Links 11/1/2025

The violence of facelifts Unherd

From poison to power: How lead exposure helped shape human intelligence ScienceDaily (Anthony L)

#COVID-19/Pandemics

Coronavirus found in samples from 96% of flights AirSpot

Climate/Environment

The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink BioScience Oxford

China?

>Chinese pundits claim victory after Trump’s trade concessions Asia Times (Kevin W)

China’s rare earth export delay offers US a chance to weaken Beijing’s grip on the market Associated Press (Kevin W). Note top of the article at odds with headline. Is AP engaging in soft self censorship?

China NBS Manufacturing PMI falls to 49 in October, contraction deepens Action Forex

China housing slump deepens as oversupply drags prices PropertyGuru

Koreas

How North Korea will fight back against the South’s nuclear submarine plans NKPro

Antipodes

Australia’s housing market is turning sub-prime MacroBusiness

Africa

Hundreds reportedly killed at Sudanese hospital as evidence of RSF atrocities mounts Guardian

Sudan’s military expels top UN food aid officials as conflict escalates BBC

Tanzania shaken by unprecedented protests at ‘sham election’ Financial Times

South of the Border

Maduro turns to Moscow, Beijing, Tehran as US presence builds in Caribbean Anadolu Agency

Venezuela under Attack Vanessa Beeley and UK Column

European Disunion

ECB keeps interest rates on hold despite eurozone inflation fears Guardian

Euro-homeless, time to hit the trash heaps? TopWar (Micael T)

The municipal toolbox Makroskop via machine translation (Micael T). On addressing housing shortages.

Poland’s Superpower Dreams resurface after centuries Forum Geopolitica (Micael T)

What grim fate awaits EU member states? Just look in the Dutch crystal ball RT (Micael T)

The Left Wins the Irish Presidential Election in a Landslide Counterpunch (resilc)

Old Blighty

Rachel Reeves wants Brits investing — just as the City fears an AI bubble Politico

Isreal v. The Resistance

Testing boundaries James Dorsey

Israel has erected nearly 1,000 barriers in the West Bank during the war in Gaza, group says Independent

Lebanese president orders army to confront Israeli incursions after deadly raid Guardian

Iran rebuilding its ballistic missile program Long War Journal

Dubai: the dark truth — what lies beneath the wealth and glamour? The Standard (resilc)

New Not-So-Cold War

NATO’s Three-Pronged Response To The Latest Russian Scare Raises The Risk Of A Larger War Andrew Korybko

Moscow Won’t Accept Peace Without Rewriting the Post-1991 Order Global Affairs (Micael T)

Sending them to their deaths in war? Söder demands that Ukraine change the relaxed exit regulations for young men Nachdenkseiten via machine translaton (Micael T)

The Christchurch massacre and Ukraine Events in Ukraine

Imperial Collapse Watch

US begins troop drawdown in Romania Politico

Leaks expose collapse of EU/US-backed Belarusian ‘opposition’ The Grayzone

Trump 2.0

Red states to be hit hard by Trump disability eligibility rules Propublica. When I would fly the NYC-Birmingham, AL direct flight, the proportion of wheelchair passengers was much higher than on any other route I have traveled.

Chuck L notes, “When you’ve lost Bill Kristol…”

‘Startup City’ Groups Say They’re Meeting Trump Officials to Push for Deregulated ‘Freedom Cities’ Wired (Paul R)

Banks and retailers run short on pennies as the US Mint stops making them Associated Press (Kevin W). More incompetence. Australia got rid of the penny before 2002, and required retailers to round up or down to the nearest five cents.

Under Vinay Prasad, employees at a key FDA center fear speaking out, look for the exits STAT

Shutdown

Trump administration blocked from suspending Snap benefits for millions of Americans Guardian (Kevin W). See our related post. This frees up only a few weeks of emergency funding, although the plaintiffs contend more coins could be found in the couch cushions.

