Author Archives: PeeDee

Rinse and repeat

I’ve been watching and reading about events in Georgia and Ossetia with some interest. I didn’t post over the weekend because there really didn’t seem much left to say. Earnings season is tapering off with no real shocks, just a bunch of financial write-downs and a sense of general foreboding in all but the export […]

Read more...

Inflation conundrum

Krugman doesn’t think inflation expectations will lead to wage growth: … inflation is well under control: wages aren’t taking off, the labor market is weak, and once oil and food price spikes end we’ll be, if anything, in a deflationary environment… I don’t think there’s any fundamental inflation problem, just a one-time hit on food […]

Read more...

China Desk

Brad Setser thinks that China is again holding the RMB down to maintain export volume in the face of softening global demand. From the comments (my emphasis): China prefers subsidizing US consumption of Chinese goods to subsidizing Chinese consumption of Chinese goods… if China’s foreign asset accumulation continues at $800b a year, it will add $3.2 […]

Read more...

An oil standard

Ok. Oil. Exxon Mobil reported a second-quarter profit of nearly $12 billion — a number that works out (as many did) to about $39 for every man, woman and child in America; $90,000 a minute etc. Mark Thoma has a think about the future price of gasoline for us. The punch line: If past global […]

Read more...

Techonomics

When people ask what I do for a living I tell them I do wealth preservation. If they ask how I do that, I say I do three things: read the direction of inevitable changes in the world, discover and value investment possibilities in the context of those changes, and allocate risk capital among those […]

Read more...

Year of Lending Dangerously

The FT’s Gillian Tett writes up a blow-by-blow of the credit crisis; and the spread chart is a good reminder of how different things still are: On August 9 2007, the European Central Bank sent shock waves around world financial capitals when it injected €95bn ($150bn, £75bn) worth of funds into the money markets to […]

Read more...

Pity the US consumer?

I like this cartoon (h/t Kedrosky) for perspective on the past year, though I would perhaps swap a few of the roles around. To me, it’s the regulators that lacked the courage to prick this bubble, and the investors that lacked a brain. I never expected the lenders to have a heart. The Wizard of […]

Read more...