Category Archives: Credit markets

Asian Central Banks Throw Money at Seized-Up Credit Markets

Oh, we are in for a wild ride today. Oddly, the reaction in Pacific rim stock markets seems comparatively subdued (the Nikkei is down only 134 points, but the Hang Seng has fallen over 2%), but the credit markets are stumbling badly. Central banks are rushing to the rescue, but their efforts aren’t having much […]

Dallas Fed’s Richard Fisher Worries About Cost and Effectiveness of Bailout Bill

Mirabile dictu, one of the Fed governors is expressing reservations about the stalled bailout proposal. Richard Fisher’s concern is that it would push Federal debt precariously high. From Bloomberg: Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher said the proposed $700 billion rescue of financial institutions backed by Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke would plunge the […]

Is the Plan Still in Play? (Updated Further, Yes There May Be No Deal As of Now)

Readers Dean and Dwight wrote to tell me that CNBC is reporting that Senator Shelby (R-Alabama, and the ranking member of the Senate Banking Committed) came out of the White House waving the University of Chicago organized letter from economists objecting to the plan and said there was no agreement. Given the apparent momentum to […]

"A Bailout We Don’t Need"

As James Galbraith points out in today’s Washington Post (hat tip reader Marshall), the Paulson bailout plan wasn’t necessary, and any rescue could have been handled by expanding existing programs: Now that all five big investment banks — Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley — have disappeared or morphed into […]

More Clarification of Bailout Details (Updated)

From the Washington Post: House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank (D-Mass.) said the bailout deal reached by key lawmakers calls for dividing the $700 billion pricetag into three parts: Paulson would receive $250 billion immediately and another $100 billion upon White House certification of its necessity. The final $350 billion could be dispersed without […]

Goal of Paulson Plan: Restore Mark-to-Myth Accounting

While we have focused on the fact that the Treasury bailout plan, which with some tweaks, is moving towards approval. is a covert and inefficient recapitalization of the banking system, other observers see another goal for the plan. The contend that its main purpose is to circumvent mark-to-market accounting. The belief is that mark to […]

Paulson Plan Officially On

While there have been various reports during the day that a version 2.0 of the Treasury bailout bill was moving towards passage, the agreement in principle now appears to be official. From the Wall Street Journal: A bipartisan group of House and Senate lawmakers left a two-hour-plus meeting in the U.S. Capitol on Thursday saying […]

The New York Times Spreads Disinformation About the Paulson Plan

Vikas Bajaj of the New York Times is an able reporter and I have often enjoyed his work. I was therefore taken aback when I read his article, “Plan’s Basic Mystery: What’s All This Stuff Worth?” since it misleads readers as to the intent and thrust of the so-called Troubled Asset Relief Program. This is […]

Democrats Say "Breakthrough" Enables Them to Pass Bailout Bill Tomorrow

As we said when the idea of this bill was first mooted, bye bye US AAA rating, bye bye dollar. Not overnight, but the die is cast. We have also said that the eagerness to pass this measure is based on the faulty premise that this package will actually do something to solve the problem. […]

Credit Default Swaps Outstanding Shrinks as Dealers Tear Up Agreements

The International Swaps and Derivatives Association reported that the notional amount of credit default swaps outstanding fell from $62 trillion to a bit under $55 trillion as dealers worked to eliminate offsetting trades. This is a step forward, although it is hard to assess how significant it is. While the reduction in systemic risk is […]

Libor Rises as Banks Hoard Cash

The bank funding market continues to be under stress. To some degree, this was anticipated, as various market participants saw signs that the year-end liquidity squeeze, and the months preceding it, would be worse than last year, which was bad enough to lead to the creation of the first special liquidity vehicle, the Term Auction […]

$5 Trillion Needed to Stop Bank Crisis, Says Japanese Expert

Ken Ohmae, former head of McKinsey’s Tokyo office (disclosure: I have a passing acquaintence with him and he was enormously well regarded in his day despite being a tireless self-promoter) says that the Paulson program is grossly inadequate and the magnitude of the US crisis is so large that a $5 trillion international facility is […]

SEC’s Cox Calls for Authority to Regulate Credit Default Swaps

Nothing like a turf war to wake up a sleepy regulator. It seems rather telling that Cox has developed a sudden interest in the credit default swaps market a mere day after New York State announced that it will regulate the product (to the limited extent it can) starting January of next year. (Although the […]

Credit Crunch Hitting the Oil Patch

It appears no sector of the economy is immune from the credit crunch. The Wall Street Journal reported over the weekend that luxury goods and services are taking a hit (a slowdown in plastic surgery, quelle horreur!). Natural gas producers are also seeing the impact. From Platts (hat tip reader Michael): Chesapeake Energy CEO Aubrey […]

Bernanke Tells Congress Economy Will Contract if Bailout Bill Not Passed (Updated)

It is becoming clear that Bernanke simply does not get it. Just as he once thought subprime was contained, and has continued to misread the nature and trajectory of the credit crisis, so too he has said that there is a way out of it that involves little or no cost in terms of growth. […]