Due to Paul Volcker’s having broken the back of inflation in the early 1980s, and Alan Greenspan performing what appears to be adequately on the substance of his job and masterfully at the showmanship, the Fed’s reputation is at an all time high. And that in and of itself is a danger sign. The Fed’s […]
Read more...That’s what Lewis Ranieri, who can lay claim to founding the mortgage-backed securities market, said in presentation at a Milken Institute conference last week. He asserted that 50% of the subprime borrowers qualified for loans from the FHA, Freddie Mac, or Fannie Mae on much more favorable terms. Tanta at Calculated Risk looks to see […]
Read more...Thanks to Tanta at Calculated Risk, we have a rush transcript from a presentation by Lew Ranieri at the Milken Institute conference on financial innovation. Ranieri is credited with creating the mortgage backed securities business, has continued to be active in the industry, and has sounded warnings on subprimes. I found three points to be […]
Read more...While most US readers believe that the Journal’s ideological bias is limited to its editorial pages, we have repeatedly seen (and commented on) skewed reporting as well. Specifically, the Journal tends to put a positive spin on economic (as opposed to company-specific) reporting. Today’s object lesson is the Bank of England’s latest edition of its […]
Read more...In an interview with the Financial Times, Larry Fink, the CEO of BlackRock, one of the world’s largest fund management groups, warns of burgeoning risk in the leveraged loan market, arguing it has the potential to go the way of subprimes, and urges the Fed to take interest. Now this story has more significance than […]
Read more...You seldom hear language like this from anyone in the deal community, particularly a borrower. But Steve Rattner, head of Quadrangle Partners, sees himself as not just your average LBO maven, but also a thoughtful Democrat (he was expected to get a post in a Kerry administration). But also notice that his comments in a […]
Read more...In her Sunday New York Times column, “‘For Sale’ May Mean ‘You Lose’,” Gretchen Morgenson notes in passing that bankruptcies don’t get as much attention as sexier mergers or IPOs (and it’s confirmed by the dearth of comment on the usual suspect sites in the blogsphere). But there is a lot of money made in […]
Read more...The Housing Bubble Blog today features “YKYAAFB When….” which stands for “you know you are a fucked borrower”. And many are insightful as well as revealing: Some readers suggested a topic about how a borrower might know they are overextended. “On a thread yesterday somebody made a: ‘You know you’re a redneck when…’ joke. It […]
Read more...We’ve argued several times that the Fed isn’t what it used to be (see here and here and here), so we are gratified to see other commentators take up the theme. The headline the title of a post by Russell Wood at Seeking Alpha. It makes some important observations: the Fed regulates banks only, and […]
Read more...Although it hasn’t gotten much attention in the business press yet, the House Financial Services Committee is on the warpath to clean up subprime mortgage lending. Most of their ideas, such as tighter regulation of mortgage brokers, strike observers as reasonable. But one has created a great deal of alarm. The concept is “assignee liability,” […]
Read more...Brad Setser, who is normally an upbeat counterpoint to permabear Nouriel Roubini at RGE Monitor has an unusually worried post on what the end game might look like for foreign purchases of the US dollar (the central element of the oft-discussed global imbalances). We found this post courtesy Brad DeLong. Setser focuses in on a […]
Read more...The Financial Times today reports on an open letter from Charles Dallara, the head of the lobbying group representing the world’s largest financial institutions, to Gordon Brown, the UK chancellor and chairman of the IMF’s governing council, on the risks to growth. What is fascinating, and worrisome, is that the letter doesn’t talk about the […]
Read more...In the interest of full disclosure, I must confess to having been wrong, but at least for the right reasons. I took issue with a post at The Street Light some time ago that assumed that commercial real estate defaults would be at the same level as residential. There wasn’t much logic to the reasoning […]
Read more...Perhaps I’m in a jaded frame of mind. but today is one of those days where the news items don’t strike me as all that compelling. There are days where there really isn’t much new in the news (and juicy byplay is wanting as well). In the early 1990s, I was in Bali for six […]
Read more...There are two reasons this item, picked up in Felix Salmon’s blog, is noteworthy. The first is that investment banks happily extending their balance sheets to help get M&A transactions done is a classic sign of the end of a cycle. The second is that Salmon, who is vastly more sanguine about the state of […]
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