Tariffs

America’s Suez Warwick Powell

14 Republican lawmakers say Argentinian beef imports ‘undermine American cattle producers’ in new letter The Hill (resilc)

Immigration

Unmarked, Plate-Less Vehicles Seen in ICE Arrests Across U.S., Report Finds: ‘The Agency Clearly Wants to Appear Like a Ghost’Los Angeles Times (Paul R)

Sobbing daughter captures ICE ‘detain her mom for not having social security number memorized’ Mirror (resilc)

US will limit number of refugees to 7,500 and give priority to white South Africans Guardian

Charlie Kirk

State employees fired over Charlie Kirk posts inundate courts The Hill

Mamdani

Billionaires are spending big to stop Zohran Mamdani’s NYC mayoral bid CNBC (Li)

Kathy Hochul admits socialist Zohran Mamdani’s ‘tax the rich’ plan would hurt NY’s middle class: ‘I cannot do that’ New York Post

New Yorkers predict city will become a cesspit of violence, vacant stores and antisemitism under Mamdani in disturbing new poll… but this is why they’ll give him a landslide victory anyway Daily Mail (Li)

Police State Watch

Pentagon orders states’ national guards to form ‘quick reaction forces’ for ‘crowd control’ Guardian

Our No Longer Free Press

Stephen Miller Wife CRASHES OUT On Cenk: Threatens Deportation Breaking Points. Entertaining if your taste runs to train wrecks and may also be an indicator of increased desperation among Israel allies in the US over having lost control of “the narrative”.

For background:

EU parliament could block Russian media – Politico RT (Micael T)

Mr. Market is Moody

How Bad Could the Private-Credit Crisis Get? Just Look at 1929 Barrons

BlackRock loses $500m on shadow banking blow-up Telegraph. BlackRock is a latecomer to this business.

Proliferation of private credit raises fears of looming financial crisis NPR

Oracle Bond Risk Jumps on Concerns Over AI Spending Spree Bloomberg

Economy

Largest capacity purge in history coming Freight News

Federal Reserve plans to shrink board of top banking supervisor Financial Times

The Bezzle

A closer look at the record-smashing ‘Hyperion’ corporate bond sale Financial Times

Meta Stock Plummets as Investors Horrified at How Much Zuckerberg Is Spending on Misfired AI Futurism

How A Pharma Giant Is Looting The Pentagon The Lever

Big tech’s futile attempt to kill death New Statesman (Micael T)

Guillotine Watch

Royal Flush: Sotheby’s to Sell Maurizio Cattelan’s 18-Karat Gold Toilet in New York ART News)

Class Warfare

Mapped: Where U.S. Families are Most Strained by Debt Visual Capitalist (resilc)

Americans are drowning in auto loan debt CNBC

Chipotle stock craters as company says young people without jobs can’t afford their food anymore Yahoo

Antidote du jour (via):

And a bonus (Chuck L):

A second bonus:

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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11 comments

  1. Wukchumni

    Goooooooood Mooooooorning Fiatnam!

    It was painfully obvious what the extraterrestrials on board 3I/Atlas were thinking, they’d heard from across the universe about Bitcoin and were eager to invest, the blue light emanating from the spacecraft an attempt to fill a buy order, alas out of range yet.

    Reply
  2. The Rev Kev

    “‘Sobbing daughter captures ICE ‘detain her mom for not having social security number memorized”

    I got an idea. All those emigrants could easily have their Social Security number tattooed on their lower arms and as it is only 9 digits, would not have to be big. That way if ICE pulls them up, they can proudly pull up their sleeves and show those agents their Social Security number as that seems to be the only number they are interested in. Any resemblance to this idea and a practise that was undertaken in Eastern Europe in WW2 is just a coincidence.

    Reply
  3. Huey

    Really interesting article on lead exposure in early humans. Loved the points made regarding Neanderthal extinction and the potential linkages to Speech Sound Disorder and Autism.

