Category Archives: Federal Reserve

Nouriel Roubini: "The Coming U.S. Hard Landing"

Some may have already seen Nouriel Roubini’s latest piece, “The Coming U.S. Hard Landing.” He goes through an exhaustive and exhausting litany of what ails the US economy (short answer: pretty much everything, although he did spare weak-kneed readers the role of global imbalances). His article is worth reading, and the extracts that relate to […]

The Asset Shuffling Game

Financial Times writer John Authers passed along an interesting observation from UBS’s George Magnus (the man who popularized “Minsky moment”) about the credit crisis: Issuance of commercial paper – short-term borrowing central to many financial institutions – is drying up, while Libor, reflecting the interest rates at which banks lend to each other, is spiking […]

Fed President Plosser: Don’t Count on the Fed Put

In a speech in Hawaii this morning, Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser the Fed’s views on stability and monetary policy, and his words were cold cheer to anyone expecting a rate cut. Calculated Risk noted that it was unusual for for a Fed president to speak so directly about monetary policy. Plosser noted that monthly […]

A Call for Central Bankers to Hang Tough

With today’s weak non-farm payrolls report, financial markets participants have turned up the volume on their calls to the Fed to lower interest rates. Even Barney Frank, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, has weighed in, urging a “meaningful” cut. So the Financial Times comment today by Raghuram Rajan, professor of finance at the […]

Martin Wolf on a "Sadly Predictable Debt Crisis"

The problem with being a night blogger is that one is either early or late on the day’s news. Apologies for being late to turn to the Financial Times’ Martin Wolf’s article on what he describes as “the first crisis of our brave new world of securitized financial markets.” The piece is in the form […]

Brad DeLong Argues That Central Banks Should Cut Interest Rates

It’s always dangerous for mere mortals to take issue with Serious Economists, but let’s start with Brad DeLong’s thesis (hat tip Mark Thoma): The fact that there is even a small liquidity crunch for banks implies larger liquidity crunches for less intensively regulated financial institutions, and even greater liquidity crunches for manufacturing and real-estate companies. […]

The Barriers to Bottom Fishing

John Dizard, in today’s Financial Times, tells us why, despite the fact that a lot of fixed income paper is on offer at very cheap prices, no one seems to be stepping to the plate. And his explanation bodes ill for things turning around very soon. The simple story is that even though the buys […]

"The Fed versus the financiers"

Below are some excerpts from a good piece by Kenneth Rogoff on the Guardian’s website, which discusses why Bernanke thinks the Fed has no business worrying about asset prices, but argues that the lousy quality of macroeconomic data means policy makers ought to consider the information embedded in market prices: A bit of intellectual history […]

Housing Remedy: Employer of the Last Resort?

Financial Times columnist Wolfgang Munchau, in “Prepare for the credit crisis to spread,” tells us that the credit crunch is likely to get worse, since credit problems will spread to credit card receivables and car loans, both of which are typically securitized, and collateralized loan obligations (read takeover debt) also look shaky. Munchau argues that […]

Bundesbank President Weber vs. White House on Housing Crisis

Apologies for the heavy reliance on the Financial Times today, but the pickings elsewhere are meager indeed. The FT has an interesting juxtaposition of stores on its website tonight. The lead story, from the Fed’s Jackson Hole conference, reports that Bundesbank President Axel Weber described the current credit crunch as resembling a bank run, but […]

James Hamilton on Credit Crunches, Bank Runs, and Regulation

Jim Hamilton should get an award for his remarks today at the Federal Reserve’s conference at Jackson Hole. His talk sought to step away from the issue du jour, namely what if anything, to do about housing, and look at larger structural and regulatory concerns. He brought up uncomfortable issues, in particular, the rising level […]

Fed Governor Mishkin Urges Swift Action to Combat Housing Price Decline

In a paper presented at the Fed’s Jackson Hole conference, Federal Reserve governor Frederic Mishkin urged central bankers to respond quickly and aggressively to large falls in housing prices, arguing that it was less effective to wait to see the impact of falling housing prices on the economy. Mishkin disputed the notion that consumer use […]

Willem Buiter on the Fed’s Limited Independence

I hope you don’t think this blog is in danger of becoming the “all Fed, all the time” channel, but this is an otherwise slow news period and central bankers are very much in the spotlight. Willem Buiter has a long post on his blog which discusses the Fed’s limited independence compared to other central […]

Commercial Paper Market Still in Distress

Bloomberg tells us that the commercial paper market is shrinking rapidly.This is a more serious issue than might appear. Commercial paper is an important, if not the most important, source of short-term funding for sizable corporations, mainly because it’s cheap and flexible. They can reading adjust the amount outstanding to reflect changes in their need […]

The WSJ’s Greg Ip Defends Bernanke Against Martin Wolf

Frankly, this is pathetic. If Bernanke and his minions can’t take the heat of some well-deserved criticism from the highly-regarded Martin Wolf of the Financial Times, they don’t belong in public service. To recap: yesterday, Wolf issued a stinging rebuke of Bernanke’s conduct on the Financial Times editorial page, in “Central banks should not rescue […]