Category Archives: Credit markets

Bear Stearns Hedge Fund Fallout Continues

In case you missed it, the US stock market was rattled by the continuing aftershocks of the Bear Stearns subprime-related hedge fund fallout, with the Dow down 185, and Bear itself was down in line with the Dow (both fell 1.4%, although Bear was up slightly in the aftermarket at this hour). Now the odd […]

Investors Starting to Choke on LBO Debt

One of the reasons the US market traded down today was fears the LBO boom is coming to an end, and support for that thesis came in a Bloomberg story, “Thomson Learning Shows `Breaking Point’ for Junk Debt.” Three deals, Thomson Learning, US Foodservice, and Dollar General, are having trouble finding lenders on terms recently […]

Gloomy Reading From the Economist on Subprime Prospects

The Economist takes a detached, often ironic, tone in its articles. So when one reads a piece that exudes worry, as this week’s “Bearish Turns” does, it’s noteworthy. The piece recites a litany of likely developments in the credit markets, all negative: the indeterminate state of the Bear Stearns subprime hedge funds; the near-certainty of […]

On Valuing CDOs

A solid piece, “Collateral value thrust to the fore by woes at Bear Stearns,” by capital markets editor, Gillian Tett of the Financial Times. It’s inherently difficult to value assets that don’t trade often (think of art), yet dodgy CDO paper has already been valued as colleteral so loans could be made against it. Some […]

Latest on the Bear Stearns Subprime Hedge Fund Fallout

It continues to be lively on the Bear Sterns front. As readers doubtless know, two Bear Stearns sponsored hedge funds run by Ralph Cioffi that focused on subprimes had trouble meeting margin calls and went into liquidation. On the one hand, the Wall Street Journal appears not to be putting it on the first page […]

Bear Stearns Hedge Fund Meltdown Rattles Subprime Sector

The Financial Times and the Wall Street Journal give complementary updates on the unraveling of the Bear Stearns subprime hedge funds, the larger of which was the High Grade Structured Credit Strategies Enhanced Leverage Fund. Merrill Lynch and Deutsche Bank put up over $1 billion in assets seized from the funds for sale today. Some […]

Who is the Bagholder in the Subprime Correction?

In recent years, financial services firms have become increasingly adept at the game of “pin the liability on the bagholder.” Wall Street players structure complicated new products and seem peculiarly able to strip a disproportionate share of the economic value out as up-front fees. I say “peculiarly” simply because investors buy this stuff, even the […]

Central Bankers Frustrated at Their Lack of Influence

OK, the headline may be exaggerating, but not by much. A Bloomberg article titled, “Bernanke, Trichet Turn to BIS as Markets Ignore Risk,” discusses how central bankers are finding the Bank of International Settlements an increasingly important forum for exchanging ideas and intelligence. What is distressing yet not surprising is the central bankers’ acknowledgement of […]

Marc Faber on Liquidity, Leverage, and Bubbles

Marc Faber, who likes a colorful turn of phrase, has a sobering piece in the Financial Times, “Market insight: Beware the driving forces behind surging asset prices.” He looks at the symptom of pervasive asset bubbles (at least until US housing started unravelling) and traces it back to rapid money supply growth, which produced the […]

Martin Wolf on the Brave New World of Finance

Martin Wolf has an excellent story today in the Financial Times, “Unfettered finance is fast reshaping the global economy,” in which he describes the change from “managerial capitalism” to “global financial capitalism.” Wolf takes pains to avoid taking sides on whether this development is a good thing or a bad thing, but one senses that […]

Steve Rattner’s Jeremiad on Lax Lending

Steve Rattner, best known as the heir apparent at Lazard Freres who overplayed his hand, and is now the head of a private equity firm, Quadrangle Partners, wrote a rather curious piece, “The Coming Credit Meltdown,” that ran in Monday’s Wall Street Journal (apologies for being on the late side in posting it). The odd […]

The Bond Market Hath Spoken (But a Lot of People Aren’t Listening)

I know we are in the midst of a classic pattern, but it is still mystifying to watch it operate. At the end of a cycle, bonds start to decline in price before the equity market starts to fall. One would think that this sequence was sufficiently well established that the time lag between the […]

CDOs: Whistling in the Dark

We have mentioned before that the CDO market, a dark, murky, but rapidly growing part of the financial markets, is looking dodgier by the day. A brief primer: CDOs resemble other structured credits, like mortgage backed securities, in that they are structured into tranches of varying credit quality and maturities. The top tier is often […]