The mask of unreality worn by the powers that be is slipping as the narrative wars escalate and collide with inconvenient realities like 3 million pages from the Epstein files, 10 sigma events in the precious metals markets, the AI circular finance scheme breaking down, a shocking election result in Texas, and maybe the end of AI circular financing.
The Interregnum of Unreality
I postulated last year that America and the West have been trapped in an “interregnum of unreality” since the Obama era:
Until the pillars of American power (the dollar as reserve currency and the perception of American military primacy) fall, the Interegnum continues.
The Interregnum of Unreality kicked off when Obama’s administration and Bernanke’s Fed elected to keep the markets and economy going via massive Quantitative Easing rather than structural reform of the markets that failed under Bush and Obama.
It was paired with a change in geostrategic tactics. No new boots on the ground invasions, although the Iraq and Afghanistan occupancies were maintained as long as possible.
Instead, Obama preferred no-fingerprints regime changes (Egypt, Tunisia, Ukraine, etc) or proxy wars (Syria, Ukraine). He also happily accepted the Nobel Peace Prize for essentially not being GW Bush, even while continuing and expanding on many of Bush’s worst policies (surveillance, drones, etc).
After Trump’s election win in 2016, Obama and the Democrats moved to set up a Silicon Valley censorship regime, sending RussiaGate ringleader Mark Warner to Twitter and other companies to let them know that if Adam Schiff wanted an account removed it would be removed.
The “Resistance” to Trump in his first term included much genuine grassroots opposition but was headed by resistance from the Deep State, the MSM, and the online monopolies.
Biden attempted to expand on the total information control, but since he was as charisma-challenged as Obama was blessed and the wheels came off of so many of his policies mid-term, the Democrats lost control of the machine along with their credibility.
It’s tempting to declare us in a new regime, given Trump’s re-election and seeming consolidation of power, which has seen him bring the Silicon Valley companies and much of the MSM onside.
But I think it’s more useful to think of Trump’s second term as merely a change in management for the pre-existing apparatus of control, which seeks total information dominance via traditional and social media.
This past weekend saw several barely controlled eruptions of fact that threaten to rip the mask of unreality off the Western narrative regime.
Yves already covered the military realities Trump is running into vis-a-vis Iran, so we’ll look at the market and media manipulation aspects of the mask of unreality in this post.
Let’s start with the undigested horrors vomited up by the Department of Justice’s most recent releases from the Epstein files.
Consensus Reality Smacked With Massive Epstein Revelations
CNBC summarizes the scope of the document dump:
Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche said the department was releasing more than 3 million pages of documents in the latest Epstein disclosure, as well as more than 2,000 videos and 180,000 images. The files, posted to the department’s website, include some of the several million pages of records that officials said were withheld from an initial release of documents in December.
Media and alt-media flies are swarming on the pile, competing for cheap clicks and to control the interpretation of the revelations. Some seek to maintain the mask of unreality, others are trying to rip it off.
It’s too early to draw many conclusions other than to say that quick survey of headlines from The Financial Times show the files are full of bad news for such titans as Bill Gates, several pre-eminent Norwegians, UK’s ruling Labour Party, prominent figures from the UAE, private equity titans Apollo Global, ex-Barclays CEO Jes Staley, the former Prince Andrew, and many others.
For their part The New York Times has focused on the DOJ’s process, how Trump appears in the files, and only secondarily on business leaders outed in the files:
— Nat Wilson Turner (@natwilsonturner) February 2, 2026
Trump’s DOJ seemingly did a good job of keeping anything too awful about the POTUS coming out in this batch, since the NYT characterized the new revelations re: Trump as “salacious and unverified claims, as well as documents that had already been made public.”
Despite this tranche of Epstein files doing bipartisan damage, the scope and nature of the revelations in the files leave the ruling class of America and Europe looking collectively monstrous and the mask of reality torn and tattered if not removed.
There are also some indications that Epstein’s fortune originated in the nexus of bad actors involved in 80’s scandals like BCCI and Iran Contra.
There are also some very interesting revelations about Epstein and Ghislane Maxwell’s information control activities involving platforms like Reddit and 4Chan, the mask of unreality didn’t build itself you know:
Pretty stunning. Ghislaine Maxwell was one of the most active and powerful Reddit mods. The /pol/ board is where Qanon was birthed. Among other things the Epstein network was managing one of the largest online informational warfare ops in history https://t.co/NFQffvM7EU
— Sean Padraig McCarthy (@SeanMcCarthyCom) January 31, 2026
There’s also some revelations that seem to expose Epstein as a big behind the scenes player in Bitcoin.
