Category Archives: Credit markets

"Japan offers a salutary tale in banking crises"

As the US government has sponsored various plans to forestall the recognition of real estate related losses, ranging from the failed SIV bailout program to New Hope Alliance subprime rate freeze program to proposals to raise Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae’s mortgage ceilings, it has begged comparison to Japan in the post-bubble years. Even though […]

Read more...

Investors Looking for Subprime Bargains

The Financial Tines and the Wall Street Journal feature two treatments of the same theme, investors looking to pick up bargains in companies damaged by the subprime implosion. The Financial Times discusses the interest of the Kuwait Investment Authority in acquiring stakes in financial services firms; the Journal article is aimed at retail investors that […]

Read more...

"Banking system’s problems at heart of the bear case"

The Financial Times’ Tony Jackson admits to having come to a bearish propensity from having trained under the dour Scots, but nevertheless thinks that pessimists, at least as far as the near-term economic outlook is concerned, may have a point. Jackson goes through a quick and dirty list of Things That Could Cause Trouble. While […]

Read more...

More Money Funds Being Rescued

The Financial Times reports that both institutional cash funds and money market funds, which are subject to more stringent requirements, are getting cash injections from their managers to offset losses. The story points out that not all salvage operations are made public, so the total is no doubt higher than the level cited in this […]

Read more...

"Citigroup, Goldman Cut LBO Overhang With Discounts Up to 10% "

We had a story earlier this morning on hard times in the financial services industry, but this merited separate comment. There is no institutional memory on Wall Street. In superheated M&A markets, investment banks start providing bridge loans even though they should know better. Inevitably, the party ends, credit markets back up, and the securities […]

Read more...

Goldman Forecast: Citi, Merrill, JP Morgan May Write Down $34 Billion

Goldman’s William Tanona predicts further sizable losses at major brokerage firms, with Citi and Merrill taking particularly large hits. Tanona also expects Citigroup to cut its dividend. From Bloomberg: Citigroup Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Merrill Lynch & Co. may write down an additional $34 billion in securities linked to the collapse of the […]

Read more...

Wall Street Journal’s Cursory Story on Collateralized Debt Obligations

In less than a week, we have had two lame front page stories at the Wall Street Journal that bear a strong resemblance to each other. I am wondering whether this is a function of holiday short-staffing or a new Murdoch template. “Cursory story” is far too kind a description for this paradigm. The current […]

Read more...

Are the Recent Central Bank Liquidity Injections a Sham?

Two readers pointed us to very good post by John Hussman that goes through the Fed’s open market desk operations in detail, and then looks at similar work done on the European Central Bank’s activities (including its widely reported $500 billion liquidity injection). He concludes that in fact liquidity, meaning bank reserves plus money in […]

Read more...

Menzie Chinn: The Role of Looting in the Subprime Mess

For the record, Menzie Chinn is thoughtful and measured, and had a much less inflammatory heading to his post on the need to prevent “looting” in any regulatory reform that comes out of the subprime train wreck. Chinn uses the term looting in a very specific fashion, using George Akerlof and Paul Roemer’s analysis of […]

Read more...

Will the Subprime Borrower Salvage Operation Reduce Mortgage Lending?

We are more that a bit skeptical of whether the New Hope Alliance Plan (the name alone instills doubt) to help a subset of subprime borrowers by freezing their initial interest rate is more about creating photo ops than helping meaningful numbers of overextended borrowers. Why are we so dubious? The last smoke and mirrors […]

Read more...