Links 10/31/2025

How SOS Became the Universal Distress Signal Laughing Squid

Dictionary.com’s word of the year is ‘6-7.’ But is it even a word? AP

Mathematical proof debunks the idea that the universe is a computer simulation Phys.org

Climate/Environment

The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink BioScience

Global tree cover loss due to fires surged by 370% compared to 2023 Down to Earth

2 dead after being found in flooded basements as New York City sees record rainfall CBS New York

IMF ready to help Jamaica following Hurricane Melissa if needed The Gleaner

Bill Gates calls for ‘strategic pivot’ in climate change fight away from curbing emissions NBC News

Pandemics

Asymptomatic Human Infections With Avian Influenza A(H5N1) Virus Confirmed by Molecular and Serologic Testing JAMA Network

‘Suck it up, keep going’? A critical disabilities analysis with strategic recommendations for supporting the wellbeing among people living with long COVID Critical Public Health

Wave of RSV, particularly dangerous for babies, washing over U.S.; doctors urge vaccination Los Angeles Times

Monkeys on overturned truck were not infected with hepatitis C, herpes and COVID, university says WLBT

Historians smell a rat over beaked plague doctor masks The Times

China?

Trump-Xi Face Off for All the Marbles in South Korea Simplicius

Trump no-show at big Asian economic forum may risk US reputation in region AP

The Koreas

South Korea pledges $350bn investment in the US Intellinews

South Korea’s 30-year quest for nuclear subs pays off. What comes next? Breaking Defense

India

India races to reform financial sector as foreigners pull $17 billion Economic Times

India’s $3.9 billion plan to help Modi’s mogul ally after U.S. charges WaPo

Old Blighty

Toxin levels in fish lead to calls for UK-wide ban on mercury dental fillings The Guardian

Syraqistan

Israel bombs Khan Younis despite affirming ceasefire commitment New Arab

Rafah hoax: Netanyahu’s pretext for Gaza bloodshed Al Mayadeen

Classified U.S. report finds backlog of hundreds of possible Israeli human rights violations WaPo

Inside the Shin Bet’s secret startup factory Calcalist

India to approve deals worth $3.7b for Israeli defense missiles Globes

US Envoys Put Lebanese Army Under Watch Al Akhbar

Moscow restarts military flights to Syrian air base amid efforts to strengthen Damascus alliance The Cradle

L’affaire Epstein

Jeffrey Epstein and the Mossad: How The Sex-Trafficker Helped Israel Build a Backchannel to Russia Amid Syrian Civil War Drop Site

European Disunion

EU carmakers ‘days away’ from halting work as chip war with China escalates The Guardian

New Not-So-Cold War

China Stands By Russia; Russia Closes In On Trapped Kiev Pokrovsk Troops; Syrsky Gives Up; Poseidon Alexander Mercouris (Video)

Russia offers temporary ceasefire for journalist access in Ukraine Yeni Safak

Moscow says it tested Poseidon underwater drone, another nuclear ‘super weapon’ Euronews

Burevestnik – Part I Black Mountain Analysis

Leaked: Britain’s Ukrainian Sniper Training Plot Kit Klarenberg

The US Can’t Break Russia Larry Johnson

EU Lifts Sanctions on Heavy-Load Carriers ‘Audax’ and ‘Pugnax’ Involved in Russian Arctic LNG Construction gCaptain.

Where Is the West Heading? Valdai Discussion Club

War? Don’t do it Edward Slavsquat

At Least They’re Not Talking. Aurelien

South of the Border

U.S. Eyes Striking Venezuelan Military Targets Used for Drug Trafficking WSJ

US strikes another drug vessel in Eastern Pacific: Pentagon chief Anadolu Agency

How Miami hawks hijacked Trump’s foreign policy UnHerd

US debt trap: How libertarian Javier Milei is selling Argentina to Wall Street – for $82 billion Geopolitical Economy Report

Africa

US Urged to End Arms Sales to UAE as It Backs Genocidal Paramilitary in Sudan Truthout