Matt Stoller has a post on X that ties the Epstein scandal and our interregnum of unreality together nicely. Here’s an excerpt:
pstein was an entrepreneurial broker across multiple public and private bureaucracies, helping organize ‘under-the-table’ deals among the legal, business, intelligence, and political elites to allow them to escape the rule of law and traditional conflict of interest restrictions. It’s statecraft to allow a superclass to systemically escape the formalized rules.
The pedophilia and prostitution were part of it – that is obviously violating the rule of law – but so are the random favors Epstein bestowed. Like Epstein sending Senator Joe Manchin’s request for a yacht, a request which came from the First lady of the Virginia Islands, to a random NY financier who might have one. Or working with Joi Ito at MIT and billionaire Reid Hoffman to restructure the Bitcoin Foundation. It’s all about matching capital and talent and inputs outside of the restrictions ordinary people are subject to.
This kind of governance is particularly important in Soviet-style states, where everyone knows the rules are fake, where skirting the system IS the system. Epstein and his affiliates thrived because of the weakened institutions of the United States, institutions enfeebled in many cases by the men in his network, like Larry Summers.
Just goes to show that our hypernormalized world is the most manipulated thing ever, behind the mask of unreality.
But maybe that narrative control is beginning to break down. It’s definitely showing signs of wear and tear in the commodities markets.
Weird Scenes in the Precious Metals Markets
The weekend was also bookended by some extremely dramatic movements in the gold and silver markets that revealed a serious discrepancy between New York’s Comex and Shanghai’s Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) and threatened to rip off the mask of unreality.
Friday, after the Asian markets had closed Comex saw an incredibly dramatic price drop in silver:
— Nat Wilson Turner (@natwilsonturner) February 2, 2026
Holy backwardation, Marketman!
Commodities analyst David Jensen had questions:
Nothing changed on Friday in the terms of silver metal supply to market reducing the global silver shortage that has driven silver’s price higher.
The open interest (total contracts) on the CME COMEX ended down just 5% on the day indicating that the trading on that day was just a churn with little covering or new positions despite the massive ~ 2x average daily volume traded on Friday.
The CME COMEX has ‘circuit breakers’ in the silver market that halt trading for a period if extreme price movements occur to allow for a more orderly market. What the CME COMEX calls dynamic circuit breakers automatically kick-in when the price of silver drops or rises by 10% on a rolling 1 hour basis. We can see in Figure 1. below that from ~ 12:30 to ~ 13:30 Eastern Time, the price of silver – both cash/spot and futures – ranged between $91 /oz. and $75 /oz., representing an 18% range, and yet the CME COMEX automatic circuit breakers were not activated nor announced by the CME. Yesterday, I wrote a letter to the CME asking why this exception to CME COMEX rules occurred and will report their response when received.
Here’s how CNBC tried to explain it to the squares:
Silver and gold fell on Monday, extending losses after a major selloff at the end of last week.
Silver futures ticked down 0.3% to $78.70. Silver, which had surged alongside gold on safe haven demand and speculative inflows, dove 28% on Friday for its worst day since March 1980.
Gold futures slid more than 3% to around $4,707. The yellow metal dropped nearly 10% on Friday, sending prices below the $5,000 an ounce mark.
The metals swung between gains and losses in Monday’s choppy trading day.
The CME Group increased margin requirements following the steep sell-off last week, effective Monday after market close. Margins on COMEX gold futures have been raised to 8% from 6%, while those on the COMEX 5,000-ounce silver futures were lifted to 15% from 11%.
Metals saw a violent reversal on Friday as optimism around U.S. interest-rate cuts collided with a sudden reassessment of Federal Reserve leadership after President Donald Trump nominated former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Chair Jerome Powell after his term ends in May.
Others ascribed the action to blatant market manipulation:
What CME is doing here has far less to do with price direction and far more to do with protecting the plumbing of the futures market as volatility goes parabolic.
CME Clearing raised maintenance margin requirements again, the second increase in three days..effective after the… https://t.co/ByWpDQp05Q
— EndGame Macro (@onechancefreedm) January 31, 2026
Key points:
When margins are raised across the entire precious metals complex like this, it’s not a single metal story. It’s the exchange saying the volatility regime has shifted enough that the system needs more collateral per unit of exposure.
