollow">http://www.reuters.com/article/</a> m&#8230;G00141820081126<br />The U.S. 10-year Treasury note&#39;s yield dipped to 2.9889 percent, below the 2.9900 percent level hit last Thursday, according to Reuters data, marking the lowest in 50 years.</p>
<p>&gt;  Sort of off topic, but then again, as money is being burned up, accounting does come to mind.</p>
<p>  Long term declines in rates will have a crucial impact on the ability of people to save cash and build accounts for future purchase activity, i.e, if unemployment shoots to 10% and people have no way to receive dividends or collect interest, this will add to deflation, because there will be no way to make money and stimulate the economy (IMHO).</p>
<p>&gt;&gt;  From <a href="http://acrossthecurve.com/" rel="nofollow">http://acrossthecurve.com/</a></p>
<p>The salient point is that hundreds of billions of these will be issued over the next few months as banks take advantage of cheap funding and replace maturing paper. So there will be a flood of issuance in the 3 year sector from that source.</p>
<p>The Treasury has reintroduced the 3 year note and it is a monthly issue and not a quarterly issue. Expect $25 billion per month from that source. That is brand new supply. Fresh cash being raised. That will weigh heavily on the sector.</p>
<p>The funds rate is at or near terminal levels. It has traded recently well below the 1 percent target level. It will not be going much lower. That means that the shorter maturities which are anchored by the cost of funds will not have room to materially appreciate. Another negative for the short end.</p>
<p>The Federal Reserve program announced yesterday will center on buying longer dated risky assets. $600 billion of them.</p>
<p>Succinctly stated, you have natural buyers and natural sellers of sectors of the curve. In conjunction with an anchored funds rate the flattening process which is underway should continue and probably with 10 year notes and 30 year bond yields plumbing regions one would have thought unthinkable.</p>
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		<title>By: fledermaus</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/11/why-should-we-be-surprised-treasury.html#comment-27287</link>
		<dc:creator>fledermaus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 17:58:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>BREAKING NEWS:  Congress discovers that bankers are secretive and greedy.  Later, a new report indicates that the sky may be blue.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>BREAKING NEWS:  Congress discovers that bankers are secretive and greedy.  Later, a new report indicates that the sky may be blue.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/11/why-should-we-be-surprised-treasury.html#comment-27285</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 17:52:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Red China is going to forgive our debt.......yeah right.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Send the bankers into the sun but leave compounding interest behind....pointless.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Systems function based on confidence....truth really doesn&#039;t enter the picture.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Red China is going to forgive our debt&#8230;&#8230;.yeah right.</p>
<p>Send the bankers into the sun but leave compounding interest behind&#8230;.pointless.</p>
<p>Systems function based on confidence&#8230;.truth really doesn&#8217;t enter the picture.</p>
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