More than 2,400 young Moroccans face prosecution over Gen Z protests France24

Curfew, Blackout as Tanzania Poll Protest Chaos Continues All Africa

The Belgian prince, the national park, and the bitcoin mine The Continent

Mali revokes over 90 mining exploration permits Mining.com

U.S. urges citizens to flee Mali amid jihadi blockade and fuel shortages Face2Face Africa

Spook Country

Can a Former Spy Make a Good Governor? Spy Talk

“Liberation Day”

US Senate passes resolution to end Trump’s global tariffs Anadolu Agency

How We Lost the Trade War Paul Krugman

Trump 2.0

With mass hunger approaching as food stamps expire Saturday, huge price increases revealed for Obamacare healthcare plans WSWS

Trump and Nuclear Threats Accuracy.org

Police State Watch

National Guard in each state is ordered to create ‘quick reaction forces’ trained in civil unrest AP

Border Patrol takes lead role in Trump administration’s Chicago crackdown, carrying out more arrests than ICE CBS News

ICE Is Now Wandering the Streets, Scanning People’s Faces to Check If They’re Citizens Futurism

Our Famously Free Press

North Carolina GOP Official Uses ‘Connections With the Trump Admin’ to Threaten ProPublica Journalist Common Dreams

God’s Chief Justice ProPublica

Healthcare?

OIG Says There Are Ghosts in Medicare Advantage and Medicaid Plans HEALTH CARE un-covered

Immigration

US will limit number of refugees to 7,500 and give priority to white South Africans The Guardian

Democrats en déshabillé

A confident DNC chair defends his party’s prospects Semafor

Imperial Collapse Watch

Losing the Swing States Foreign Affairs

Arms companies pay shareholders more cash than they generate Stephen Semler

Historic U.S. Civil War Ship Decaying Due to Fungal Invasion Maritime Executive

AI

‘They Are Trying to Maximize the Amount of Money They Can Get Any Given Consumer to Pay’ FAIR

Immediately After Ditching Its Nonprofit Roots, OpenAI Is Already Preparing to Go Public Futurism

How artists behind Marvel, Alien, and the Matrix movies are fighting AI Blood in the Machine

Meta readies $25bn bond sale as soaring AI costs trigger stock sell-off FT

AI layoffs to backfire: Half quietly rehired at lower pay The Register

Economy

Where Have All the New Jobs Gone? Dollars & Sense

How Bible Sales and Chipotle Explain the Economy Kyla Scanlon

Class Warfare

Yes, Everything Crashed–Just Not For You Charles Hugh Smith

Antidote du jour (via):

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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53 comments

  1. The Rev Kev

    “Dictionary.com’s word of the year is ‘6-7.’ But is it even a word?”

    Dictionary.com needs to use Google.com I think. It sounds like a cool sort of buzzword from the now generation but you have the phrase ‘at sixes and sevens’ that goes back many, many centuries so this is just a new variation of a very old phrase-

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/At_sixes_and_sevens

    Reply
      1. t

        Another recent thing kids said, skibidi, also sounded very like a certain type of old time comedy – Ish Kabibble, for instance.

        Vaudevillians and hep cats never made it to the dictionary. Copacetic being a rare exception.

        Then a long gap until enbiggens and cromulent. Now these stunts.

        I don’t really care.

        In my elementy school, we used an otherwise perfectly normal word in a similar way for a couple of years. I’d imagine we were not unique among fourth and fifth graders.

        It was kind of like the soup time meme kids were doing a few years ago.

        Reply
  2. Wukchumni

    National Guard in each state is ordered to create ‘quick reaction forces’ trained in civil unrest AP

    Border Patrol takes lead role in Trump administration’s Chicago crackdown, carrying out more arrests than ICE CBS News

    ICE Is Now Wandering the Streets, Scanning People’s Faces to Check If They’re Citizens Futurism
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Everything is going down in lefty Big Smokes, feel pretty safe here in Tiny Town where we are politically right smack dab down the middle and surrounded by a sea of red down in Godzone.