The part most people miss is that this is a margin regime change
The key shift is how margins are being calculated. CME has moved more explicitly toward percentage of notional margining rather than static dollar amounts. That matters because fixed dollar margins quietly increase leverage as prices rise. Percentage based margins do the opposite because they automatically tighten leverage as prices go vertical. This is CME preventing leverage from expanding precisely when it’s most dangerous.
That’s the real story. This is a clearinghouse firewall, not a headline grabbing intervention.
Just Dario had more:
Here is the full explanation of how the biggest exploit in the history of precious metals likely unfolded 👇🏻
Comex futures price settlement at the Comex is based on a VWAP between 13:24 to 13:25EST
LBMA price settlement instead happens at 12:00 UK time
Most of Silver OTC… https://t.co/2haVZJPSEd pic.twitter.com/IxLuLtSJZN
— JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) February 1, 2026
Key points:
It is an open secret now how many banks and brokers were under water on their silver positions, gold and other precious metals especially after the rally in January. Beware this flow chart roughly applies to all these metals that all crashed on Friday (not silver alone).
What’s even more remarkable is how precious metals crashed on Friday in isolation, stocks, bonds and other commodities were totally unaffected. Anyone that understands any basic of macro and markets knows how this is logically wrong.
…
All in all, it’s fair to estimate how banks and brokers made up to 5bn$ of profits (or lowered their pre existing losses depending on how you look at it) orchestrating one of the biggest price manipulation in the history to abnormally crash the price of silver in a single day. Surely they made more if you consider the same dynamics happened on gold platinum and palladium.However this left the precious metals market in a massive price dislocation not only between physical and paper, but also across financial products and exchanges.
Trading resumes in less than 24 hours and there is a chance that what’s about to happen is going to be even more historic than Friday’s events because China and India won’t stop buying silver because of the severe industrial shortage they are dealing with.
This video by the Boring Currency is highly recommended for those with a few minutes and hankering to understand WTF?!?
Shanaka Anslem Perera distilled the contending narratives battling for control over silver pricing:
On January 30, 2026, silver futures crashed thirty-one point four percent in a single session, the largest one-day decline since the Hunt Brothers’ collapse in 1980. The institutional interpretation crystallized within hours: speculative excess had been purged, the bubble had burst, and the metal would return to equilibrium somewhere below fifty dollars where sober analysts had always said it belonged. Bloomberg ran the headline “Silver Bubble Bursts.” The Financial Times called it “a long-overdue correction.” Goldman Sachs reiterated their conviction sell recommendation. The smart money, according to this narrative, had seen it coming.
The smart money missed the only data point that mattered.
While paper silver was crashing in New York and London, physical silver in Shanghai was trading at premiums exceeding fifty percent over the COMEX price at the crash low. In Dubai, wholesale premiums reached eighteen percent. In Mumbai, dealers were quoting twenty-five percent above the screen price. At the exact moment when paper silver printed seventy-eight dollars and twelve cents, the lowest tick of the crash, physical silver in Asia was changing hands at prices equivalent to one hundred twenty to one hundred thirty dollars per ounce in wholesale markets where actual metal was delivered. The financial press reported the paper crash. They did not report that physical premiums widened by thirteen to fifty-four percent during the very session that was supposed to prove silver was overvalued.
This is the opposite of what should happen when an asset is genuinely overvalued. When a bubble bursts, holders rush to exit, and physical markets trade at discounts to paper as metal floods the market seeking bids. The widening of physical premiums during a paper crash is the signature of something else entirely. It is the signature of a market that has fractured into two separate pricing regimes that no longer communicate with each other. The paper market and the physical market have divorced, and the implications of that divorce will define precious metals investing for the next decade.
It’s not just markets where the mask of unreality is slipping and threatening the Trump 2.0 regime.
Trump has been doing his best to put an end to the American experiment, but maybe it won’t work.
Trump’s Rapid Clampdown
John Burn-Murdoch at The Financial Times documents the atrocities:
The speed, scale, flagrance and persistence of the Trump administration’s deviations from established legal and constitutional norms during his second term have been so dramatic that it bears stepping back and taking stock.
Within hours of his January 2025 inauguration, Donald Trump had pardoned hundreds of people convicted of political violence — a hallmark of aspiring autocratic regimes — and shown tacit support for violent resistance to electoral setbacks. Days later he removed legal protections from civil servants and fired 17 oversight officials charged with tackling fraud and corruption. By March the administration was in open conflict with the courts, summer saw police firing rubber bullets at protesters and the removal of the labour statistics agency chief in the wake of weak jobs numbers, and this month brought the criminal investigation into Fed chair Jay Powell and the shootings of Renée Nicole Good and Alex Pretti by Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents.
