The Nikkei went into free fall after the open, down over 900 points, and as of this writing has staged a minor recovery to a mere 780 points down and is now down 880 from yesterday’s close. Singapore is down 7%, Australia 6%. The yen is at 99 to the dollar, and gold is at […]
Read more...On the one hand, I was mystified that the stock market was up in the morning session given that the money market seize up was not at all improved and several key measures had worsened overnight. I was wiling to accept the view that we might have an oversold bounce and saw several bloggers indicate […]
Read more...I must confess a certain fondness for the apocalyptic sort of financial writer, provided they don’t lose anchoring with reality and fall into the tinfoil hat category. Nouriel Roubini is the case example of an economist who favors a baroque, melodramatic style, and despite sounding more than a tad unhinged at points, he has proven […]
Read more...We noted earlier today that neither the signing of the much-touted bailout bill, nor the dramatic increase in size of the already bulked-up Term Auction Facility (it has been enlarged six-fold in a mere two weeks) has had any impact on conditions the money markets, which are barely functioning. We noted earlier and reiterated that […]
Read more...Hypo Real Estate, Germany’s second largest real estate lender, teeters on the verge of collapse. The bank has a €400 billion balance sheet, which would make for a failure of a similar scale to Lehman’s (Hypo’s footings are roughly $550 billion, while Lehman’s were $660 billion as of its last balance sheet date). Even though […]
Read more...Boy, I wish I had thought of this, and why no one else save some smart readers have focused on the mechanics of the Paulson plan operations is beyond me. This bill is moving ahead like the Titanic…..with high odds of similar outcomes. Hoisted from comments, we turn the mike over to reader Don: The […]
Read more...Krugman’s post is here, with an acknowledgment that we also possess nukes. We’ve been on that theme a while. A few examples: America: Banana Republic Watch May 6, 2007 End of Dollar Hegemony Coming? May 22, 2007 “We may just have started to feel the pain” March 6, 2008 A secondary theme: Tthe US is […]
Read more...Staring in March, I’ve gotten an increasing number of “what should I do with my money>” and the not-uncommon “what should I do about my bank?” None of these were “how do I get make money?” questions. They were all oriented towards safety and showed a high degree of concern. I took these to be […]
Read more...Even though all eyes have been on Lehman, the potentially more troubling slow-motion train wreck is AIG. The insurer is a large credit default swaps protection writer and provides a host of financing products. Not only is AIG a larger firm than Lehman and could trigger a systemic event in the CDS market alone, but […]
Read more...This topic is and yet isn’t a bit afield from the normal beat of this blog. A reader sent links to some recent posts at Bronte Capital, a blog by John Hempton, which is reportedly read by top financial executives in Sweden and has a following among some of the more savvy analysts in London. […]
Read more...As he is often wont to do, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard worries, in dire terms, about the poor prospects for growth and stability, It would be easy to dismiss him as histrionic were it not for the fact that some commentators who have been right so far about the progress of the credit crunch, are also hyperventilating. […]
Read more...Reader Richard Kline is providing a mini-series that was prompted by an anonymous reader who had observed that a complex systems theory view might raise doubts about regulatory policy. Financial overseers believe that liquidity is always and ever good, but that view may be naive: Perhaps a lesson to be learned here is that liquidity […]
Read more...Carmen Reinhart has provided a synopsis of a paper she did with Kenneth Rogoff looking at financial crises over a longer time frame than most analyses, which have limited themselves to recent history (the economist’s version of the drunk looking under the street light for his keys because that’s where the light is good, as […]
Read more...I came across this terrific post by Tom Engelhardt via Michael Panzner. Englehardt takes a cold, hard look at the Bush Adminsitration’s performance and practices, and argues you don’t need to be an economist to predict that whatever limited efforts they make to address the credit crisis are sure to fail. After all, everything they’ve […]
Read more...The Wall Street Journal reports that JP Morgan is trying to solidify a deal for Bear before the Asian markets open: Terms of the deal were still being hammered out Sunday afternoon. Reflecting the dire situation at Bear, the company is likely to fetch considerably less on a per-share basis than its stock price of […]
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