Category Archives: Moral hazard

Guest Post: A Plunge in Foreign Net Capital Inflows Preceded the Break in US Financial Markets

Served by Jesse of Le Café Américain The peak of foreign capital inflows into the US was clearly seen in the second quarter of 2007, just before the crisis in the US that has rocked its banking system and driven it deeply into recession. Are the two events connected? Had the US become a Ponzi […]

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Rogoff Shreds "When in Doubt, Bail It Out" Policy

Grr. It was so obvious and it never occurred to me…:”When in doubt, bail it out.” I am jealous. Kenneth Rogoff, who among other things has (with Carmen Reinhart) has created a large dataset on financial crises through history, today takes on the exceedingly permissive posture the US has adopted to the banking industry, simply […]

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New Stress Trial Balloon Floated

I am coming to realize there might be method in the seeming madness of changing dates and shifting sneak previews via favored members of the press as to what the stress tests might entail. Tire out the critics, numb the casual followers, and leave the boosters in firm control of share of mind. Let’s face […]

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Guest Post: FDIC’s Insurance Commitments 34% Higher Than Reported

Submitted by Rolfe Winkler, publisher of OptionARMageddon. [Reader note: I thought it useful to add commentary around the FDIC data. Those that would prefer to skip straight to it, see the chart and read paragraphs 4-9]. Conventional wisdom says that financial companies are having trouble borrowing because credit markets are broken. This is dangerously wrong. […]

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US Deviating Considerably From Swedish Banking Crisis Best Practices

A good article in tonight’s Financial Times gives useful detail about the Swedish response to its early 1990s banking crisis. As readers may know, Sweden (along with the less touted Norway) is considered to have been particularly effective in mopping up a banking crisis. We and others have observed that the US is engaging in […]

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Guest Post: Moral Hazard Now Biting GM

Submitted by Lune This blog and many other authors have pointed to the large moral hazards that the federal government’s actions have created so far. It was typically expected that these moral hazards would play out in the next cycle of boom/bust, with financial players taking bigger risks for their own gain while expecting public […]

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