Yearly Archives: 2009

Mirabile Dictu! Goldman Lost Money Only One Day in Last Quarter

OK, I have heard all the explanations, spreads are wider because there are fewer market makers, asset prices are rallying (market making firms are structurally long; it’s difficult and costly to go net short on that big a balance sheet), Goldman is currently the trading kingpin. But I still find these factoids remarkable: Goldman lost […]

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Guest Post: Wall Street Journal Admits Economists Were Wrong, But Fails to Discuss their INCENTIVE for Being Wrong

By George Washington of Washington’s Blog. The Wall Street Journal admits this week that economists blew it: The pain of the financial crisis has economists striving to understand precisely why it happened and how to prevent a repeat… The crisis exposed the inadequacy of economists’ traditional tool kit, forcing them to revisit questions many had […]

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Guest Post: Will the Democrats Lose in 2010 (or 2012) Because They Won’t Pass Real Financial Reforms?

By George Washington of Washington’s Blog. Yesterday, Elliot Spitzer said that the White House’s defense of the financial status quo will give Republicans powerful ammunition in the 2010 elections. Democratic cheerleader Markos Moulitsas (the “Kos” behind Daily Kos) wrote the following about the Democratic losses in several state elections: Democratic turnout collapsed. This is a […]

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Trouble looms in Ireland after debt cut two notches and deficits soar

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns I am posting this in the interest of widening the discussion at Naked Capitalism to include some topics in Europe. Fitch, the credit rating agency, has just downgraded the sovereign debt ratings for the Republic of Ireland from AA+ to AA-.  That is two notches and is proof-positive […]

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Links 11/4/09

Anthropologist Levi-Strauss dies BBC To Breed or Not to Breed? h+ The Fed Thoughtfully Strokes Its Beard, Flaps Its Gums Annaly Salvos (hat tip reader Scott) About to think the unthinkable Wolfgang Munchau, Eurointelligence Prichard Alabama Files Bankruptcy Over Pensions; Wildcat Strike In Philadelphia; Oregon’s Financial Gamble Michael Shedlock Fears of a New Bubble as […]

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Guest Post: Take the Power to Create Credit Away from the Giant Banks and Give It Back to the People

By George Washington of Washington’s Blog Many people – including former analyst for the U.S. Treasury Richard Cook – argue that credit is too important a function to be left to the private banks. Indeed, even after taxpayers have given trillions in bailouts, backstops, guarantees, and other gifts, the giant banks are still not lending […]

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Trouble Ahead: Can the Right Seize the Banking Reform Issue in 2010?

Eliot Spitzer explains how the White House defense of the status quo will give Republicans powerful ammunition in the 2010 elections. Few things are as potent in politics as calling for change at a moment of fundamental dissatisfaction with the status quo. Nobody should know this better than the current White House. Gauzy words describing […]

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Wood warns of correction, says “key variable in the West is government policy”

By Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns Christopher Wood, the well-noted market strategist at CLSA and writer of the classic Japan crash warning book “The Bubble Economy,” is now warning of a market correction in the West.  According to CNBC India, Wood believes that the markets’ extreme upward move is increasing the chances of a major […]

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Mini Links 11/3/09

Dear readers, I stupidly have been trying to write a post when overtired, with the result that it isn’t done (taking 4x as long as it should). Apologies, will have something for you later today. Making a Smarter Rat h+ (hat tip reader David C) Will Citigroup rise again from its near death experience? FT […]

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Bullish data, recoveries, crashes and the psychology of forecasting redux

By Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns If you have been wondering whether a statistical recovery is at hand, today’s ISM manufacturing report should be the clincher.  The report was definitely bullish with the ISM index rising to 55.7 and sub-components supporting the understanding that the manufacturing sector is expanding. This is quite a contrast to […]

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