Yearly Archives: 2008

Lying With Statistics (Financial Services Lobbying Edition)

An excellent post by Elizabeth Warren at Credit Slips reviews some of the canards that have been successfully presented to promote the interests of various business interests against hapless consumers. The latest involves payday lending. The very fact that the Pentagon has come out against payday lending (they’ve proposed a usury ceiling of 36%) should […]

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Links 2/2/08

Questions We Hear Everyday. TSA. No kidding, the TSA has a blog and is trying to look user-friendly (well, everywhere but in airports). deLong on Marx. Econospeak. For those who enjoy intellectual slugfests. BLS Overstated Job Creation by 14.38% in 2007 The Big Picture Storms suspend China’s fight against inflation MarketWatch

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UBS Under Investigation for Mortgage Bond Valuations

The Wall Street Journal reports that U.S. attorney in New York’s Eastern District in Brooklyn has launched a preliminary investigation: Federal criminal prosecutors in New York are investigating whether UBS AG misled investors by booking inflated prices of mortgage bonds it held despite knowledge that the valuations had dropped, according to people familiar with the […]

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Moody’s Cuts Rating of XL Capital

An alert reader tipped us off to the latest development on the bond insurer front. As Reuters tells us, while XL’s insurance subsidiaries are not bond insurers, the are exposed to bond insurer Security Capital via a reinsurance/investment relationship. XL’s senior debt was downgraded one level to Baa1. From Reuters: Moody’s Investors Service on Friday […]

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Ambac HIgher Priority of Dinallo’s Rescue Effort; Progress Claimed

Although we have been skeptical of the bond insurer rescue efforts led by New York state insurance superintendent Eric Dinallo, a report today by Bloomberg claimed progress was being made with the monoline insurer deemed most in need of assistance, Ambac. From Bloomberg: New York Insurance Superintendent Eric Dinallo is trying to organize a bank-led […]

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MBIA: The (Rating) Agency is Not Amused

I should never underestimate the relentless optimism of US equity investors (or perhaps the cleverness of MBIA’s flacks picking the middle of the night to release a fourth quarter earnings announcement that fell considerably short of already-low expectations). Thursday we had the remarkable spectacle of MBIA CEO Gary Dunton making statements that can only be […]

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"Buyers, not savers, caused America’s deficit"

In a succinct and well argued Financial Times comment, Richard Duncan weighs in on the savings glut versus overspending (aka money glut) theories of global imbalances, and concludes it’s the spending, stupid. By way of background, let’s review the two competing notions of the causes of global imbalances, which is shorthand for “nice central banks […]

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Merrill Makes Springfield, MA Whole on CDOs Gone Bad

Merrill Lynch has been under investigation by the Massachusetts state attorney general’s office over the sales of CDOs to Springfield that had fallen in price by 91%. The issue was that Springfield had made clear that its investment policies were conservative and these instruments were clearly inappropriate. There was further fuel for the fire in […]

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Links 2/1/08

Science in Finance IV: The Feedback Effect Paul Wilmott (hat tip jhttp://www.aleablog.com/links-4/ck). A nice short piece that helps in responding to zero sum arguments (“oh, it really isn’t so bad if prices fall, after all there was someone on the winning side of those trades.” That ignores the fact that those trades at the margin […]

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Credit Default Prices Up Sharply on MBIA Losses, Planned S&P Ratings Actions

The turn of phrase in financial reporting can sometimes be a hair misleading. Today’s Bloomberg story reporting on marked price increases in the credit default swaps market in the wake on news overnight from MBIA and Standars & Poor’s, starts out by saying, “The risk of companies defaulting soared…..” No, the risk of companies defaulting […]

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"Stop behaving as whiner of first resort"

A comment by Ricardo Hausmann in today’s Financial Times takes US policymakers to task for trying to prop up demand and stave off a recession. We’ve pointed out repeatedly, as have various economists quoted here, that consumption as a percentage of US GDP is unsustainably high and saving correspondingly too low. It can only continue […]

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Cuomo Using Martin Act to Pursue Subprime Securities Fraud

We had been wondering when subprime-related securities litigation would get going in earnest. New York attorney general, Andrew Cuomo, along with Connecticut attorney general Richard Blumenthal, has been investigating whether underwriters failed to disclose relevant information to investors in subprime deals. The latest development, according to the Wall Street Journal, is that Cuomo has issued […]

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