    Reply
    1. hunkerdown

      Radiation hormesis now comes to lead, just in time for the Trump Administration to loosen pollution restrictions. Convenient!

      Reply
    2. The Rev Kev

      I was very much surprised to read how many of those caves were contaminated by lead. How did that work out? It seems to have been widespread but I would have assumed that having places with lead deposits as well as developed caves would have only been a very small percentage and not over 70% like is suggested here.

      Reply
  4. The Rev Kev

    “US begins troop drawdown in Romania”

    Not just Romania but apparently Hungary, Bulgaria and Slovakia as well in December. I would imagine some panic in NATO over this as there might be the suspicion that Trump will eventually reduce US troop numbers until there is only a tripwire force left in Europe-

    https://www.kyivpost.com/post/63332

    Not much profit to be had from only a tripwire force.

    Reply
  5. Mikel

    Dubai: the dark truth — what lies beneath the wealth and glamour? – The Standard

    Read to me like an indictment of many parts of the world including Dubai.
    It takes global partners of privilege to create that kind of system. Some multipolar exploitation going on there.

    Reply
  6. ISL

    China? I cannot find official Chinese confirmation that China will pause its rare earths export permits, per an X post by Arnaud B:

    https://x.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1983910248416211116

    – I checked and was unable to find a notice on the official Chinese govt website regarding rare earths – but did find notices on tariff rates and soy beans. Although we have Trump The Fantabulists’ words (echoed by the media), however, he has form.

    If so, the economic implications to high tech (and the MICC) remain.

    I also recall that in the prior restriction, I read a report where after several months, China was only able to process a handful of permits. I also saw nothing about Nexperia.

    Side note, for a 90-minute meeting, 20-30 minutes are for opening statements, 10 minutes for closing statements, so 50-70 minutes of translation-slowed discussions means equivalent to ~20 minutes of normal discussion for issues with complex details. So did they run out of time before discussing rare earths, or was it just a case of:
    Trump: “About those rare earths?”
    Xi, “不是 (Bushi) – No.”
    Trump: “So No Lunch or press briefing.”
    Xi “Yes.”
    Trump: “Fine, I was going to order a round of fast food burgers.”
    Xi “Fine: We will buy some soybeans, if you drop tarriffs.”
    Trump: “Ok. Ummm. Hmmmm. How’s the weather in Beijing these days?”

    Reply
    1. ChrisFromGA

      I wouldn’t put it past Trump to lie. He has made shit up before. “24 hours to end the Ukraine war.”

      Part of the issue is that nothing is in writing. Both parties are free to exaggerate, charitably. Trump has changed his mind so many times and flip-flopped that these may be Schrödinger’s tariffs.

      Reply
  7. The Rev Kev

    ‘Heather Johnston
    @HeatherJ_Israel
    My name is Heather Johnston, and I am the Founder and President of @USIEducation
    I am deeply concerned about the hate that Tucker Carlson is spreading in our country.
    As a supporter of the Heritage Foundation, I am asking Dr. Kevin Roberts to clarify his statement regarding Carlson.
    Israel is central to God’s divine purpose, and we need to know where the Heritage Foundation stands. @KevinRobertsTX’

    Oh god. It’s Zionist Karen. And she’s demanding to talk to the manager of the Heritage Foundation.

    Reply
    1. Afro

      The tucker Carlson interview was my first real exposure to Nick Fuentes. I’m almost done, but I’ve watched most of it.

      I actually thought that he came off as reasonable. He’s a very good and talented speaker, maintains a good flow and poise. He’s overcome a lot which is impressive, was kicked off YouTube, was on the no fly list, was being threatened, had hundreds of people come to his home, etc

      After he did a debate in college, a daily wire employee asked him if he’d like to visit Israel, he said no.

      But the main reason that he has a bright future is that the establishment is not providing an alternative. Nobody under 40 is ever going to be passionate about Lindsey Graham or Ted Cruz or Ben Shapiro.

      Reply

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