Repeat after me: bye bye the US’s AAA rating and the dollar. Although the Paulson’s plan is only sketchy, on the surface, it is utterly ridiculous. The authorities propose to save the economy by buying mortgage paper at market prices. Why do we need the government to create a massive and costly effort to buy […]
Read more...As we noted in a post yesterday, the assault on the evil shorts may wind up being a case of unintended consequences, since the investors targeted, mainly hedge funds, often use leverage supplied by their friendly prime broker (Goldman and Morgan Stanley are far and away the biggest in that business). If funds take big […]
Read more...New measures to shore up the markets are coming so fast and furious that it is becoming hard to keep track of them. What most people do not realize is that they produced some not-very-pretty unintended consequences. As we discussed (courtesy reader Lune) at the time: 1) Congress raises conforming limits on Fannie/Freddie to help […]
Read more...Oh boy, bye bye the US AAA rating (at some point, not due specifically to this move, but from the philosophy it represents) and the dollar. The financial markets are simply too large for the US taxpayer to stand behind them all, but that isn’t going to prevent the authorities from trying. And like the […]
Read more...I try to avoid quoting post in full, but this one is important, it’s been up long enough that I don’t imagine I am siphoning off any traffic, and the folks at FT Alphaville seem to be good sports. As they reported yesterday in “Truth, the flexibility of facts, and market panics“: Phone rings… FT […]
Read more...Staring in March, I’ve gotten an increasing number of “what should I do with my money>” and the not-uncommon “what should I do about my bank?” None of these were “how do I get make money?” questions. They were all oriented towards safety and showed a high degree of concern. I took these to be […]
Read more...Reader eh pointed out in comments today that we could see “a monster snapback rally” should the tone of news improve, and one may be in progress. Bloomberg reports that Senator Charles Schumer proposed creating a new agency to provide equity to distressed financial firms. The stock market, and financials in particular, applauded. But in […]
Read more...The credit markets had a seizure on Wednesday. To recap the mind-numbing events: Three month T-bills finished at a two basis point yield, and may even have traded at negative yields. Signs of ZIRP. Gold rose $68 and is still going up in Asia. The dollar fell against the yen, a sign of continued carry […]
Read more...A sound case can be made for pro-cyclical capital requirements, that is, lowering the amount of capital that banks must hold relative to assets in bad times and increasing it in good ones. Indeed, well designed pro-cyclical rules lean against the banks’ propensity to overdo on lending to the point where they blow themselves up. […]
Read more...The independent securities firm model comes under siege as Morgan Stanley and Goldman shares took a beating today. From Bloomberg: Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the biggest U.S. securities firms, tumbled the most ever in New York trading after a government rescue of American International Group Inc. failed to ease the credit crisis. […]
Read more...The end game for Washington Mutual is nigh. From Reuters: U.S. federal regulators recently called a number of banks asking if they would consider buying Washington Mutual Inc should it eventually falter, the New York Post said, citing sources. Federal banking regulators, in recent days, contacted Wells Fargo & Co, JPMorgan Chase & Co, HSBC […]
Read more...the Treasury is applying some elbow grease too. From Bloomberg: The U.S. Treasury said it will sell bills to allow the Federal Reserve to expand its balance sheet, a day after the government agreed to take over American International Group Inc. “The Treasury Department announced today the initiation of a temporary Supplementary Financing Program at […]
Read more...Due to the lateness of the hour, I will be a bit more terse than I perhaps should be. We discussed yesterday that one of the emergency measures implemented by the Fed was the suspension of the rules prohibiting banks from using deposits to fund their investment banking subsidiaries. Reader dh helpfully pointed to background […]
Read more...The numbers and the measures become more and more extreme. For AIG to get permission from regulators to move $20 billion in capital from its subs to the holding company and have significant asset disposals teed up wasn’t sufficient to shore up the embattled insurer., The Fed has reportedly convened yet another emergency session to […]
Read more...Readers may recall that we were gobsmacked that the conservatorship of Fannie and Freddie involved wiping out dividends on their existing preferred stock. That was stunningly shortsighted move, guaranteed to be commemorated as a a major mistake when histories of this period are written. Fannie and Freddie preferred were held by banks, so any losses […]
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