Category Archives: The dismal science

The End of the World Event Tree: Why We Are Likely to Do Nothing

Australian economist John Quiggin posted a high level event chart of the how Seriously Bad scenarios might play themselves out (from a talk by sustainability expert Chris Moran) and what the policy response might be. It includes probability estimates from 80 students. However, as the chart shows, the rational calculus doesn’t bode well for forestalling […]

Read more...

Brad DeLong Takes on Alan Reynolds on Income Inequalty

Alan Reynolds has become income inequality’s analogue to a global warming denier. Even after Fed chairman Ben Bernanke and President Bush have acknowledged that income disparity has increased, Reynolds is still fighting a rearguard action. He wrote a series of articles, starting with a Wall Street Journal comment last December, arguing against the widely-cited finding […]

Read more...

British Discussion of the Politics of Wellbeing

Below we have an extended except from “The Road to Happiness” by Derek Draper in The Guardian’s online commentary section. I find it intriguing that the question of social wellbeing has come to the point of being worthy of consideration in the House of Commons. Americans are stereotyped as touchy-feely and navel-gazing, but the Brits […]

Read more...

Martin Wolf: Economists Need to Wake Up and Smell the Coffee

Well, that isn’t exactly what he says, but close. Martin Wolf, the Financial Times’ chief economics editor, in his February 6 commentary, “In spite of sceptics, it is worth reducing climate risk,” says that economists are the big skeptics about global warming, and the possible consequences are too dire for them to continue to take […]

Read more...

"Markets Are Not Magic"

An excellent post by Mark Thoma in his Economist’s View, which although it was prompted by a post about Ayn Rand, could just have easily been in response to the New York Times’ lead story today, “In Washington, Contractors Play Biggest Role Ever.” Thoma discusses what markets are good for (efficiency, not equity), and what […]

Read more...

The Limitations of Economics and Models

In an interesting bit of synchronicity, an Economist piece today on the advances and limitations of economics as a discipline contrasts with a news item on the pseudo science of certain types of hucksterism, eh, modeling. The Economist’s Free Exchange section discusses the limitations of the dismal science in being able to assess the possible […]

Read more...