Ambrose Evans-Pritchard appears to be trying to corner the market in apocalyptic financial news. But his sources aren’t evangelicals, survivalists, or even goldbugs. The experts he cites are with respected financial firms, meaning they don’t sound alarms casually. Even more significant, the terms they are using to describe what might be coming are uncharacteristically dire. […]
Read more...The link is here. Main elements: Common and preferred equity wiped out Subordinated debt swapped for equity warrants Current senior unsecured debtholders get per each dollar of face 90 cents face amount of new debt and 10 cents face amount of new equity Equity holders can put common to Feds at face value for first […]
Read more...As we indicated, a deterioration in Treasuries was the likely outcome of affirming the implied Federal backing of Fannie and Freddie debt. And as we said, we might have been able to persuade our friendly creditors, meaning foreign central banks who also own a lot of Treasuries, that they’d likely be no worse off from […]
Read more...So much for the notion that the not-quite-a-rescue-plan for Fannie and Freddie would calm troubled markets. Equities gave a raspberry yesterday and overnight, the TED spread widened 11 basis points to 133 basis points (a sign interbank funding trouble may be nigh) and today the currency markets, which initially seemed to take the news in […]
Read more...The time has come to announce the formation of the Banana Republic Club. Membership is open, with the sole requirement being that nominees correctly discern behaviors in advanced economies that resemble those of corrupt developing countries, which for sake of convenience are referred to as banana republics. Members are eligible to receive a Carmen Miranda […]
Read more...I must admit to being hopelessly naive. The Fed opens its discount window to Freddie and Fannie, which is an admission that there is a problem but not much of a solution, since the GSEs are certain not to use it (accessing the discount window is a kiss of death, seen an admission that a […]
Read more...I received an e-mail that contains the text of a letter allegedly sent to Freddie Mac employees this evening (hat tip reader Jeff). On the one hand, I cannot verify its authenticity. On the other hand, it reads like the real deal. Note particularly the claim that the measures proposed by the Treasury are merely […]
Read more...For those looking for some concrete action (which was what many market participants hoped for), Paulson issued a statement that amounts to hand waving. Full text from Bloomberg: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac play a central role in our housing finance system and must continue to do so in their current form as shareholder-owned companies. […]
Read more...So much for merely making reassuring noises, as the Wall Street Journal reported an hour or so ago. Unless the authorities can call in favors and get a strong show of buyer interest at the Fannie sale of $3 billion sale of short-term debt tomorrow, it’s hard to imagine the markets will take well to […]
Read more...Various sightings of motion, but none yet of resolution on the Freddie and Fannie fronts, although there are now indications that an announcement of some sort will come soon. Note that the updated story from the Wall Street Journal suggest a rescue is not in the offing, merely a willingness to rescue. If the powers […]
Read more...If the rumor du jour is correct, and the Treasury is going to announce plans to inject $15 billion into Fannie and Freddie before trading starts on Monday, the idea of a conservatorship for the GSEs may be off the table. Nevertheless. Adam Levitin of Credit Slips discusses the legal aspects, and this knowledge is […]
Read more...Willem Buiter has a characteristically colorful post, “Time for comrade Paulson to pull the plug on the Fannie and Freddie charade” on the prospect of a Fannie and Freddie rescue. Why is it the British can fulminate better than we Americans do? But Buiter’s beef isn’t the operation of the GSEs but the philosophy behind […]
Read more...Nouriel Roubini has consistently been accurate in predicting the course of our snowballing credit crisis, and has also made some important intellectual contributions to the discussion. such as how the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system has lessons for the future of our Bretton Woods 2 currency program. But in my view, Roubini’s post today […]
Read more...The end-game for what was very briefly the nation’s biggest mortgage lender, IndyMac, seemed inevitable, although the signals even as a of a few days ago were that a takeover was not imminent. The timing, coming in the midst of Famnie and Freddie worries, is particularly bad. One can only conclude that this action could […]
Read more...Henry Kaufman, aka Dr. Doom for his prominence and prescience in reading the bond markets during the painful early 1980s credit crunch, said not surprisingly that the Federal government needed to assist Fannie and Freddie. Unfortunately, the more important part of Kaufman’s message is likely to be ignored. The former Salomon Brothers chief economist also […]
Read more...