Commodities: Why They Are a Challenge for Investors
Uncertainty is pushing investors to consider commodities but playing them is not as easy as you think!
Read more...Category Archives: Investment outlook
What Does New High in US Stock Market Margin Debt Portend?
Looking at the significance, or not, of a record high in stock market margin debt.
Read more...The Huge US Bond Market and the US Dollar Blow Off the “Debasement Trade”
Why the dollar and Treasuries have rallied despite the Liberation Day swoon and “debasement trade” patter.
Read more...AI: Is it Really Different this Time?
AI is huge. But so is the hype, hocus-pocus deals, and piles of real money fortified by leverage that caused stock prices to explode.
Read more...Waiting for the Wheels to Come Off as Jamie Dimon, the IMF and Bank of England Warn of Damage of an AI Bubble Burst
A look at the increasingly expected AI bubble implosion and what the impact might be.
Read more...The AI Bubble and the U.S. Economy: How Long Do “Hallucinations” Last?
Why the AI, as in Artificial Information, bubble looks primed to pop soon despite it being a top bipartisan project in the US.
Read more...“AI Makes Past Hype Cycles Look Tame”: PitchBook on the Stunning Venture Capital Mania for AI
At these venture capital AI valuations, “exit hurdles become exceptionally large.” That translates into “Look out below!”
Read more...What Slowdown? Q2 GDP Growth Revised Up to Hot Zone of 3.8%, Stronger Consumer Spending & Private Fixed Investment
The second upward revision of GDP is a headscratcher in light of other data and on the ground reports. Can readers help make sense of this?
Read more...The Dollar: Ripples Presaging a Financial Tsunami
A detailed analysis of the poor prospects for dollar hegemony and the forces that could trigger a sharp unwind.
Read more...Quelle Surprise! CEOs Overwhelmingly Negative on Trump’s Economic Policies as Shallow Fed Rate Cut Confirms Stagflation Worries
Even a bastion of Republican support, CEOs, has soured on Trump’s economic policies, as the damage to regular citizens mounts.
Read more...Is Europe Preparing for War Against Russia or Against Own Populations?
Population control toys aren’t all that useful on the Eurasian Steppe.
Read more...Farcical Visions of Competitiveness in the EU
What will stop these maniacs first? A popular revolt putting them in padded cells or Russian strikes?
Read more...Jim Chanos on Crypto, AI, Dodgy Statistics, and Casino Capitalism
Chanos looks at a broad range of investment hot topics, from cypto to AI, and sees vastly more speculation than value creation
Read more...Trump’s Intel Deal: Knowing the Price of Everything, and the Value of Nothing
Why the Intel deal is a so far small negative for the chip-maker, but still gets Team Trump tar-babied to the low likelihood of a turnaround.
Read more...Powell Tap Dances on Interest Rate Outlook as Stagflation Starts to Kick In
Powell threw Mr. Market and Trump a bone by hinting the Fed might cut rates in Sept. But the Fed lacks good options with stagflation looming
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