Demand boom on collision course with ocean transport ceiling Hellenic Shipping News
Children now playing ‘huge role’ in spread of COVID-19 variant, expert says ABC7 (mv). Osterholm on B117.
Estimation of secondary household attack rates for emergent spike L452R SARS-CoV-2 variants detected by genomic surveillance at a community-based testing site in San Francisco Clinical Infectious Diseases. Genome sequencing. From the Abstract: “The increase in prevalence, relative household attack rates, and reproductive number are consistent with a modest transmissibility increase of the West Coast variants.”
Attack rates amongst household members of outpatients with confirmed COVID-19 in Bergen, Norway: A case-ascertained study The Lancet. The Interpretation: “Serological assays provide more sensitive and robust estimates of household attack rates than RT-PCR. Children are equally susceptible to infection as young adults. Negative RT-PCR or lack of symptoms are not sufficient to rule out infection in household members.”
Estimates and Projections of COVID-19 and Parental Death in the US JAMA. From the Abstract: “As of February 2021, 37 300 children aged 0 to 17 years had lost at least 1 parent due to COVID-19, three-quarters of whom were adolescents…. When we rely on excess deaths, we estimate that 43 000 children have lost a parent. ”
“Herd immunity,” a thread:
2. Q: What *is* herd immunity?
A: When a large fraction of a population is immune to a disease, a *new* outbreak of that disease can no longer take off and spread. The herd immunity threshold is the point at which enough people are immune for this to be the case.
— Carl T. Bergstrom (@CT_Bergstrom) April 6, 2021
* * *
Watching mRNA Do Its Thing, In Living Cells Derek Lowe, “In The Pipeline,” Science. Results begin at paragraph five.
Coronavirus Today: Lessons from the Auntie Sewing Squad Los Angeles Times
The Longest Telegram: A Visionary Blueprint for the Comprehensive Grand Strategy Against China We Need War on the Rocks. From April 1, still germane.
China, US send warships into disputed waters as tensions rise over Whitsun Reef South China Morning Post
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi warns Asean to be alert to external forces interfering in Myanmar South China Morning Post
Cut off from the outside world:
Update: Mobile data is cut in #Myanmar for a 23rd day as limited internet is restored from 9 am Tuesday local time, after the 51st consecutive night of post-coup shutdowns. Online platforms remain heavily restricted 📵
— NetBlocks (@netblocks) April 6, 2021
In the line of fire: the deadly job of covering Mandalay’s protests Frontier Myanmar
CNN bigfoots Myanmar:
This military-controlled "reporting" trip managed to tell us nothing new, while still getting 11 people arrested. She also justified it by saying no "international media" has been allowed in, dismissing the work of all of us who have been risking our safety since day one. https://t.co/EGUqQceHh7
— Aye Min Thant (@the_ayeminthant) April 5, 2021
With predictable results:
A Special Branch officer or Military intelligence officer has been closely following @CNN's correspondent @clarissaward . 4 civilians have been abducted after interviews in Insein and Mingaladon.#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar #Apr2Coup#MilkTeaAlliance pic.twitter.com/uWIpJu8AxC
— Khin Zaw Myint (@RasallKhinzaw) April 2, 2021
Myanmar Coup Opponents Announce ‘Unity Government’, Interim Constitution The Diplomat. Complete with Constitution:
#Myanmar's @CrphMyanmar has just repealed nation's current 2008 constitution written by #military. It launched own new interim constitution that'll be carried out by self-formed National Unity Government effective from April 1, 2 months into #militarycoup #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar https://t.co/Vh9Ce45zBZ
— May Wong (@MayWongCNA) March 31, 2021
All that should have been the CNN story. But no, the story was two military-owned malls that mysteriously burned down well after curfew, and which were then featured by that same military on a credulous or corrupt CNN as examples of protester violence.
What’s Behind India’s Second Coronavirus Wave? Foreign Policy
Broken bow: Dhanushkodi’s forgotten people People’s Archive of Rural India
Turkey’s Canal Istanbul dispute explained Al Jazeera
Rather jaw-dropping report into the secret lockdown-busting dinner clubs currently operating for the Paris elite. Lobster, champagne and foie gras on the menu for up to €490. No masks. "Once you pass through the door there's no more Covid," explains the maître d' https://t.co/AldG1D3YZT
— Katy Lee (@kjalee) April 4, 2021
Draghi and austerity champion Italy Notes on macro policy debates
Why Brazil Still Matters Glenn Greenwald, The Nation
New Cold War
Again, Washington jumps to conclusions over Ukraine-Russia skirmish Responsible Statecraft
Demise of the Dollar? The Big Picture
Matt Gaetz Defended Me When My Nudes Were Shared Without My Consent. Now He’s Accused of Doing Just That Katie Hill, Vanity Fair. And we’re not talking about Cuomo anymore, are we? Either Cuomo.
Boeing’s freighter dominance threatened Leeham News and Analysis
Imperial Collapse Watch
The pathology of economics Developing Economics
Black Injustice Tipping Point
‘The Narrative Is, “You Can’t Get Ahead”’ (interview) Conor Friedersdorf, The Atlantic
The zombie economy and digital arm-breakers Cory Doctorow, Pluralistic
America Has a Ruling Class Samuel Goldman, NYT
This Again Eschaton
Why millions of students are missing out on food-assistance benefits Popular Science (Re Silc).
We're Intelligence workers. We've been organizing in secret for over a year.
This evening, we're announcing #IWU, the first union open to *all* workers at any US-based intelligence or counter-intelligence agency.
Every worker deserves a union—including intelligence workers.✊
— Intelligence Workers Union (@intelworkers) April 5, 2021
And perhaps inevitably:
in case they delete it pic.twitter.com/SvHVmwzMqZ
— just a white AOC (@cryptonomaly) April 5, 2021
Chocolate’s Secret Ingredient Is Fermenting Microbes Scientific American
Antidote du Jour (via):
Out of season. But still cute cats.
See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.