While US history is hardly free from political violence or maltreatment of disfavoured groups, this blitz on America’s citizens, institutions and — by many estimations — the constitution itself ranks as arguably the most rapid episode of democratic and civil erosion in the recent history of the developed world.
Excellent analysis from the Financial Times: The US slide away from democracy during Trump’s second term “stands out as the most rapid in contemporary history.” It outpaces the early stages of backsliding under Putin in Russia, Erdoğan in Turkey and Orbán in Hungary… pic.twitter.com/qA606pqlWY
— Gil McGowan (@gilmcgowan) January 31, 2026
While I certainly think there is plenty of room for skepticism about this kind of quantitative analysis of qualitative phenomena, my lived experience of Trump 2.0 jibes with the FT’s account.
But maybe there’s reason for hope in the narrative wars.
Special Election in Texas Results Are Truly Special
I’ve worked on a LOT of political campaigns in Texas in this century and I have never seen a swing in voter sentiment like we saw last week.
Democrat and machinist union leader Taylor Rehmet won the special election Saturday to represent a solidly red Texas Senate district that President Donald Trump carried by 17 points in 2024, a stunning upset that injected a fresh and urgent sense of a panic into the GOP from the Texas Capitol to the White House heading into November’s midterm elections.
With ballots tallied from all but a handful of voting centers, Rehmet had 57% of the vote, besting the 43% for his GOP opponent, conservative activist Leigh Wambsganss, who vastly outspent Rehmet as Republicans including Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick mounted a furious funding push in a bid to tilt the election in their favor in the final days. …
Rehmet was far outspent in the leadup to the November election, spending $68,000 compared to millions spent by the two GOP candidates. He remained financially outgunned heading into Saturday, with Wambsganss reporting a whopping $736,000 in expenditures compared to Rehmet’s roughly $70,000, according to campaign finance filings with the state.Outsiders have also been spending on the race. VoteVets, a progressive national veterans PAC, poured in roughly $500,000 to boost Rehmet. Patrick, the upper chamber’s presiding officer, contributed $300,000 to Wambsganss’ campaign through his PAC, Texas Senate Leadership Fund.
One just doesn’t see outcomes like this:
Results – Texas SD 09 – 95% Reported
🔵 Rehmet 57% 🏆
🔴 Wambsganss 43%Money spent
🔴 Wambsganss – $2.4M
🔵 Rehmet – $200K2022 results – Republicans +20
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) February 1, 2026
It’s important to note where the votes came from:
Some quick maps of the Early Vote SD-09, Rehmet is gaining the most ground from the heavily Hispanic Fort Worth precincts. He's overperforming Harris by more than 50 in most of them. pic.twitter.com/RjjgkFPDGc
— James🗳 (@_fat_ugly_rat_) February 1, 2026
Republicans did not lose the TX SD-9 runoff because of low GOP turnout: they lost because almost all of the independents and some of the Republicans voted Dem.
Of those who voted in the TX SD-9 runoff, 50%+ were GOP primary voters or at GOP HH; only 35% were Dems or at Dem HH pic.twitter.com/osPAhm3nS4
— Ross Hunt (@Ross_Hunt) February 1, 2026
The Wall Street Journal has more:
The 31-point-swing leftward is a bad sign for Republicans hoping to maintain a Senate majority and an already-slim majority in the House, said Jason Villalba, a former GOP state lawmaker who now leads the Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation, a research group.
“Whatever inroads the GOP was making recently among Latinos in Texas has begun to really revert back to what it was originally,” he said, pointing to Saturday’s shifts in Texas precincts with large Hispanic populations. “That will have implications around Texas and around the country.”
And the implications are bad news for more than just the GOP. Establishment Democrats have reason to fear:
The most important part of the special election is that the winner was outspent 10-1. He's a rando populist union guy who never graduated from college, now a Texas state Senator.
If a bunch of non-establishment types flood legislatures, people like Hakeem Jeffries lose power.
— Matt Stoller (@matthewstoller) February 2, 2026
The Democratic candidate’s ability to overcome a massive spending disparity is encouraging because the big money wants to keep the mask of unreality on and they’re marshalling their forces.
Huge Money Wants to Keep the Mask of Unreality Locked On
The New York Times has a pretty scary summary of what the forces of reaction are up to:
If money talks, don’t mess with the A.I. industry, the crypto industry, the pro-Israel lobby or President Trump’s super PAC.
