It is bit perverse that the powers that be had to try all sorts of measures before considering the course of action that has been the most successful in handling financial crises, namely, letting asset prices fall and recapitalizing banks. In this case it would apparently involve taking equity stakes, say preferred stock and warrants, […]
Read more...There is a new press release up at the Fed on its latest loan to troubled insurer AIG (hat tip Dealbreaker): The Federal Reserve Board has authorized the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to borrow securities from certain regulated U.S. insurance subsidiaries of the American International Group (AIG), under section 13(3) of the Federal […]
Read more...Reader Michael forwarded a new research piece from Oppenheimer by Fadel Gheit and Daniel Katzenberg that makes the case that oil prices will continue to decline. A core element of their thesis is that OPEC will not defend prices above $60. Here are the main arguments (boldface theirs): Given the bleak global economic outlook, we […]
Read more...It is way to early to take cheer, but some of the stress in the money markets is backing off a bit. The TED spread is below 4, and ten year credit swap spreads were down to 45 basis points, which is a serious improvement and a genuine positive sign. From Bloomberg:The spread between the […]
Read more...Wolfgang Munchau in EuroIntelligence argues against conventional wisdom, which is that modern policy tools and institutional arrangements will keep the credit crisis from morphing into a depression. He contends that the policy errors, the result of political considerations, have been substantial. He also says that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson devised the badly-flawed Troubled Assets Repurchase […]
Read more...The coordinated central ban effort today to restore some level of activity to stressed funding markets, in which five central banks cut their policy rates by a half a point and China cut rates by 0.27%, is a resounding failure. From Bloomberg: Overnight corporate borrowing costs jumped, Treasury bill yields fell and the bond market […]
Read more...Russia’s stock market took a beating as foreigners started getting cold feet over the British Petroleum row, when a consortium of oligarchs engaged in a power and money grab over a Moscow-based development joint venture, TNK. But falling oil prices are also a bad harbinger for a resource-dependent economy. From Bloomberg: Russia’s stock market collapse […]
Read more...The Federal Reserve, ECB, Bank of England, Sweden’s Risbank, and Bank of Canada all made rate cuts, each of a half a percent; China cut its benchmark rate by 0.27%. The move pared substantial losses in foreign equity markets (the FTSE, which also benefited from a capital injection into stressed banks) is up slightly, and […]
Read more...The Nourel Roubini Halloween Facemask Inca Kola (hat tip Felix Salmon) Government report: Data mining doesn’t work well CNet. As in, the anti-terrorist type, We could have told you that ages ago based on the experience of retailers. As Colorado Heats Up, Water Supply Expected to Be at Risk, Says New Study PhysOrg Pakistan facing […]
Read more...This proposal by Arvind Subramanian in the Financial Times makes quite a lot of sense, but given the collective denial in the US about how bad things are (despite the cratering of the markets, neither Presidential candidate was willing to say the economy would get worse, when that is a given) and our dependence on […]
Read more...The Independent reports that a rescue package will be announced tomorrow. After the massive amounts of liquidity thrown around in the last couple of weeks, a mere £50 billion seems a bit puny. However, this is a far more sensible than anything done in the US to date (save the AIG bailout, which was concluded […]
Read more...Oh boy, will give you details when they show up in the media. Here is the screenshot courtesy reader Rob (click to enlarge): Update 2:00AM. From Bloomberg: Indonesia’s stock exchange halted share-market trading for the first time in eight years after a 10 percent plunge in the benchmark index. Trading will remain suspended until further […]
Read more...Mr. Market is in a very bad mood. From Bloomberg: Asian stocks fell, sending Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index below 16,000 for the first time in two years, on concern the credit crisis will topple more banks and slowing growth will cut demand for the region’s exports… “Investors are liquidating their stock positions because they […]
Read more...Not only does politics make for strange bedfellows, but so does desperation. Iceland is looking to borrow over $5 billion from Russia to shore up its banks. Um, Iceland is a member of NATO, or at least is now. As reader Jørgen commented, Russia backstopping Iceland? What is the pay-back? Keflavik? I guess this resembles […]
Read more...The public got a bglimpse of an unedited report on Bear Stearns failure because Senator Charles Grassley put the full version on the Internet briefly. The official version had significant deletions. From Bloomberg (hat tip reader Alex): U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Christopher Cox’s regulators stood by as shrinking capital ratios and growing subprime […]
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