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<oembed><version>1.0</version><provider_name>naked capitalism</provider_name><provider_url>https://www.nakedcapitalism.com</provider_url><author_name>Yves Smith</author_name><author_url>https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/author/yves-smith</author_url><title>David Apgar: What Was So Unpredictable about Deepwater Horizon? | naked capitalism</title><type>rich</type><width>600</width><height>338</height><html>&lt;blockquote class="wp-embedded-content" data-secret="s4kSwnRDYN"&gt;&lt;a href="https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2011/04/david-apgar-what-was-so-unpredictable-about-deepwater-horizon.html"&gt;David Apgar: What Was So Unpredictable about Deepwater Horizon?&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;&lt;iframe sandbox="allow-scripts" security="restricted" src="https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2011/04/david-apgar-what-was-so-unpredictable-about-deepwater-horizon.html/embed#?secret=s4kSwnRDYN" width="600" height="338" title="&#x201C;David Apgar: What Was So Unpredictable about Deepwater Horizon?&#x201D; &#x2014; naked capitalism" data-secret="s4kSwnRDYN" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no" class="wp-embedded-content"&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;&lt;script type="text/javascript"&gt;
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</html><description>By David Apgar, the Director of ApgarPartners LLC, a new business that applies assumption-based metrics to the performance evaluation problems of development organizations, individual corporate executives, and emerging-markets investors, and author of Risk Intelligence (Harvard Business School Press 2006) and Relevance: Hitting Your Goals by Knowing What Matters (Jossey-Bass 2008). He blogs at WhatMatters.    It&#x2019;s tempting to look for a little consolation on the anniversary of the oil spill from BP&#x2019;s Deepwater Horizon rig in the idea that our worst industrial accidents are unpredictable and not the result of negligence. The only trouble is that the BP disaster in the Gulf of Mexico was predictable.</description></oembed>

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