Category Archives: Credit markets

Roubini Sounds Alarm About Commercial Real Estate

Nouriel Roubini, in his latest post, announces the “massive forthcoming losses” in commercial real estate. Note that the frothiness of commercial real estate has been reported for some time (Fitch first warned about it in April; Roubini made noise about it in July, when Fitch issued a second warning) but the financial media has chosen […]

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Dallas Fed Chief Talks of Sustainable Growth, Rising Inflation Risks

Members of the Fed officialdom are doing their best to preserve the Fed’s policy options (i.e, not cave in to market pressures at the next FOMC meeting) by talking down expectations of another rate cut. Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher, in Sydney, spoke of solid US economic fundamentals and increasing inflation risks. Note that Fisher […]

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BlackRock, Goldman See Credit Problems Continuing

Bloomberg reports that at a Merrill Lynch sponsored investor event, both BlackRock CEO Larry Fink and Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein gave negative readings for the credit market, particularly CDOs and subprimes. Goldman is putting its money where its mouth is and is short mortgage-related debt. BlackRock also said it was in contact with the Treasury […]

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Ohio Judge Dismisses Foreclosures in Securitized Transaction

A reader pointed to a link that shows that an Ohio judge rejected the foreclosure on 14 properties by Deutsche Bank because they failed to establish that they had the right to foreclose. Before readers get too excited, remember this is only 14 mortgages and this sets a precedent only for Ohio (foreclosure is a […]

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More CDO Jitters and Price Decay

Monday, the Financial Times’ MergerMarket blog (hat tip Felix Salmon) gave a sighting of CDO market prices, and it wasn’t pretty: However, AAA rated subprime CDOs currently trade from the high single digits on junior tranches to 60% of face on super senior tranches, according to a sellsider and a buysider….. Merrill Lynch in the […]

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"Capitalism Isn’t Perfect" (Federal Support to Mortgage Lenders Edition)

This quote, from Countrywide’s CEO Angelo Mozilo, has the potential to be one of those career-death-wish utterances, in the same league as Citigroup ex-CEO Chuck Prince’s “We’re still dancing,” when asked in July if he saw any cause for pause in the recent wobbles in the credit markets. The worst is that Mozilo’s proclamation isn’t […]

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Two Money Funds Propped Up to Forestall SIV-Related Losses

We had noted earlier that one of the motivations for launching the SIV rescue plan sponsored by Citigroup, JP Morgan, and Bank of America wasn’t only to help save the banks who sponsored SIVs from having to tie up their balance sheets by extending funding to them, but also to save money market funds from […]

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Goldman’s Proportion of Level 3 Assets Exceeds Merrill’s, Citi’s

Readers likely know that new accounting standards are forcing investment banks and other financial firms to specify how the value the assets on their balance sheet. Level 1 assets are ones whose prices can be readily obtained (i.e., they trade actively); Leve 2 assets may not trade often, but they are very similar to assets […]

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Nouriel Roubini and Willem Buiter Both See Downside Economic Risk

By coincidence of timing, two economists, Nouriel Roubini and Willem Buiter, who have sharply contrasting temperaments, writing styles, and analytical approaches, came out with posts that both argued that US growth prospects look weaker than mainstream forecasts suggest. Readers who follow economics blogs doubtless know full well that NYU economics professor Roubini is a very […]

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Yet More Doubts About the SIV Rescue Plan

Sometimes I feel like I am beating a dead horse, or in this case, an about-to-be-stillborn one. The leak over the weekend revealed that the sponsors of SIV salvage operation, the so-called Master Liquidity Enhancement Conduit, had come up with a deal structure. That’s an important hurdle, but it still puts the concept a long […]

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Wolfgang Munchau: Less Than 10% Through the Credit Crisis

Nothing like a sobering forecast to focus the mind on a Monday morning. As readers may recall, I was deeply concerned early this year about excessive leverage, asset bubbles in many different markets, and complacency about risk. But it is one thing to know that things are likely to turn out badly, quite another to […]

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