The time has come to announce the formation of the Banana Republic Club. Membership is open, with the sole requirement being that nominees correctly discern behaviors in advanced economies that resemble those of corrupt developing countries, which for sake of convenience are referred to as banana republics. Members are eligible to receive a Carmen Miranda […]
Read more...I must admit to being hopelessly naive. The Fed opens its discount window to Freddie and Fannie, which is an admission that there is a problem but not much of a solution, since the GSEs are certain not to use it (accessing the discount window is a kiss of death, seen an admission that a […]
Read more...I received an e-mail that contains the text of a letter allegedly sent to Freddie Mac employees this evening (hat tip reader Jeff). On the one hand, I cannot verify its authenticity. On the other hand, it reads like the real deal. Note particularly the claim that the measures proposed by the Treasury are merely […]
Read more...For those looking for some concrete action (which was what many market participants hoped for), Paulson issued a statement that amounts to hand waving. Full text from Bloomberg: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac play a central role in our housing finance system and must continue to do so in their current form as shareholder-owned companies. […]
Read more...So much for merely making reassuring noises, as the Wall Street Journal reported an hour or so ago. Unless the authorities can call in favors and get a strong show of buyer interest at the Fannie sale of $3 billion sale of short-term debt tomorrow, it’s hard to imagine the markets will take well to […]
Read more...Various sightings of motion, but none yet of resolution on the Freddie and Fannie fronts, although there are now indications that an announcement of some sort will come soon. Note that the updated story from the Wall Street Journal suggest a rescue is not in the offing, merely a willingness to rescue. If the powers […]
Read more...If the rumor du jour is correct, and the Treasury is going to announce plans to inject $15 billion into Fannie and Freddie before trading starts on Monday, the idea of a conservatorship for the GSEs may be off the table. Nevertheless. Adam Levitin of Credit Slips discusses the legal aspects, and this knowledge is […]
Read more...Willem Buiter has a characteristically colorful post, “Time for comrade Paulson to pull the plug on the Fannie and Freddie charade” on the prospect of a Fannie and Freddie rescue. Why is it the British can fulminate better than we Americans do? But Buiter’s beef isn’t the operation of the GSEs but the philosophy behind […]
Read more...Nouriel Roubini has consistently been accurate in predicting the course of our snowballing credit crisis, and has also made some important intellectual contributions to the discussion. such as how the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system has lessons for the future of our Bretton Woods 2 currency program. But in my view, Roubini’s post today […]
Read more...The end-game for what was very briefly the nation’s biggest mortgage lender, IndyMac, seemed inevitable, although the signals even as a of a few days ago were that a takeover was not imminent. The timing, coming in the midst of Famnie and Freddie worries, is particularly bad. One can only conclude that this action could […]
Read more...Henry Kaufman, aka Dr. Doom for his prominence and prescience in reading the bond markets during the painful early 1980s credit crunch, said not surprisingly that the Federal government needed to assist Fannie and Freddie. Unfortunately, the more important part of Kaufman’s message is likely to be ignored. The former Salomon Brothers chief economist also […]
Read more...There is a very good op-ed at the Wall Street Journal today by Adam Levitin, who we have often quoted at the blog Credit Slips. It offers a clear explanation of why the Dodd-Frank housing bill won’t accomplish much in the way of borrower relief. Many of our readers will regard that as a good […]
Read more...The Wall Street Journal (hat tip Saboor) sends mixed signals in a page one story for tomorrow, “U.S. Mulls Future of Fannie, Freddie.” The Journal reports that contingency planning in case the two GSEs get into trouble has stepped up, yet go to some lengths to take a reassuring tone: The Bush administration has held […]
Read more...According to Moody’s, the ratings implicit in credit default swaps on Fannie and Freddie treat the government-sponsored enterprises as if they are mere single As, versus their official AAA ratings. Now the real question is: do these marks reflect doubts about whether the implicit government guarantee will be honored, or is this an early warning […]
Read more...We haven’t been covering the spectacle of Indymac twisting in the wind, since highly-regarded blogs like Calculated Risk and Housing Wire follow the mortgage lenders closely. However, the panic yesterday about Fannie and Freddie perhaps having to come up as much aswith $75 billion in equity ($75 billion?) diverted attention from what on any other […]
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