Yearly Archives: 2011

We Speak on BNN Re the Latest Euro Rescue, Launch of Consumer Financial Protection Bureau

We had a wide ranging conversation today on Business News Network. Enjoy!

Federal Home Loan Banks Challenge BofA Settlement, Say They May Be Owed a Lot More

This is getting interesting. I had heard that a lot of investors were unhappy with the proposed Bank of America settlement of liability for selling investors a garbage barge when they’d been promised something a tad better. But being unhappy is one thing, actually taking concrete steps to oppose the $8.5 billion deal (which heinously also included a broad release for chain of title liability) is quite another. While a group of investors who had pursued their own objections were quick to file a petition objecting to the settlement, they are small fry and their protest in isolation would probably be rejected by the judge.

The equation changed today with several Federal Home Loan Banks effectively saying they had been kept out of the loop and have reason to think the settlement is inadequate

Links 7/21/11

Is Bank of America At Risk of a Death Spiral?

Bloomberg’s Jonathan Weil took a look at Bank of America’s stock price, which is trading at less than half of the Charlotte bank’s book value, and discussed whether the bank is at risk of a serious crisis. If a levered financial firm’s stock trades at a severe discount from book value, it is not attractive to raise equity via selling shares (the dilutive impact on existing shareholders is punitive). Yet the steep discount is a sign that the market doubts the strength of the concern’s equity base. If those worries persist, and the company is not able to shore up its balance sheet via earnings (ie, either its profits are impaired or they are offset by writeoffs), first long term and eventually short-term lenders will start to demand higher interest rates. Once that happens, it is easy for confidence to vanish and a death spiral to start.

Calpers Waves Wet Noodle at Murdochs, While DoJ Appears to Be Sitting On Its Hands

It’s a bit curious that l’affaire Murdoch, which has dominated the news in England, has gotten some air time here, but not in proportion to its importance in the UK and potentially in the US. True, you have to know a bit of who has done what to whom over time, but stuff like hacking the voicemails of dead little girls and live major government officials, lying in Parliamentary investigations, paying hush money, and suborning the police isn’t that hard to explain. And it’s also hard to imagine that a culture that the US operations didn’t share at least some of the aggressive and reckless habits of its siblings across the pond.

At least one party, Calpers, which is the largest pension fund in the US, appears to have decided to use this revelation of the Murdochs’ feet of clay to open up an issue that was worth airing a long time ago: the hold the family maintains on News Corp.

Guest Post: Pentagon Seeks to Manipulate Social Media for Propaganda Purposes

The Pentagon is busy “conducting propaganda campaigns on social media”.

Links 7/20/11

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“Trade Imbalances Lead to Debt Imbalances” or Why Mercantilist Nations Shouldn’t Beef About Their “Profligate” Customers

Michael Pettis, a respected economist and commentator on China, provides an important contribution on the global imbalances theme. Many observers have pointed fingers at debtor nations like Greece, Portugal, Spain, and the US and argue that they need to start consuming less. While narrowly there is some merit to that argument, Pettis points out that the trade deficit countries (the debtors) are not the ones in the driver’s seat and it it the trade surplus countries that must take the lead in making adjustments.

Marshall Auerback: The European Monetary Union is the Titanic

By Marshall Auerback, a portfolio strategist and hedge fund manager. Cross posted from New Deal 2.0

The Iceberg Cometh: An economic and financial crisis will soon be brought about by the collapse of the European Monetary Union. And everyone goes down with the ship!

Satyajit Das: Europe’s Debt Crisis Refuses to Die

By Satyajit Das, the author of Extreme Money: The Masters of the Universe and the Cult of Risk (forthcoming August 2011) and Traders, Guns & Money: Knowns and Unknowns in the Dazzling World of Derivatives – Revised Edition (2006 and 2010)
overwhelm attempts to contain and solve the European sovereign debt crisis.

Recent frantic efforts that secured release of Euro 12 billion to Greece avoided immediate default but have not solved the fundamental problems. Greece is unlikely to meet targets for tax revenues, spending cuts and sales of public assets.

Links 7/19/11

Why Liberals are Lame, Part 3: Why a Warren Run for Senate is a Terrible Idea

It’s bad enough that what passes for the left has been kneecapped by the Obama Administration. The ambiguous campaign promise “Change you can believe in” has turned out to be a Nixon-goes-to-China series of moves to the right that would have been well nigh impossible for a Republican to execute without incurring significant costs. Remarkably, Obama has increased both the number and scope of wars, used deficit scaremongering to cut Medicare and Social Security, and passed a health care “reform” bill that made overly expensive American health care even more uneconomical by enriching Big Pharma and health care insurers. And this is only a starter list in his campaign against average Americans.

Those visible moves have been accompanied by a largely stealth operation to neuter what were once called progressive organizations (“progressive” has been rendered meaningless by being adopted by pretty much everyone to the left of Attila the Hun). Groups truly committed to a left-leaning anti-corporate platform quickly learned the cost of crossing Team Obama: in their so-called veal pen, the Administration would get big company backers to yank their funding. This process has now moved up the food chain, but with bigger groups, it is less clear whether the Administration is the driver or whether like minded operatives are acting on their own initiative. Regardless, there is increasingly a vacuum to the left of Obama, which eases his continuing move to the right, as think tanks that are perceived to be reasonably independent, like the Economic Policy Institute, mysteriously lose the backing of significant, established funders.

But what is worse are the self-inflicted wounds. What little remains of the left seems to be rallying around Elizabeth Warren, which given the dearth of prominent figures who are serious about standing up for middle class Americans, as opposed to pandering to them and then selling them out, isn’t a bad impulse per se. But they are deploying their energies in quixotic missions or worse, falling completely in line with the Administration’s plans, which has been to subject Warren to a high end version of the veal pen treatment, to box her in and render her incapable of independent operation. And in case you wonder what I am talking about, I mean the plan, concocted by the Democratic party hackocracy, for her to run for the Senate seat now occupied by Scott Brown.

Quelle Surprise! The Banks Lied and Robosigning Lives!

We’ve heard numerous bank executives swear piously before Congressional hearings that those “paperwork problems” that led major servicers to halt or slow foreclosures on a widespread basis last year were “mistakes”. That was already a really big lies, since “mistake” means the practice was not deliberate and was presumably isolated, when in fact robosigning was a widespread, institutionalized practice.

14 major servicers then swore in consent orders earlier this year that they’d stop doing all that bad stuff. But with compliance weak (the banks get to hire the overseers!), they appear to have decided they don’t need to change their ways all that much.

Why Matt Yglesias and Felix Salmon are Wrong About A Legal Way to Circumvent the Debt Ceiling Impasse

Well, the debt limit crisis is upon us. Treasury Secretary Geithner says the US Government will not be able to meet all its obligations on August 3, unless the debt ceiling is increased by Congress. The Secretary says he is out of moves to extend this date. I don’t think that’s true. I think he can use proof platinum coin seigniorage to supply all the money needed to spend Congressional Appropriations.