In her Sunday New York Times column, “‘For Sale’ May Mean ‘You Lose’,” Gretchen Morgenson notes in passing that bankruptcies don’t get as much attention as sexier mergers or IPOs (and it’s confirmed by the dearth of comment on the usual suspect sites in the blogsphere). But there is a lot of money made in […]
Read more...The Housing Bubble Blog today features “YKYAAFB When….” which stands for “you know you are a fucked borrower”. And many are insightful as well as revealing: Some readers suggested a topic about how a borrower might know they are overextended. “On a thread yesterday somebody made a: ‘You know you’re a redneck when…’ joke. It […]
Read more...We’ve argued several times that the Fed isn’t what it used to be (see here and here and here), so we are gratified to see other commentators take up the theme. The headline the title of a post by Russell Wood at Seeking Alpha. It makes some important observations: the Fed regulates banks only, and […]
Read more...Although it hasn’t gotten much attention in the business press yet, the House Financial Services Committee is on the warpath to clean up subprime mortgage lending. Most of their ideas, such as tighter regulation of mortgage brokers, strike observers as reasonable. But one has created a great deal of alarm. The concept is “assignee liability,” […]
Read more...Brad Setser, who is normally an upbeat counterpoint to permabear Nouriel Roubini at RGE Monitor has an unusually worried post on what the end game might look like for foreign purchases of the US dollar (the central element of the oft-discussed global imbalances). We found this post courtesy Brad DeLong. Setser focuses in on a […]
Read more...The Financial Times today reports on an open letter from Charles Dallara, the head of the lobbying group representing the world’s largest financial institutions, to Gordon Brown, the UK chancellor and chairman of the IMF’s governing council, on the risks to growth. What is fascinating, and worrisome, is that the letter doesn’t talk about the […]
Read more...In the interest of full disclosure, I must confess to having been wrong, but at least for the right reasons. I took issue with a post at The Street Light some time ago that assumed that commercial real estate defaults would be at the same level as residential. There wasn’t much logic to the reasoning […]
Read more...Perhaps I’m in a jaded frame of mind. but today is one of those days where the news items don’t strike me as all that compelling. There are days where there really isn’t much new in the news (and juicy byplay is wanting as well). In the early 1990s, I was in Bali for six […]
Read more...There are two reasons this item, picked up in Felix Salmon’s blog, is noteworthy. The first is that investment banks happily extending their balance sheets to help get M&A transactions done is a classic sign of the end of a cycle. The second is that Salmon, who is vastly more sanguine about the state of […]
Read more...Right now, we have an unusually apparent difference of opinion between the market and the Fed. Bernanke in his Congressional testimony last week said as clearly as a Fed chairman could that the Fed thought growth prospect for the economy were solid and was concerned about the risks of inflation and plans to keep rates […]
Read more...Faithful readers may have read our recent posts on the limits to the Fed’s regulatory authority, both relative to the subprime mess and to the proliferation of new instruments (see here and here and here). We had the spectacle last week of Roger Cole, the Federal Reserve’s director of supervision and regulation appearing before the […]
Read more...Reader DS in on a roll. A couple of days ago, he sent us an e-mail which we posted, with a few comments of our own, as “Toothless Fed.” DS focuses on another remark in New York Fed President Timothy Geithner’s speech last week, “Credit Markets Innovations and Their Implications,” which led him to consider […]
Read more...Michael Panzner at Seeking Alpha has a great post, “Donald Lambro’s Dangerous Suprime Delusions,” which I found a pleasure to read because he takes on a deserving target, namely, a pathologically optimistic piece by Donald Lambro,”Subprime Shakeout Just a Rough Patch.” The piece is fun, in part because Lambro is such a deserving target, and […]
Read more...This story in today’s Financial Times, “As America falters, policymakers must look ahead,” is remarkable because, as far as I can tell, it is the first time a prominent economist has come out and said the unwinding of the housing bubble is likely to have nasty consequences (actually, take that back, Paul Krugman had a […]
Read more...The post below is from a reader, DS. He focuses on the fact that the Fed has basically admitted that its powers are limited due to the extent of financial activity that takes place outside its purview (the Fed supervises federally-chartered banks; securities firms, which are regulated by the SEC and hedge funds, which are […]
Read more...