    A local wag calls us ‘Caucasian Island’ as Haoles make up 91% of the population.

    That said, i’m reading reports in regards to ICE/NG being seen on the streets in nearby Woodlake, which has about 10k people and is 87% Hispanic.

    I drive by orchards all the time, and how can you tell in a drive-by how the workers are feeling, but it doesn’t seem any different-the way they go about doing things, there’s about 25 cars parked in front of the orchard, a few port-a-potties, a couple of 10×10 popup shade structures and a mess of ladders to be able to pick oranges on high.

    It’d be so easy to round them up~

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      Trump has got over three more years in office. Plenty of time for ICE to eventually get around to smaller places like those orchards near you unfortunately. Once you create a monster organization like ICE you cannot keep them idle but must be always be sending them off to new areas to harass.

      Reply
      1. doug

        They had a veteran’s parade yesterday in Fayetteville NC. “All the forces were represented”. Well no. there were no face covering ICE agents waving from the floats. That little detail escaped the TV coverage….

        Reply
          1. Wukchumni

            The 97 year old owner of a cabin near me passed on last year and his 30 something grandson inherited it from him, and over the summer he’s been up half a dozen times, and each sojourn he tells me that he’s a military combat veteran about 4 or 5 times.

            On one side 99% of the population has nothing to do in terms of being in the military, and on the other side the 1% never lets you forget it.

            Reply
          2. upstater

            Wondering if the airlines will include announcements for ICE & CBP in their preboarding of :Active Duty US military “

            Reply
            1. The Rev Kev

              More likely that sooner or later that Trump will declare a national ICE Day so they know that they are appreciated.

              Reply
                1. Wukchumni

                  I’m thinking Labor Day will be repurposed too, and any expectant mother that delivers on that day, gets a $100 gift card from Amazon.

                  Reply
  3. Victor Sciamarelli

    It is widely known that more people die from cold than heat. According to ScienceDirect, “In most epidemiological studies, excess cold deaths far outnumber heat deaths.” https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542519625000543
    Thus, the report from BioScience which mentions rising temperatures will be harder to convince those who are more comfortable as temps rise, to do something now, only for it to be too late to do much when extreme temperatures arrive in the future.

    Reply
  4. The Rev Kev

    ” Historic U.S. Civil War Ship Decaying Due to Fungal Invasion ”

    I think that there is only one real long term solution here. Remove the old planking and arrest any fungi, perhaps by having those planks frozen for future research. Then replace those removed planks with hardy timber treated to resist any future fungi infestations. Of course eventually that may leave you with the Ship of Theseus quandary-

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ship_of_Theseus

    Remember too that this ship was built during the US Civil War as a temporary class of ships and would normally have been scrapped after war’s end-

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Cairo

    Reply
  5. Valiant Johnson

    As a person who lives very close to the border in Imperial County CA and has regular interactions with the Border Patrol agents, I can tell you that we are all happy to see these a–holes going somewhere else.
    I am sorry for the people inland who they harass, but at least they are not here in the constitution free zone causing traffic accidents (they drive like maniacs) and annoying the locals, many of whom have family on both sides of the wall.
    The BP here are overstaffed, no one is crossing in this area, so the agents mostly sit in their cars where there is a signal and watch porn. Occasionally they get restless and go forth to bother whoever they can.
    God protect us from bored cops.

    Reply
  6. Wukchumni

    Where Is the West Heading? Valdai Discussion Club
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    As a charter member in The Pyrite Billion, you can sense the fools goal is to effectively put an end to 500 years of being all that.

    What would an isolated America look like that has 800 military bases within the country to hold the people in check?

    Reply
  7. eg

    “Losing the Swing States”

    Would that everything the authors dread come to pass — a consummation devoutly to be wished …

    Reply
  8. mess

    South Korea’s 30-year quest for nuclear subs pays off. What comes next? Breaking Defense

    South Korea needs nuclear subs even less than Australia.

