Category Archives: Macroeconomic policy

Downgrading Uncle Sam, Not America

An orthodox economist describes inconsistencies in rating agencies’ approach to downgrading US debt and their view of reserve currency status

The Economic Consequences of the Second Trump Administration: A Preliminary Assessment

An overview of the economic impact of Trump’s second term flurry from some Serious Economists. They don’t find much to like.

Yanis Varoufakis: The Economics of Europe’s Descent into Warmongering

The long path that has led Europe to see big defense spending will be a lifeline, hence the need to stoke war fever.

Satyajit Das: A Fist Full of Dollars

Two recent books seem unduly complacent about the status of the dollar as reserve currency.

The Projected Death Count from Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill

Researchers projects that “big beautiful bill” cuts to public health insurance coverage may lead to upwards of 51,000 deaths a year.

Trump’s ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’ Continues Assault on Obamacare

Rather than end Obamacare, which would be politically costly, the Trump Administration is working to hollow it out.

Tariff Turmoil and the Money Markets: Yet Another Rescue Coming

In Treasury markets, there are no libertarians, only grateful recipients of single-payer insurance for ailing financiers.

Musk Might Be Gone, But Watchdogs Warn Trump/DOGE Carnage Will Continue

“Musk’s departure ….does not actually change…. DOGE’s mission to destroy everything that protects the public from….rapacious oligarchs”

Ideology-Driven, Inflationary Trump Tax and Tariff Policies Losing War With Bond and Currency Markets

ump’s trade, tariffs and tax schemes are already starting to come apart. And he seems to have no Plan B.

Trump Smoke and Mirrors on Full Display in Claimed “$142 Billion” Saudi Arms Deal

A look at the workings and effectiveness of Trump hype, from the touted India-Pakistan mediation to DOGE to the new Saudi arms agreement.

Currency Wars, Class Warfare, and the Republican Dilemma Over Medicaid

Faced with a shrinking list of options to trim the budget, Republicans are now eyeing Medicaid – but will that fly among Trump supporters?

Distributional and Macroeconomic Effects of Trump 2.0: The Rich Get Richer and the Poor Get Poorer

The likely outcome of Trump policies are a recession, a rise in inequality, and a further fall in living standards of working and middle-class Americans

Complacency, Denialism and the Risk of an Economic Trumpocalypse

Why the downside to Trump economic policies are far greater than the press and pundit class are willing to acknowledge.

Satyajit Das: The Unravelling – Part 2: Contagion & Containment

Mapping the contagion fever chart of how a Trump financial meltdown might unfold.