Has the Murdoch era already begun? Two days in a row we have had page one stories in the Wall Street Journal that managed to skew the facts. Today’s piece, “Foreign Investors Face New Hurdles Across the Globe,” is misleading in a minor and a major way. The minor way is likely to be apparent […]
Read more...The Bear Stearns/CDO drama has taken attention away from other worrisome conditions in the economy, and the biggest one is “global imbalances,” which is shorthand for the US running continuing, large current account deficits that are financed for the most part by foreign central banks, particularly those of China, Japan, and Saudi Arabia. We’ve lived […]
Read more...A bit of good news for the beleaguered American white collar worker: wages have gone up so much in India that “offshoring,” or moving functions overseas, looks like a losing proposition when all costs are factored in. From “Bangalore wages spur ‘reverse offshoring’” in the Financial Times: The rising cost of paying engineers in Bangalore […]
Read more...The concept that cheap imports result in job losses should be a no-brainer, but it is still greeted with considerable resistance in some circles. Let’s be clear on a few points: while open trade in theory creates benefits to all parties, the system we have isn’t open trade, but managed trade. Most other countries negotiate […]
Read more...Dani Rodrik posted the findings of a paper by Anna Maria Mayda, Kevin O’Rourke, and Richard Sinnot that concludes that that public has less protectionist leanings in countries with a larger government sector (which presumably means more social services). Rodrik was surprised by their conclusion. I am surprised that Rodrik is surprised. Martin Wolf, the […]
Read more...One of the hopes, or more accurately, fantasies of a few months ago was that increased business investment would offset slowing consumer spending. This forecast defied basic logic. Why would businesses take on more risk if consumer buying, the big driver of the economy, was sluggish? One would expect lower rather than higher capex. And […]
Read more...An interesting shift is taking place in the economics world. Not so long ago, anyone who had anything to say against free trade was dismissed as being economically illiterate. In a surprisingly short period of time, the consensus seems to be shifting towards a willingness to admit that while free trade produces substantial benefits in […]
Read more...Martin Wolf has an excellent story today in the Financial Times, “Unfettered finance is fast reshaping the global economy,” in which he describes the change from “managerial capitalism” to “global financial capitalism.” Wolf takes pains to avoid taking sides on whether this development is a good thing or a bad thing, but one senses that […]
Read more...This is one of those days when there is quite a lot of good material, so forgive me for being brief. The Financial Times, on its editorial page, issued a warning to the US about getting chippy with the Chinese about the value of its currency. It did not stress some of the reasons argued […]
Read more...A Bloomberg story tells us that Japanese retail investors are undermining the forecasts (and worse, trades) of large investment banks. The banks think the yen is seriously undervalued. Unfortunately, when it appreciates, retail investors buy more assets in countries that offer more yield, which leads them to sell yen, keeping the currency in its place. […]
Read more...A post on the Guardian’s blog by Jeremy Seabrook blames a lot of the social ills afflicting British youth on the intrusion of the marketplace: binge-drinking, the “normalisation” of drugs, the cult of celebrity, the supremacy of what money can buy, incivility, absence of respect, obesity, the epidemic of sexually transmitted diseases – are by-products […]
Read more...Below is an excellent post by Barry Eichengreen, Professor of Economics and Political Science at UC Berkeley, at the new blog VoxEU. The post posits that the biggest risk to Asia is an asset crash, and looks at America’s experience during its industrializing phase to see what lessons might be learned. He determines that whether […]
Read more...The US has spent considerable time and energy hectoring the Chinese about the artificially low value of its currency (although there is considerable disagreement among experts as to how undervalued it really is). The notion that the currency is the chief culprit has become so fixed in the public imagination that Congress is determined to […]
Read more...Martin Wolf, in a Financial Times comment, “Villains and victims of global capital flows,” looks at the two competing theories of the causes of global imbalances. One is the savings glut story, in which parsimonious Chinese and Japanese force the US to consume to keep the world from falling into recession. This view is favored […]
Read more...Faithful readers, I hope you’ll forgive the comparatively skimpy posts this early morning. I had to spend some time with a buddy who had just learned that one of his closest friends is dying. Generally, I give trade economics a wide berth, because once you get past simple two-country, two factor models the discussion gets […]
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