Those four interests are set to be the wild cards of the 2026 midterm elections: They have shown a desire to get involved in primary elections. They are unpredictable in general elections. And they each have tens — if not hundreds — of millions of dollars, according to new federal filings. Mr. Trump’s super PAC, by far the richest, has amassed a staggering sum of more than $300 million.
…
Leading the Future, the main super PAC funded by the A.I. industry, raised $50.3 million in the second half of 2025, almost all from the family of an OpenAI founder and from the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, which has invested heavily in A.I.
…
Fairshake, the main super PAC backed by crypto heavy hitters, took in $73.8 million in the second half of 2025, mainly from its typical backers: Andreessen Horowitz, a major investor in crypto, as well as the crypto companies Coinbase and Ripple. Fairshake and its two affiliate groups entered 2026 with $193 million on hand.
…
moved $30 million to its allied super PAC, the United Democracy Project, last year. That super PAC raised $61.6 million in the second half of 2025 and entered this year with almost $96 million on hand, putting it among the best-funded outside groups in the country.The super PAC, which started in 2022, spent about $35 million in House primaries in the 2024 cycle. That amount appears to be chump change compared with the group’s potential 2026 budget.
But all the fiat currency in the world can’t recreate reality and we’re seeing the limits of financial power being reached in the biggest bubble of them all.
AI’s Mask of Unreality Looking Ragged
AI skeptics have to feel vindicated by the latest development in the world of circular financing, per the WSJ:
Nvidia’s plan to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI to help it train and run its latest artificial-intelligence models has stalled after some inside the chip giant expressed doubts about the deal, people familiar with the matter said.
The companies unveiled the giant agreement last September at Nvidia’s Santa Clara, Calif., headquarters. They announced a memorandum of understanding for Nvidia to build at least 10 gigawatts of computing power for OpenAI, and the chip maker also agreed to invest up to $100 billion to help OpenAI pay for it. As part of the deal, OpenAI agreed to lease the chips from Nvidia.
…
Now, the two sides are rethinking the future of their partnership, some of the people said. The latest discussions, they said, include an equity investment of tens of billions of dollars as part of OpenAI’s current funding round.Nvidia Chief Executive Jensen Huang has privately emphasized to industry associates in recent months that the original $100 billion agreement was nonbinding and not finalized, people familiar with the matter said. He has also privately criticized what he has described as a lack of discipline in OpenAI’s business approach and expressed concern about the competition it faces from the likes of Google and Anthropic, some of the people said.
We are in a time of dramatic conflict between contending forces and the powers that be have immense resources at their command, and no moral scruples or limits holding them back.
Narrative control is possibly the most powerful weapon in the arsenal of the status quo.
But maybe, just maybe, the rips in the mask of unreality will help those attempting to resist the lords of ruin and misrule see a path to a better future.
Stay tuned.
Previous attempts to penetrate the mask of unreality:


“What’s even more remarkable is how precocious metals crashed on Friday in isolation”
Precocious indeed !!!
My favorite typo of the day! Made me giggle with glee. From now on this will be my term of choice for these metals.
ha! That’s so funny I’m tempted not to correct it. Thanks
Talk you for this thorough outline of the rips in the unreality narrative. It’s been interesting to see it happening in my own little anecdotal world. From family that lives in their safe MSM bubble experiencing deportation horrors in their own home (literally), to apolitical friends giving up their lives here to move abroad, to crypto/AI evangelists seemingly starting to doubt their deities.
It’s funny/frustrating to hear from the MSM listeners about how Epstein was a Russian operative but I guess old habits die hard but even they have stopped cheerleading for Israel and feel we shouldn’t be supporting them anymore. The only people in my circles who are still fully clinging to unreality are the MAGA acolytes. From them I still get the “he’s selflessly given up so much to be president” and “he’s only going after the worst of the worst” etc, etc, etc. Identity is a heck of a drug.
As for the resistance: Was funny/frustrating to see Chuck Schumer, in the span of just about an hour, go viral for saying “I have many jobs as leader … and one is to fight for aid to Israel, all the aid that Israel needs.” then posting a photo of himself with María Corina Machado writing, “It was an honor to meet with the leader of the Venezuelan democratic movement and Nobel Peace Prize laureate, María Corina Machado, to discuss our support for a free and democratic Venezuela. Her bravery and resilience are an inspiration for all who stand for freedom.”
Seems to me the best ally Trump has right now is Democratic leadership and their subservience to unreality.
Bracing for whatever Bill and Hill end up saying, or not saying by taking the Fifth.
