Camera Traps May Overcount Snow Leopards and Other Vulnerable Species Scientific American
Fauci: No scientific evidence the coronavirus was made in a Chinese lab National Geographic
* * *Spread:
Was Sundance a “First Petri Dish” of Coronavirus in the States? Hollywood Reporter. Well worth a read. Plus this disease is very bad.
Coronavirus may have jumped to humans as early as October, study says South Chine Morning Post
* * *Masks:
Kicker is the last sentence:
— Galileo Cheng (@galileocheng) May 5, 2020
* * *Treatment and Vaccine:
Will Gilead price its coronavirus drug for public good or company profit? Reuters. Are we still going on a Gilead press release, or did I miss something?
Gilead Lobbying Rose As Interest In COVID-19 Treatment Climbed NPR. Handy chart:
Gilead Covid-19 Drug May Exceed $2 Billion Sales, Piper Says Bloomberg
VERIFY: What is remdesivir? WUSA9. Sober overview from a local D.C. station.
Preliminary evidence from a multicenter prospective observational study of the safety and efficacy of chloroquine for the treatment of COVID-19 (preprint) medRxiv. 27 (!) authors, 6 contributing, others corresponding, from Guangdong Provice, China. From the abstract: “A total of 197 patients completed chloroquine treatment, and 176 patients were included as historical controls. The median time to achieve an undetectable viral RNA was shorter in chloroquine than in non-chloroquine (absolute difference in medians -6.0 days; 95% CI -6.0 to -4.0). The duration of fever is shorter in chloroquine (geometric mean ratio 0.6; 95% CI 0.5 to 0.8). No serious adverse events were observed in the chloroquine group. Patients treated with half dose experienced lower rate of adverse events than with full dose. … [R]andomised trials are needed for further evaluation.”
SARS-CoV-2 – Specific antiviral Treatment (preliminary document) National Center for New Infections (Switzerland). Note “Proposed therapeutic approach” (HQ “possible but uncertain” benefit, use would be off-label).
* * *Testing: * * *Materiel shortages:
Doctors lambaste federal process for distributing Covid-19 drug remdesivir STAT News. Looks like Gilead has adopted Hermès’ strategy for marketing Birkin bags.
* * *Social distancing and compliance:
Functional fear predicts public health compliance in the COVID-19 pandemic (preprint) PsyArXiv. “Consistently, the only predictor of positive behavior change (e.g., social distancing, improved hand hygiene) was fear of COVID-19, with no effect of politically-relevant variables.”
The Effect of Stay-at-Home Orders on COVID-19 Infections in the United States (preprint) arXiv.org. From the abstract: “The results here suggest that a coordinated nationwide stay-at-home order may have reduced by hundreds of thousands the current number of infections and by tens of thousands the total number of deaths from COVID-19. Future efforts in the United States and elsewhere to control pandemics should coordinate stay-at-home orders at the national level, especially for diseases for which local spread has already occurred and testing availability is delayed.”
The Public Is Astonishingly United The Atlantic. “A poll from The Washington Post and the University of Maryland released yesterday finds that eight in 10 Americans oppose reopening movie theaters and gyms; three-quarters don’t support letting sit-down restaurants and nail salons reopen; and a third or less would allow barber shops, gun stores, and retail stores to operate. An NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll last week found similar numbers.”
2 Utah County businesses told staff to ignore COVID-19 guidelines, resulting in 68 positive cases Daily Herald. “The right to infect others shall not be infringed.”
This restaurant in Amsterdam is training their servers to work from a safe distance…pic.twitter.com/ooU55WRKLm
— Rex Chapman?? (@RexChapman) May 1, 2020
* * *Economic effects: * * *Finance response:
Banks’ dividends in Covid-19 times Bank of International Settlements. “Most authorities have undertaken initiatives in relation to banks’ distribution policies in the Covid-19 pandemic environment. However, practices across jurisdictions diverge markedly as regards scope and stringency.”
* * *Corporate response:
Frontier will charge up to $89 for social distancing on flights Ars Technica (Re Silc). Presumably they’ll sell masks, too? Used, half-price?
NYT ‘hastens’ transformation of ads biz as it braces for a 55% plunge in ad sales The Drum. I guess they’d better gin up a new *Gate.
Zoom taps former Trump national security adviser H.R. McMaster for board Politico. Does anybody know how to say “revolving door” in Mandarin?
* * *Political response:
Trump calls Americans ‘warriors’ in fight to open the economy Los Angeles Times. Conscripts can be warriors, I suppose.
Lobbyists Request Bailout for Corporate Lobbyists The Intercept
Why the Small-Business Bailout Went to the Big Guys Neil Barofsky, Bloomberg
House Democrats unveil legislation to forgive student loans for health care workers The Hill. Liberals sorting out the worthy and the unworthy again.
* * *Exit strategy:
— PR Team at Reuters (@ReutersPR) May 5, 2020
Korean baseball thread. Find your favorite team!
In honor of KBO reaching the American shores, a brutally honest tweet-length description of each team’s fan culture that will help you choose your team:
— T.K. of AAK! (@AskAKorean) May 5, 2020
French farmers sound alarm in cheese market meltdown Politico. Another glut.
New Cold War
The Coronavirus Test for Russia The American Interest
International Institutions and the Challenge of the First Pandemic War Valdai Discussion Club
Michael Flynn Did Not Lie, He Was Framed by The FBI Sic Semper Tyrannis
The Macutazo: Timeline of an Absurd Military Adventure Caracas Chronicles. Very funny, well worth a read. A good break from #COVID19!
Democracy Wins in New York—and Bernie’s Back on the Ballot! Zephyr Teachout, The Nation
Armed citizens escort lawmaker into Michigan State Capitol Lansing City Pulse
Our Famously Free Press
Imperial Collapse Watch
Coronavirus survivors banned from joining the military Military Times (Rev Kev).
Princess Cruises offers Navy tips on Coronavirus Duffel Blog
How to stop a climate vote? Threaten a ‘no social distancing’ protest Los Angeles Times
‘We Are Not Essential. We Are Sacrificial.’ NYT. From an MTA conductor.
The Left Case against Open Borders Angela Nagle, American Affairs. Re-upping this controversial, unwoke article from 2018, because it seems the open borders crowd has gone silent in the face of a global pandemic.
When Cotton Mather Fought The Smallpox American Heritage (Re Silc). Mather’s house was bombed (!).
Antidote du jour (via):
There’s chilling out—and then there’s being a bear playing a 300-gallon tub!
— ABC News (@ABC) May 6, 2020
I don’t think much of zoos, but I wish I were as happy as that bear!
See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.