Category Archives: Credit markets

AIG: Hearings Present Evidence That Management Disguised Losses

From coverage of Congressional hearings in the New York Times (hat tip reader Tom): [Former AIG CEO Martin} Sullivan also came under fire for reassuring shareholders about the health of the company last December, just days after its auditor, Pricewaterhouse Cooper, warned of him that AIG was displaying ”material weakness” in its huge exposure to […]

Lessons From Modern Economic Crises (Not for the Fainthearted)

Now that the world is in the throes of the mother of all financial messes, economists are scrambling to develop expertise. Carmine Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff recently had this beat largely to themselves. but in the last two weeks, the IMF came out with a stud of 124 modern banking crises. The latest addition to […]

A Glimpse Into the Abyss

I must confess a certain fondness for the apocalyptic sort of financial writer, provided they don’t lose anchoring with reality and fall into the tinfoil hat category. Nouriel Roubini is the case example of an economist who favors a baroque, melodramatic style, and despite sounding more than a tad unhinged at points, he has proven […]

NY Times: Fed Considering Buying Commercial Paper

Now we see how the Fed’s toolkit is not well suited to the problem at hand, and its next-best moves are dubious indeed. Acute conditions in the commercial paper market, a vital source of short-term funding for large corporations and banks, threaten to produce a sharp contraction in business activity. Commercial paper defaults have been […]

Japan, Australia Inject $11 Billion to Combat Rising Money Market Rates

Even with Japan’s banks largely on the sidelines in the international housing bubble (US subprime exposure is a mere $8 billion), its money markets are suffering the effects of the flight from risk. Both Japan and Australia pumped more funds into their markets to combat banks’ unwillingness to lend to each other. From Bloomberg: Japan […]

Roubini: Fed Fiddles While Rome Burns

We noted earlier today that neither the signing of the much-touted bailout bill, nor the dramatic increase in size of the already bulked-up Term Auction Facility (it has been enlarged six-fold in a mere two weeks) has had any impact on conditions the money markets, which are barely functioning. We noted earlier and reiterated that […]

Term Auction Facility Increased to $900 Billion, With No Apparent Success

The increase in the size of the Term Auction Facility, from $150 billion a month ($75 billion per two 28 day auction) as of its last auction to $900 billion today (with an interim plan to go to $450 billion that was blown past in this announcement) is an admission that the banking system is […]

Wolfgang Munchau: Europe Needs a Bank Rescue Plan

Wolfgang Munchau, who writes for the Financial Times and the blog EuroIntelligence, argues that the fact that EU member nations managed to survive their first series of bank failures does not mean it can afford to take the risk of defaulting to continued improvisation. Munchau comes out squarely in favor of a coordinated, funded rescue […]

Money Market Stress Worsens in London, Europe Despite Bailout Bill

The specter of six major financial institutions failing in a mere two weeks has confirmed the wisdom of banks’ tendency to hang onto their money and not lend it out to their bretheren. The bailout bill passed last week appears to have made nary a dent in the tightfistedness; it’s an open question as to […]

Fed Considering More Extreme Measures, Further Expansion of Its Role

As the Fed’s interventions have failed to halt the progress of the credit crisis, the central bank has taken even bigger measures, only to see them provide at best temporary relief. As we have indicated, the Fed’s moves appear to have hit the point of being counterproductive. Why should banks deal with each other when […]

Hypo Bank Gets $68 Billion Rescue

The latest crisis averted…..From Bloomberg: The German government and the country’s banks and insurers agreed on a 50 billion euro ($68 billion) rescue package for commercial property lender Hypo Real Estate Holding AG after an earlier bailout faltered. Germany’s financial industry agreed to double a credit line for Hypo Real Estate to 30 billion euros, […]

European Leaders Promise to Save Major Banks, But Fail to Adopt EU Plan

So far, the statement released this afternoon US time out of a Euro summit amounts to an attempt at reassuring hand-waving but in fact was merely a restatement of the status quo. The group of European leaders did agree on a set of principles, but it remains an open question whether they will be able […]

Germany to Guarantee Bank Deposits; Efforts to Salvage Hypo Bank Continue

In response to the crisis at Hypo Bank, Germany said it will guarantee bank deposits. Note that no action was announced regarding Hypo, whose collapse is expected in the next few days if a rescue is not in place. Hypo is not a depositary institution, but it is sufficiently large (almost as big as Lehman) […]

Soros: "He Foresaw the End of an Era"

John Cassidy, in the New York Review of Books, discusses George Soros’ latest book, The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What It Means, emphasizing how the storied investor’s views differ from those of the efficient markets/rational expectations school of economics. It also weaves in a wide-ranging discussion of the […]

The Paulson Plan = MLEC Version 2.0

I can be painfully slow to see things sometime….. Long-standing readers and finance junkies may remember the Treasury’s structured investment vehicle fiasco of last fall. By way of background, banks had created off balance sheet entities called structured investment vehicles (SIVs) which contained subprime (and sometimes other) assets, funded by commercial paper and short-term debt. […]