Personally I’d be happy if they took the 5th but for all speaking so we never had to hear from either again, But, I’m sure Gavin Newsome’s ’28 campaign to send Bill & Hill to the rust belt to inspire voters. https://truthout.org/articles/bill-clinton-sparks-outrage-for-racist-comments-on-gaza-at-harris-rally/
Seriously though, Can Elon or Bezos finish their Mars rockets already so we can send everyone of Epstein’s pals off to their space civilization utopia? The Clinton Foundation can lead efforts to bring fresh water to Hellas Basin, The Gates Foundation can combat disease on Olympus Mons, and they can all diddle all the AI bots their hearts desire.
From the bottom of my whiskey glass,
Paul Wellstone
John F Kennedy Jr
Thank you NWT.
The MAGA acolytes-
https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjaEbsZhK9NDP8dQYWvNap51fvVIObK_9dZCBTFLehEqIN-A17bRrAAgSLTf40_hn2iBunLzF2fVMyzssjiK5ipjZ7MzjMIsjiGjD5flzSYjlS1OQR10_8bB3tTOzRRCd_y-7JYmftvUX-TGlwWv2H1l6_ZAGYS1IDIlDZRqfXHuCz9T2WNdy0tLfJw8ik5/s858/the_abyss.jpg
Nina Illingworth (who I remember once exploding at you on twitter about the word “liberal” for no obvious reason 😂) used to claim QAnon felt like a test for something and was clearly managed by spooks.
No suprise to see our Mossad-connected ex-trafficker involved so heavily.
The insane new-right internet wave has always felt manufactured. Would love to know who’s really behind Zeroh*dge. It does fit well with both Israeli (drum up the war of civilizations) and Thielite (as a successor to his early 2000s failed NASCAR and right-wing politics magazine) rhetoric.
Ha! I’d forgotten about that brush with greatness. Nina used to be a regular read. Is she still writing? I think she blocked me.
She was a great read and for a short while was getting regular play on Links and WC.
I’m pretty sure I first heard from her on NC, in a piece about Propornot (which seems almost quaint in retrospect).
I had a look and her website http://www.ninaillingworth.com is still up, but no writing since last summer.
I mainly knew her thru Twitter, where she was fiery and insightful.
I really appreciate the oblique Doors allusion. “Of our elabroate plans, the end, of everything that stands, the end.” Weird scenes indeed.
I’m glad someone caught that.
Thanks Nat. Always enjoy your stuff.
That TX election. No one has ever abandoned his campaign promises faster than DJT. Not even the photogenic slimy weasel St Obama.
“Peace President” my flaming ass.
The Hispanic turn away from DJT has be a result of ICE attacks on communities.
And the terrible economy. The inflation. The tariff taxes. The unceasing whiplash of chaos and noise.
Make it stop, one might wish.
Well looks like they voted that way.
In Ye Olde Precocious Metals arena, it was curious, in a Holmesian sense that the Shanghai Metals Exchange essentially halted silver trading from the usual opening time of 8:00 PM Sunday, Eastern time for the entire trading day.
See: https://discoveryalert.com.au/china-halts-trading-silver-oil-funds-2026/
This mania and crash scenario happened across world markets.
interesting, that. Previously, China market had just decoupled from US crash.
Thanks. Looks like the plunges ended later in the day and silver closed up 4.6% for the day.
Boring Currency has a new video today.
True that. As price rises, the lower grade ores become more profitable to mine and refine. This goes for all metals especially. Of interest is that the mining stocks, which participated in the run up, also crashed, some quite spectacularly.
Also of interest is that Shanghai, when it did begin trading, opened with a quite large gap down in price. It hit its circuit breaker trigger, around twenty dollars an ounce down. Trading was suspended for a while.
We live in interesting times.
I’m curious how much silver is available in peoples cabinets and attics. i suspect many are sitting on their parents sterling and don’t even polish it for holidays anymore. When they find out it might be worth 5 figures they’ll have it melted down. Would this contribute in any meaningful way to industrial needs?
Doubtful, unless the entire Indian middle class were to dump their holdings (IIRC that’s what kiboshed Warren Buffet’s 1990s era attempt to corner the silver market)
A more contemporary article about Buffett and silver from Barrons.
1979-80 was one hellova vacuum cleaner, as for once the public was entirely right in selling into the silver bubble that went up 8x in 9 months, and gold was merely a camp follower, only managing to triple in value in the same time span.
