Category Archives: Regulations and regulators

This Week’s Bank Failure Surprisingly Costly

Some of the usual suspects have dutifully noted the closure of $1.1 billion in assets Integrity Bank of Alpharetta, Georgia (weirdly, the links at the Wall Street Journal to two stories lead only to “Page Not Available”). The plot is already familiar: the Friday night, FDIC prepack, in this case, with Birmingham, Alabama-based Regions bank […]

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Regulators Putting More Banks on a Short Leash

As the Wall Street Journal tells us, the Fed and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency are issuing more “memorandums of understanding”. The MOUs not only put the bank on notice that its finances or controls aren’t up to snuff, but also call for specific remedies, such as cutting dividends, raising capital, or […]

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"The subprime turmoil: What’s old, what’s new, and what’s next"

When you think you’ve read everything worth considering on a given topic, once in a while something comes along to prove you wrong. A case in point is this post by Charles Calomiris at VoxEu on the subprime mess. It is longer than the standard VoxEU offering, but well worth your attention. Calomiris not only […]

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If Only Central Bankers Would Hit Bottom

I’m told that alcoholics and addicts have to hit bottom before they are able to renounce their self destructive ways. Ironically, their personal collapse makes them more capable of change than scientists, who, according to Thomas Kuhn in his landmark, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, were so incapable of abandoning core beliefs that it would […]

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ECB: Banks Need to Wean Themselves of Liquidity Support

A very interesting pair of articles tonight comment on a statement today by ECB governing board member and President of the Dutch Central Bank Nout Wellink to the effect that banks were overly dependent on the ECB’s liquidity facilities and needed to start fending more for themselves. Ed Harrison at Credit Writedowns translated an article […]

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Rosner: GSEs Probably Need $100 Billion; Freddie Mac Reported to Be Meeting Treasury

Warning: Josh Rosner is controversial in some circles. He co-authored a simply terrific paper with Joe Mason, “Where Did the Risk Go? How Misapplied Bond Ratings Cause Mortgage Backed Securities and Collateralized Debt Obligation Market Disruptions.” If you haven’t read it, do so now. If you don’t have the time, we summarized it here. However, […]

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Freddie, Fannie Nail-Biting Continues

Another day of nervousness and not-exactly-positive developments on the Fannie and Freddie front. What is remarkable about the situation now is that at least some of the trouble elements were entirely predictable, which suggests that a bit of aforethought might have led to a better plan and less bad outcomes (I’m not such as optimist […]

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Kenneth Rogoff: "The worst is yet to come"

Stories by Bloomberg and Reuters on a talk by Kenneth Rogoff, former chief economist for the IMF and currently a Harvard professor, fail to mention perhaps his most relevant credential as far as opining on the US credit crunch is concerned. He and Carmen Reinhart of the University of Maryland have done an extensive study […]

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Paulson Playing Chicken With Markets: Guess Who Will Win? (GSE Edition)

James Carville, Clinton strategist, said, I used to think if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the President or the Pope or a .400 baseball hitter, but now I want to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody. If a politico like Carville recognized the fixed income market as […]

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Foreign Investors Selling Freddie, Fannie Debt

While even moral hazard hawks generally agree that some sort of government intervention would be needed in the event of financial trouble at Fannie and Freddie, the most compelling reason was that the US, chronically dependent on foreign funding, would be ill advised to treat its money sources badly. Of the GSEs’ $5.2 trillion in […]

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Stephen Roach: "Pitfalls in a Post Bubble World"

Reader Saboor was kind enough to send me an August 1 report by Stephen Roach, former chief economist of Morgan Stanley, now chairman of its Asian operations. It’s noteworthy in two respects. First, although Roach remains a long-term dollar bear, he made a well timed call that it was oversold, due for a rally, and […]

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Quelle Surprise! Speculators May Have Had Something to do With Oil Price Runup

Since roughly February, a solid minority of commentarors, including this blogger, have questioned the thesis that the rapid increase in oil prices was solely the function of supply and demand. It was disconcerting to see what reactions this stance elicited. There was often an unwillingness to read what was written, and instead turn the post […]

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Futures vs CDSs: the case for regulated markets

In less than a month, NYMEX crude oil futures have dropped about 15% in value. Other commodities ranging from precious metals to agriculture have had significant drops as well. Even for the traditionally volatile commodity markets, this is somewhat unusual and has led many people to scratch their heads to figure out what’s happening. Is […]

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