    Reply
  9. sfglossolalia

    re: Yes, Everything Crashed–Just Not For You Charles Hugh Smith

    An American physician with nearly 50 years of experience brought me up short when he reported that for many Americans, the healthcare they receive is equivalent to what third-world residents receive.

    The algorithm serves me up quite a lot of videos of Americans who have moved overseas to so-call third world countries (mostly in Central America) and the medical care they describe sounds dreamy compared to the US. It’s cheap, with lots of face time with actual doctors, and with a dearth of paperwork.

    Reply
  10. Wukchumni

    Daniel Swain is a weatherman’s weatherman, there is really nobody like him, truly a climate savant (and I mean that in the nicest way) and so widely respected.

    Any kind of weather related event happens on the left coast, and he’s always quoted-as he’s the expert.

    Now aside from nabbing an operating system and calling it his own, what does Gates know about the climate in order to make such a declaration?

    Reply
  11. LawnDart

    Re; New Not-So-Cold War/War? Don’t do it

    “In reality, it is neither Westerners nor Putin who are primarily responsible for the hold of “anti-Russians” over Kiev.”

    Umm… NED efforts since 1990s? “Yats is our guy”? (Nuland)

    Reply
  12. flora

    re: “Mass hunger approaching” and “National Guard in each state”….

    Seems like I’m watching an orchestrated effort – by both parties – to run the Cloward-Piven strategy. The poor will be hurt…. again. The political question or calculation is: which party will be blamed for the pain and failure? Is this all about next year’s midterm elections? A game of political chicken?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloward%E2%80%93Piven_strategy

    At some point, after then Dem Speaker of the House Tip O’Neill worked with Reagan to raise the SS retirement age to ‘pay for’ Reagan’s tax breaks to wealthier citizens, after Bill C ended “welfare as we know it” which increased poverty, and after Obama traded away an extension of unemployment benefits during the GFC to get a win on another issue, I began to think the Dem party no longer gives a toss about the poor, the unfortunate, or the mistreated.

    Reply
    1. Norton

      Scary interpretation is to brace for more horrible revelations about Dem spying, scandals, Biden dementia denial, self-dealing and so many other festering sores will lead to pitchforks and torches. The do-nothings just talk and line their pockets, like head grifter Pelosi, while constituents worry about getting food. You don’t hate all politicians enough.

      Reply
  13. antidlc

    Re: With mass hunger approaching as food stamps expire Saturday, huge price increases revealed for Obamacare healthcare plans

    Looks like family member’s plan has 50% increase in premium and the deductible doubled!!!

    Reply
  14. The Rev Kev

    “Russia offers temporary ceasefire for journalist access in Ukraine”

    Putin is playing it smart here. The Ukrainians have downplayed how serious it is in Pokrovsk and Kupyansk so by inviting journalists in, they would be able to report the true situation. Only it is not going to happen. The Ukrainians have said ‘I also remind all media that any visits to Russian-occupied territory without Ukraine’s permission are a violation of our legislation and international law. They will have long-term reputational and legal consequences. We are watching closely’ so they are threatening any journalists that might think of taking up the offer-

    https://www.rt.com/russia/627171-ukraine-journalists-safe-passage/

    So something on the order of about ten thousand Ukrainian soldiers are about to fall into the Russian bag. And the Zelensky regime will demand that they must fight to the last and to sell their lives dearly or else it will make Zelensky look bad in the media.

    Reply
  15. Huey

    IMF is ready to ‘help’ Jamaica indeed. The carrion feeders probably froth at the mouth everytime any kind of crisis threatens outside of the G20.

    Reply
    1. Huey

      Also, the gleaner is a terrible outlet with a history of emotive reporting. They have articles that sound more like the excerpts from a YA crime thriller than actual news. That said, it might be impossible to find impersonal, worse critical, reporting in any Jamaican paper. The same seems to go for impartiality as well.

