Thursday, October 16, 2025

OK, Forget it, False Alarm, Labor Market Is Fine, Bad Stuff Last Month Was Revised Away, Wages Jumped. No More Rate Cuts Needed?

New and revised labor market data suddenly says the US economy is just fine. Mr. Market’s continued rate cuts look off the table for now.

2:00PM Water Cooler 10/4/2024

~ Today’s Water Cooler: Poltiics, syndemics; New RCP chart (it’s tied) and new Covid charts (not worsening); Kamala to throw Khan, Gensler under the bus (ka-ching); Boeing strike continues, Warren and Blumenthal call for criminal investigations of executives ~

Israel-Axis of Resistance Escalation and the Importance of the Minority Report

Looking at some information limits and biases in the ever-intensifying Israel-Axis of Resistance conflict.

Links 10/4/2024

On Third Day of Claudia Sheinbaum’s Presidency, Mexico’s Supreme Court Plunges Country Into Constitutional Crisis

Some people, including three of the Supreme Court judges, are calling it an attempted “coup”. Unsurprisingly, Washington’s fingerprints are all over this

When We Have Well-Funded Palliative and Social Care, We Can Discuss Assisted Dying, but We’re Not There Yet

A discussion of the shortcomings of end of life care in the US and UK.

Sharing News Left and Right

A study finds that conservative news-consumers are more resistant to Twitter de-amplifcation measures that lefties.

2:00PM Water Cooler 10/3/2024

~ Today’s Water Cooler: Politics, syndemics; Trump and the Jack Smith brief; Boeing and Longshoremen strikes; UCLA tools up ~

Interview with Richard Eskow: ‘Putin, Ukraine and War’

As the prospects for war ratchet up, will U.S. elites stand down? A discussion with Richard (RJ) Eskow.

Links 10/3/2024

Biden’s Israel Policy Has Led Us to the Brink of War on Iran

More information on Iran’s missile attacks on Israel and how the Biden Administration is responsible for this escalating crisis.

Cities Are Clearing Encampments, but This Won’t Solve Homelessness − Here’s a Better Way Forward

Following a Supreme Court ruling approving the criminalization of homelessness, many jurisdictions are imposing harsh rules and punishments.

Vance-Walz Debate Highlighted Clear Health Policy Differences

Focusing on an issue in the Vance-Walz debate but given short shrift elsewhere: where the presidential candidates stand on health care policy.

2:00PM Water Cooler 10/2/2024

~ Today’s Water Cooler: Politics, syndemics; Vance-Walz debate; Boeing and Longshoremen strikes; Effects of Helene on North Carolina election ~

Iran Missile Strikes Into Israel Reconfirm Lack of Meaningful Defenses; Lebanon Invasion So Far Not Going Much of Anywhere

An update on the Israel v. the Resistance conflict in the wake of the Iran missile strikes.