We’d rely on little old ladies who were in their 70’s to have squirreled away lotsa goodies, with the hope being that they’d exhibit purse droop as you buzzed them through the security door, and a lady born in 1916 had ample opportunity to have coins and banknotes, whereas a 71 year old born in 1955 has bupkis, Gresham!
There are some similarities with the Han Brothers to the Hunt Brothers, in that they both wanted .999 fine deliverable silver, and non pure silver has been discounted quite a bit from the spot price-just as it had in late ’79 and early ’80, which typically means the few refiners in the USA are hopelessly backed up.
I asked a friend in the biz how much sterling (92.5% pure) was fetching on a wholesale basis about a month ago, and he could only get 85% of melt value, but more shocking, in that payment was 2 to 6 weeks out, crazy that.
Conversely, .999 fine silver was salable around spot, with immediate payment.
When the CME changed the rules on the Hunt Brothers, it ended their bubble which had gone up 8x in just 9 months, but it doesn’t have much effect on the Han Brothers, who are playing by different rules in China, and presumably have much deeper pockets.
It’ll be fun to watch it play out~
Hi oh silver, away!
The Chinese traders set great store by the Mandate of Haven.
Had to have a look
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mandate_of_Heaven
Consider source… it appears to not be AI!
Regarding foreign policy I view the Obama policies headed by SoS Hillary as continuity from the Clinton administration rather than a divergence. Bombing of Libya similar to Serbia, crippling sanctions as with Madelaine Albright with Iraq. Cold Warriors with both administrations staffed by neoconservative undersecretaries such as Victoria Nuland.
There has been an unbroken run of neocons since the Clinton admin. Some of the players (like Nuland) “served” under Clinton/Bush/Obama and Biden. Some of them served under Bush & Trump 1 (Bolton, Pompeo) and although the names have changed they control Trump 2 as well (Rubio).
In other unmaskings, is this the reason VZ needed to get slapped around, clear the decks for the appropriation from the sovereign to the vultures?
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-extends-protection-venezuela-owned-citgo-creditors-2026-02-02/
I haven’t had the luxury of forgetting. I have friends of Facebook friends who still blame all the harms of this administration on voters who didn’t support the well-qualified Democratic nominees in 2016 and 2024 because of sexism.
Yet, it’s hard to prove sexism when in 2016 the voters overwhelmingly, to the tune of millions, voted for the Democratic nominee.
My friend just quipped that the Mother of all Ironies is that QAnon started out with a basis in fact…
on the very Reddit subdomain where Ghislaine Maxwell was a moderator. Curious
Trying to make sense of it:
Option 1. QAnon was unrelated to the Epstein abuse angle and was an attempt to sow distrust in the mainstream/institutions and pave the way for an Israel-friendly Trump presidency and accompanying move rightwards in the population.
Option 2 [seems weak]: cause a huge conspiracy laden cheese pizza and satanic paedo story which is ridiculous to most non-believers to cover up your actual paedo blackmail and influence gig
On 1, Nat you’ve been paying closer attention than me: has the rise of MAGA/alt-right/new-fascism always seemed very well funded and organised beneath the surface to you? I know it has to me.
It has seemed a combination of brilliantly planned and funded and completely random, opportunistic, and shambolic. Very hard combination to pull off.
Ding Ding
paging Thomas Pynchon
Straight from a Thomas Pynchon novel. Thanks Nat.
perfect analogy!
One recalls the astroturf emergence of the Tea Party ‘movement’.
Love them precocious metals.
Please keep reporting on the Epstein saga – I heard a report on Mahmoud Od, with screen grabs that were so disturbing I turned it off due to nausea and involved out current CIC.
If I can make any sense out of it I definitely will. There are a couple of figures that I’ve been watching at my day job who popped up big time in this latest tranche.
“Just goes to show that our hyper-normalized world is the most manipulated thing ever, behind the mask of unreality….But maybe that narrative control is beginning to break down.”
Glad to see you are beginning to offer some of the insights of Mike Benz in your posts.
He is a grass-roots MAGA supporter who was deeply influenced by the Left critique of American foreign policy from the 1960s. Listening to Benz in 2026 is like being in an SDS meeting in 1966.
Part of exploding the “mask of reality of the powers that be” is to recognize that these powers went primarily after the Left from 1948 to 1978 when they were ascendent as they are now going primarily after the populist right because they are now ascendent.
It is way beyond time for the Left to give up their extremely naive tendency to see all of MAGA as the enemy or dupes. There is much that each side could learn from the other, which down the road just might lead to some exciting and creative collaboration.