      Reply
    2. ChrisFromGA

      There are plenty of non-profits stepping up to help. There is no need for these ghouls. They will likely demand austerity and charge interest on loans to the Jamaican government. Just say no!

      Reply
      1. Huey

        They will absolutely demand austerity but whether or not the govt cares to avoid it is anybody’s guess, I can only hope.

        Reply
  16. The Rev Kev

    “US Envoys Put Lebanese Army Under Watch”

    Those US envoys can say what they want but the Lebanese are not going to start a civil war by going after Hezbollah just to keep these goofballs and the Israelis happy. For a start, Hezbollah is better equipped than the Lebanese army because the west has always kept the Lebanese army weak so as not to worry the IDF. Same as in Jordan. In addition, Hezbollah has combat experience which the army does not really have. Another factor is that you have may families that have members in Hezbollah and the army so they won’t want to see any fighting. Finally, the Lebanese know that once Hezbollah is disarmed, that will be the signal for Israel to invade the country and occupy at least the southern half so that they can set up their Settlements there and make it part of Greater Israel. Those US envoys can pound sand.

    Reply
  17. exWarthog

    AI layoffs to backfire: Half quietly rehired at lower pay The Register

    As predicted here on NC, one of the few LLM success stories. It’s working exactly as intended.

    Reply
  18. ChrisFromGA

    Per the House calendar, over the past three months, these jokers have only been in session for a grand total of 12 days. They took off the month of August, then worked a few days in September after Labor Day. Since September 19th, Mike Johnson has shut down the House to avoid swearing in Adelita Grijalva, the 218th vote for the discharge petition to force the release of the Epstein files.

    Maybe they should just stay home. It’s not like they care about the Constitution, or governing.

    Tools are Out for Summer

    Sung to the tune of “School’s Out for Summer” by Alice Cooper

    Well we got no choice
    You House girls and boys
    Making all that noise
    Cause they’re Bibi’s toys

    Well they like salutin’
    The Israeli flag
    If that don’t suit ya, that’s a drag

    [Chorus]

    The tools are out for summer
    Tools are out for ever
    The tools sold out for silver pieces

    [Bridge]

    No more motions, no more rules
    They get paid while we eat gruel … ow!

    [Guitar]

    Well they’ve got no class
    And they’ve got no principles
    And they’ve got no innocence
    I can’t even think of a word that rhymes!

    [Chorus]

    No more motions, no more rules
    More day-trading, just for lulz
    Out for summer, out for fall
    They might not come back at all!

    Bibi’s tools are out forever!
    The tools are out, for summer!
    Bibi’s tools have AIPAC fever!
    The tools … sold out completely!

    Melody

    Reply
  19. The Rev Kev

    “How SOS Became the Universal Distress Signal”

    ‘Endlessly versatile, SOS can be tapped out on a telegraph key or spoken aloud over voice radio, flashed using a signal mirror or flashlight, written out in the snow or sand, or – if you happen to be held under duress – blinked out with your eyelids.’

    That last bit would be referring to a US POW in Vietnam that used that method-

    ‘In 1966, he was forced to participate in a televised press conference by his North Vietnamese captors. He used the opportunity to send a distress message confirming for the first time to the U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence and Americans that American POWs were being tortured in North Vietnam. He repeatedly blinked his eyes in Morse code during the interview, spelling out the word “T-O-R-T-U-R-E”.’

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeremiah_Denton

    Reply
  20. The Rev Kev

    “The US Can’t Break Russia”

    I found a very notable section in this article. So the CIA under Ratcliffe was giving Trump all those rosy evaluations that he wanted to hear but then analysts at the State Department’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research cleared their throat loudly and tried to give a more reality-based assessment. When Trump read their dissenting notes he was not happy. So analysts were fired or resigned and the organization disassembled with the remnants folded into other groups. With those dissenters gone, Trump was happy again as Ratcliffe once more spun him the latest fables. Idjut!

    Reply

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