Category Archives: Politics

Media Rorschach Test: Divergent Readings on the Saudis’ Wee Production Increase

The interpretations of the implications of the Riyadh-Washington pas de deux over oil production increases were surprisingly disparate, a seeming Rorschach test of sentiment about the US, Bush, and the Middle East. The papers that see themselves as US opinion leaders, namely the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal, stressed how little the […]

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Media, Congress Waking Up to Freddie and Fannie Default Risk

It’s amazing how a problem isn’t a problem until it’s presented as one on television or a respected print outlet. Never mind the fact that the cognoscenti have been worried about the possibility that the two big mortgage guarantors, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, were too thinly capitalized relative to their massive balance sheets. Never […]

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Quelle Surprise! Bush Homeowner Rescue Program Falls Short of Low Expectatios

Last year, we were less than impressed with Bush’s tightly bounded but widely touted plan to use the FHA, a traditional source of financing to low and middle income borrowers, to help salvage homeowners at risk of begin dispossessed. Note we have doubts about “rescue debtor” operations. Iin many cases, these borrowers had little to […]

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Foreclosures Hitting Rentals Too

Thanks for your patience. Still in LA at the Milken Conference (I feel like I have been parachuted into a Pasadena Republican/Chicago School of Economics parallel universe, although I have managed to find some fellow apostates. If I spent enough time here, I might be brainwashed (social assent is very powerful). Thus I hope you […]

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Larry Summers Disingenuous Discussion of Free Trade

Larry Summers, in “America needs to make a new case for trade,” worries, as do many others, about rising protectionist sentiments: In a world where Americans can legitimately doubt whether the success of the global economy is good for them, it will be In a world where Americans can legitimately doubt whether the success of […]

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"Radical reform will be flawed by compromise and fudging"

John Plender in the Financial Times offers a hit list of what he views as the obvious priorities for financial services reform and assesses the odds of them being implemented. It’s a useful exercise, but also a sobering reminder of how difficult it is to effect change in an industry that has proven to be […]

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Bear/JP Morgan: The Rashomon Defense

While there have been dark mutterings about how Bear shareholders were cheated in the sale of the firm to JP Morgan, I don’t have much sympathy for that view. Plenty of businesses fail every day; equity investors usually lose their entire stake and employees are fired. While it is sad on a human level to […]

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Bear Hearings: A Charade

Because I was distracted today (houseguest, plus preparing for out of town trip), I haven’t spent as much time as I would have like on the Congressional hearings into the Bear bailout. Judging from the media reports, it seems that the assertive presentations by the perps, um participants in the deal were not met with […]

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"The prudent will have to pay for the profligate"

Martin Wolf takes a discursive route to make a fairly straightforward observation: no matter how the US deals with its debt hangover, the consequences are likely to be contractionary. But a rapid move to a sustainable savings rate (6%? 10%?) would produce tremendous dislocations. Hence, the public sector will throw sand in the gears, which […]

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