I’ve been asserting for some time, based on the comments from mortgage counsellors, that mortgage mods that do not substantially reduce principal balances don’t make enough of a difference to the borrower to change outcomes. And with banks and servicers looking at 40%+ losses on many foreclosures, they can reduce principal a lot and still […]
Read more...Some readers may take issue with the headline, but bear me out. Within ten days of 1987 stock market crash, President Reagan established what was popularly called the Brady Commission to investigate the causes of the meltdown and recommend remedies. A little more than two months after it was created, the Commission submitted its report. […]
Read more...One of our beefs has been the lack of any progress, even interesting trial balloons, on the financial firm reform front. And that’s a serious problem. Economists like to point to the Great Depression as the textbook example that fiscal stimulus works. FDR launches a bunch of spending plans, and voila, by 1936, the economy […]
Read more...Just when you thought most of the bad news was out in the open, another ugly problem raises its head. Remember collateralized loan obligations? They last got press because investment banks were stuck with a whole bunch of them as unsold inventory, and their erosion in value was wreaking havoc on investment bank balance sheets. […]
Read more...We’ve commented from time to time that a possible financial flashpoint is countries that got themselves in the same fix as Iceland , of having a banking sector engaged in the generally risky practices that were standard form recently, and was outsized relative to the economy (Willem Buiter also points out that that precarious situation […]
Read more...Hope you enjoy this chat. Click here to view.
Read more...I cannot recall a major US policy initiative being met with as much immediate revulsion as the so-called Geithner plan. Even the horrific TARP, which showed utter contempt for Congress and the American public was in some ways less troubling. Paulson demanded $700 billion, nearly $200 billion bigger than the Department of Defense, via a […]
Read more...The Milken Institute has released a new report on the housing/credit crisis, which is a preview of a book to be released this spring (hat tip reader Dwight). What I found particularly interesting, given the Institute’s conservative leanings, is that the policy recommendations were on the whole, middle of the road. They acknowledged the need […]
Read more...No, the headline is not an exaggeration. And it demonstrates that credit conditions remain tight for many less than stelar borrowers. From the Financial Times: In a striking example of how the global financial crisis and high food prices have strained the finances of poor and middle-income nations, countries including Russia, Malaysia, Vietnam and Morocco […]
Read more...Team Obama has started to preview some of its financial reform proposals. And if the New York Times has represented it accurately, it falls far short of what is called for. Consider the opening sentence of the article: The Obama administration plans to move quickly to tighten the nation’s financial regulatory system. If all the […]
Read more...Adam Levitin at Credit Slips has a big beef with a lot of the critics of the idea of mortgage cramdowns as an alternative to foreclosure. For the most part, they don’t know what they are talking about. That charge may sound extreme. but Levitin makes a persuasive case. First, the only empirical work done […]
Read more...Readers may recall that we hated the TARP from its inception. Recall that the TARP was so named because the TA stood for “troubled asset”. The plan was to buy crappy assets from banks because this would leave them with nice pristine balance sheets and they could go forth and be reckless lend once again. […]
Read more...The 30 year Treasury bond has fallen from roughly 140 to its current level of 125-ish, so absent an intensification of deflation worries, one might surmise that at least some of the air has come out of the Treasury bond bubble. One might also take the view that the Chinese played this one astutely (or […]
Read more...Willem Buiter, who had a ringside seat at the Iceland meltdown, warned that the UK could follow back in November: With the pound sterling dropping like a stone against most other currencies and credit default swap rates on long-term UK sovereign debt beginning to edge up, this is a good time to revisit a suggestion […]
Read more...Color me suspicious (as if that would be news to readers). Fiat and Chrysler have been talking about a deal that by all appearance might get the US automaker off government life support. That is probably a good idea, because if push were to come to shove, Chrysler would be the number one candidate to […]
Read more...