Category Archives: Politics

Are the Knives Coming Out for Geithner?

The clout of the press has decayed enormously over the last 40 years. The fourth estate was feared, resented, and begrudgingly respected in the corridors of power. But rule by beancounters, savvy media spin, and access journalism (journalists who write pointed stories get frozen out) have largely leashed and collared the press. Indeed, a friend […]

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On Pelosi’s Duplicity and Apparent Sandbagging of Elizabeth Warren

Despite her longevity as a California pol, house speaker Nancy Pelosi is looking like every bit as much of a dyed-in-the-wool financial services industry backer as the Congressmen on the New York-Boston corridor. As readers will know, this blog does not dwell much on the inside baseball of politics. But once in a while things […]

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Chrysler End Game: BK Next Week if No Deal (and Journal Says Even if a Deal)

The obstacle to a bailout of Chrysler is the still large bid and ask spread between what the secured creditors are now willing to agree to in the way of a haircut, versus what Treasury is willing to give them. The drop dead date is next Thursday. But news reports tonight differ on what a […]

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Stress Tests Favor Big Trading Firms Over Regional Players

Since the Associated Press has not yet had its position on fair use defeated in court, you’ll have to go visit them to read the text of their “exclusive” story. It is a doozy. But by any standards, the broad outlines confirm yet again that crony capitalism trumps taking the best course of action for […]

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Bailout Inspector General to Warn That Public Private Partnership Open to Fraud

Checks and balances may not be completely dead in the US after all, but we need to see what transpires after the release of the report by Neil Barofsky, special inspector general for the TARP, which is out tomorrow. The New York Times appears to have gotten its hands on the whole report; the Financial […]

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Right Wing Turns on Elizabeth Warren, Congressional Oversight Panel Head

The move to clip the wings of TARP overseer Elizabeth Warren was predictiable. The fact that it took so long, and the angle is that she is anti industry (as opposed to anti industry bad behavior, a distinction that will hopefully be lost on the masses) and it took comparatively long to mount the salvo […]

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Nationalization in Denial?

As this blogger and others have noted, the bank rescue programs have been designed to work around constraints more than to fix the underlying problem, which is a lot of bad debt that needs to be restructured and renegotiated, including the debt of the banks themselves. Instead, the boundary conditions have included “No more Lehmans”, […]

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Will Demographic Trends Impede Recovery?

In America, the 1990 census showed a marked decrease in childbearing. 25% of the women between 30 and 34 were childless, while the comparable figure in 1976 was 16%. By 1985, the birthrate expected per average woman over her lifetime had fallen to 1.8, slightly below Europe’s level and below the “replacement rate”, the level […]

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"Don’t set Goldman free, Mr Geithner"

John Gapper makes a fundamentally important point in his Financial Times comment today, that Goldman should not be permitted to wriggle free of TARP strictures by repaying the emergency backing of last November, at least not until Treasury has imposed structural reforms. Why? Whether Goldman formally has government funding or not, it has been designated […]

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John Dizard: Geithner’s and Citi’s Days Numbered

Now I will admit my headline overstates John Dizard’s current column in the Financial Times a hair, but only a hair. Dizard has a somewhat baroque way of presenting his messages, and the color can take the edge off his communiques. Nevertheless, he has cultivated contacts among central bankers as well as at the major […]

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Is TARP Investigator on Collision Course With Treasury on Bank Assets?

This could get interesting. The Financial Times tells us that Neil Barofsky, the special investigator general for the TARP, is looking whether banks cooked their books by overvaluing assets to qualify for TARP funding, Remember, bank had to fall into this funny construct of being sick enough to need help, but not so sick as […]

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China Cuts Purchases of Treasuries and Foreign Bonds

We’ve mentioned earlier that it was inevitable that China would reduce its purchases of Treasuries, independent of its desire to diversify away from them. With trade falling (although China still has a high surplus) and hot money inflows reversing direction, China has less reason to buy foreign assets. From the New York Times: Reversing its […]

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Socialism Gaining Ground in America

Rasmussen just released the results of a recent poll on political attitudes. It found only 53% clearly preferred capitalism (hat tip reader David H): Only 53% of American adults believe capitalism is better than socialism. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 20% disagree and say socialism is better. Twenty-seven percent (27%) are […]

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Quelle Surprise! Bank Stress Tests Producing Expected Results!

Should this even qualify as news? From the New York Times: For the last eight weeks, nearly 200 federal examiners have labored inside some of the nation’s biggest banks to determine how those institutions would hold up if the recession deepened. What they are discovering may come as a relief to both the financial industry […]

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