Category Archives: Politics

Managing Down "Bretton Woods" Expectations

Hyperbole has become a mainstay of discourse in the US. The upcoming financial summit set for November 15 in Washington DC is being wrapped in the Bretton Woods brand, when it appears to be a different sort of beast. As a Wall Street Journal story reminds us, Bretton Woods was a three week session among […]

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Emerging Markets Banks Hoist on Foreign Borrowing Petard

A colorful and informative article by John Dizard in the Financial Times on how emerging markets may not have dodged foreign currency exposure risk despite their central banks having very large foreign exchange reserves. It turns out their banks and major companies weren’t so prudent. Dizard raises a second issue here, one that was discussed […]

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Mitsubishi and Morgan Stanley Renegotiating Mitsubishi Equity Purchase

Oh, just when it might be looking safe to go into the pool again, by virtue of the EU putting up a substantial enough plan to possibly start calming overfrayed nerves, another source of worry appears to be deteriorating, namely Morgan Stanley. Sports fans may recall that a badly-needed cash injection into the embattled investment […]

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EU Leaders Agree to Guarantee Bank Borrowings, Prevent Failures (Updated: Inject Capital Too)

The statement of intent by the EU today is progress but far short of a plan. However, measures by major countries are to be announced tomorrow. The statement, that each country will announce measures, may be greeted with disappointment, since there had been some hope that the summit would announce an EU program, as opposed […]

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IMF Warns of Systemic Meltdown

Reader Saboor pointed to a BBC report on grim words from IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn about the state of the global financial system; reader Dwight later sent a link to a bit more detailed Reuters report. First from the BBC, “IMF in global ‘meltdown’ warning“: The world financial system is teetering on the “brink of […]

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Germany Relents, Drafting Plan for Bank Rescue Facility

One troubling aspect of the banking crisis was that European banks, like their US peers, are at risk of failure, and some of them are sufficiently large that they are beyond the capacity of any one country to save. While Fortis was bailed out by three countries, ad hoc arrangements are risky. As Keynes said, […]

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Monster Stock Reversal on Reports of Treasury Moves to Tame Libor

The Dow rallied over 900 points to as high as 283 and is now in positive territory. Reader M passed us this report: A well informed investor I speak to regularly relays that the 3:45 PM speech by Paulson, coming out of the IMF meetings, will include the roll out of a joint clearing mechanism […]

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UK: Financial System Close to Collapse; Italy Breaks on "Weak" G7 Draft

England, which has been more candid in talking about the financial crisis than other countries (the governor of the Bank of England has said, for instance, that living standards will fall) issued a blunt assessment earlier today. The scary update is that even overnight lending is starting to break down. From the Financial Times: UK […]

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Wolfgang Munchau: Policy Errors Risk Turning Credit Crunch Into Depression

Wolfgang Munchau in EuroIntelligence argues against conventional wisdom, which is that modern policy tools and institutional arrangements will keep the credit crisis from morphing into a depression. He contends that the policy errors, the result of political considerations, have been substantial. He also says that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson devised the badly-flawed Troubled Assets Repurchase […]

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SEC’s Cox Censors Report on Bear Collapse

The public got a bglimpse of an unedited report on Bear Stearns failure because Senator Charles Grassley put the full version on the Internet briefly. The official version had significant deletions. From Bloomberg (hat tip reader Alex): U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Christopher Cox’s regulators stood by as shrinking capital ratios and growing subprime […]

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AIG: Hearings Present Evidence That Management Disguised Losses

From coverage of Congressional hearings in the New York Times (hat tip reader Tom): [Former AIG CEO Martin} Sullivan also came under fire for reassuring shareholders about the health of the company last December, just days after its auditor, Pricewaterhouse Cooper, warned of him that AIG was displaying ”material weakness” in its huge exposure to […]

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