The latest suggestion of Mike Benz is to recognize that the important files around Epstein’s secret work as an intelligence asset are not held at the DOJ but probably can only be found at the CIA itself.
This will require a separate legislative bill from our Congress, which is how we got most of the JFK files.
With friends like James Jesus Angleton, who needs enemies?
I don’t quite trust Benz but he’s generally worth paying attention to.
Excellent write-up — thanks, Nat.
Regarding the Epstein-Bitcoin connection, I tend to doubt the claim about a backdoor, as the point of having a bunch of devs working together on an open source project is that code gets published and reviews essentially happen in a public space. With many different devs looking at the same code, it is much more difficult to pull off shenanigans.
Patrick Riley flags the 2021 Continental Pipeline hack being ‘recovered’ by the FBI as suspicious. The official explanation is that the FBI obtained a private key to the ransom account, though of course the agency did not disclose how they accomplished this.
It is worth bearing in mind that all transactions on the blockchain are public, and it would not be too difficult to identify the precise records on the blockchain that were involved in the ransom. This was accomplished by the blockchain analytics firm Elliptic, which ID’d the wallet holding the ransom. I believe the difficulty lies in connecting specific blockchain records to an account on an exchange, and in turn connecting that account to an individual. This, especially on exchanges with weak KYC rules. In this case, the feds only gained access to the account to retrieve the BTC.
I believe they could have achieved this by applying pressure to the crypto exchange that held the account, quietly informing the exchange that “we will cause all sorts of trouble for you if you don’t reset the password and give us access to this account”. Logically, the exchange would likely say: “okay, we will work together with you on this, but kindly do not divulge what happened, or else our customers will flee, our business will be severely impacted, and it may be harder for you to continue your investigation.”
All of that said… emails between Epstein and über crypto entrepreneur Ito Joichi… that looks pretty sketchy.
Difficult but not impossible. See the xz Utils backdoor that happened a couple of years ago, and that was caught by sheer coincidence. That being said, if bitcoin was this compromised then it really is worthless.
The fascinating idea that History has been put on pause was developped in this text from 2014 : https://www.dedefensa.org/article/du-big-now-a-lleternel-present-1
If you don’t read french, Goog Translate shall do. The author can be verbose and I imagine that the translator will muck things up here and there but it really goes into the weeds.
Ever since I ran into it, I was glad to be able to put words on the eerie feeling this era produces. I was thus thrilled to see your “interregnum of unreality”. We need more folks noticing and talking about it.
May the rubber meet the road again ; the train wheels bite the metal of the rails so that forward movement can be produced at long last.
I’ll take ANY forward movement at this point ;-)
very cool, I’ll check out the text.
The great mistake is the belief that there is a single face behind the mask. What we call the deep state, the PTB, or the establishment is nothing but a messy aggregate of hucksters and confidence men trading lies and hatching incompatible schemes. The reason Epstein’s “career” makes no sense is because it was mostly Brownian motion of big names bumping into each other with negligible results. I truly wish that the tech bros, the CIA, or the Bilderbergs had a master plan that would produce something resembling a coherent future, but they don’t. They are just packs of liars pushing incongruous schemes. The mask is all they have, and they are losing it.
Generally true, but billionaires can produce outsized outcomes even if they’re barely in control of the events their actions trigger.
At a minimum, Epstein’s actions netted him an incredible amount of money and access to power.
Also, conspiracies happen all the time, all that is required is some secrecy, criminal intentions, and 2 or more involved actors.
Your maxim, while true and valuable, also contributed to cover-ups like the FBI’s denial of the existence of the Italian-American mafia until the 1958 Appalachia bust made it obvious and undeniable.
Likewise, we know BCCI existed and was involved in some nasty, and large-scale naughtiness and there’s a whole bunch of new evidence that Epstein came up in that or affiliated networks.
The thing that makes high-level conspiracies damned hard to track is that any collection of powerful people will have almost as many agendas as there are individuals involved. Everything is fractal and there’s a bottomless chain of “who’s zooming who?” type fuckery involved.
Highly likely, although during COVID I found myself somewhat reassured by the notion that Gates and others were pushing for a deliberate mass die-off. If the powers that be, or elements within them, are working on rapid population reduction, that’s at least a plan and it makes sense, even if it is as evil as possible.
…aided and abetted by the teeming multitudes.
Just finished this, and it was very approachable, entertaining, informative, somewhat philosophically calming
Anthropogenic extirpations… we are both dining, and on the menu!
https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/2147231
Thanks, I’ll see if my local library can get me a copy.