An article in the Financial Times give a useful recap of what happened to the financial bugbear of days gone by, namely, the SIV, or structured investment vehicle. Henry Paulson’s failed plan to rescue these not-so-of-balance-sheet entities was front page news for most of the fourth quarter 2007. By the sound of it then, if […]
Read more...Goldman and Barclays are out touting old structured credit technology, apparently collateralized debt obligations, and claim they have been tamed and repurposed and are now virtuous. I am skeptical of these assertions, and welcome informed reader comment. CDOs in particular were leverage on leverage vehicles, and indeed, that seems again to be the reason for […]
Read more...In case you haven’t figured it out, Ed’s post on Sweden highlights an important and troubling development. It seems that central banks have locked themselves into “if the only tool you have is a hammer, every problem looks like a nail” behavior with the move to negative rates. Since they are best able to dispense […]
Read more...Dear readers, we are NOT setting out to have a Willem Buiter-fest this weekend. It’s simply that this is a slow news period and Buiter has a good post after the first video clip I’ve ever seen of him. So if there was more activity, the Buiter-density would be lower. The Anglophile Dutch economist has […]
Read more...Michael Lewis has a generally very good piece in Vanity Fair on the AIG Financial Products mess, filing in some bits that were missing from the equation. He does go a bit overboard in saying nice things about Jake DeSantis, the man who wrote the New York Times “Dear AIG: I Quit!” op ed. To […]
Read more...The dour consumer sentiment readings said that the great unwashed are smarter than the financial talking heads. They had ceased to be impressed with the “green shoots” theory. Lo and behold, worse than expected employment data has proven them right. We’ve pointed out that the Carmen Reinhart/Kenneth Rogoff analysis of past severe financial crises suggests […]
Read more...Martin Wolf is pessimistic about the whether the financial system can be reformed, but nevertheless offers some toughminded suggestions. Oddly, he seems to see the big obstacles not as political, but as practical, that markets are too big and interconnected, and sees that as an intractable problem. I agree that it will almost certainly not […]
Read more...Remember SIVs, financial public enemy number one of late 2007? Henry Paulson spent a lot of time failing around trying to come up with a remedy that involved only the government knocking heads together. That was a resoudnig Then it appeared that everyone shrugged their shoulders and decided this wasn’t such a big deal after […]
Read more...The Bank of International Settlements, mindful of the importance of its role, would never say anything as crass as the translation I offered in the headline. But that is nevertheless a message in its newly-released annual report. From the Guardian (hat tip reader DoctoRx): Taxpayers around the world still face potentially large losses because governments […]
Read more...If Alan Greenspan were serious about rehabilitating himself, he could hire himself out to central banks and instruct their officials in the art of Looking Serous and Appearing to Say Important Things While Actually Communicating Nothing. This is a crucial skill for anyone in an important bureaucratic position. The Chinese could use a few lessons. […]
Read more...There are some interesting things one learns in putting together a book. Blogging is a lot like working in watercolors, speed and confidence in execution are key, versus the oil-painting medium of a book. And you learn how many times you wind up scraping the canvas and reworking. I’m up to the sixth revision of […]
Read more...Submitted by Knute Knutson: As I imagine many of your are, I’m an avid reader of Gillian Tett’s Financial Times columns, I therefore purchased her recent book, Fool’s Gold: How the Bold Dream of a Small Tribe at J.P. Morgan Was Corrupted by Wall Street Greed and Unleashed a Catastrophe, shortly after its release. Ms. […]
Read more...What amounted to a statement of principles and a very few stakes in the ground from Timothy Geithner on financial reform got a largely hostile reaction from Congress (see Ed Harrison here and here for further detail). The main criticism was that the notion of making the Fed the uber stability regulator/financial system overseer (officially, […]
Read more...The Treasury Department’s plans for securitization reform are being bandied about in the press. A key question is whether it can or will fix the now-broken private securitization process. Credit became more dependent on securitization than many realize. By pretty much any metric, the role of banks relative to other players has declined since 1980, […]
Read more...Submitted by Rolfe Winkler, publisher of OptionARMageddon So much for de-leveraging…The Fed published its latest Flow of Funds report today. One key takeaway: While total debt is growing more slowly, it is still growing. Since Q3 ’08 households have cut their debt (slightly), but the federal government is borrowing so rapidly, overall debt continues to […]
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