Ed Harrison has an excellent post over on his Credit Writedowns blog, following up and elaborating on his “Greed is Not Good” post here yesterday. To whet your appetite, here it the beginning of “More on greed, regulation, Lehman and the financial industry“: In one of my latest posts I said “greed is not good.” […]
Read more...The Wall Street Journal story, “The ‘Democratization of Credit’ Is Over — Now It’s Payback Time,” is a solid piece of reporting on how credit that was once offered liberally to lower income consumers has now left a very big hangover. It’s worse than with other income strata for an obvious reason, namely, low income […]
Read more...As much as commentators are trying to put a happy face on recent data releases showing that job losses are slowing, it still means that fewer people are working. Moreover, one element of the poor jobs environment that it not getting enough play is the way wages are deteriorating. Some who have full-time work have […]
Read more...By Andrew Kaplan, a hedge fund manager: It has become fashionable among equities managers of the bullish persuasion to argue that a strong recovery in GDP will occur in 2010 because the “structural adjustment period” of moving back to a more normal savings rate has been completed. We’ve gone from a savings rate of barely […]
Read more...Submitted by Thomas Forest Outliers: The Story of SuccessMalcolm Gladwell, Little Brown and Company, (2008) Have you read Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb? Malcolm Gladwell has, “(Fooled by Randomness) is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church.” And Taleb has been reading Gladwell. For example […]
Read more...Submitted by Edward Harrison of the site Credit Writedowns. As with my most recent post here on Naked Capitalism about Larry Summers, I want to write a thought piece here, as much for discussion’s sake as for its analysis. Now, the core of what you are about to read is something I put together and […]
Read more...In case you managed to miss it, Japan has taken a huge fall in its relative economic standing by more or less standing still for almost a generation. The comparative fall is 30%. And even though visitors to Japan do not see the superficial signs of distress (infrastructure is well maintained, people are neatly dressed, […]
Read more...The Wall Street Journal Economics Blog today featured an update of a chart prepared by Alexis de Tocqueville, author of Democracy in America, comparing the compensation of French and American civil servants, with an update (click to enlarge): The problem is that this comparison is misleading. The intent is to illustrate pay disparities over time. […]
Read more...Nearly 20 years of stagnant to falling wages, threadbare social safety nets, and no returns on savings has produced a retiree class in Japan struggling to make ends meet. Good reason to worry at the sight of the US cribbing heavily from the Japanese playbook. From Bloomberg (hat tip Ed Harrison): More senior citizens are […]
Read more...Steve Waldman has a great little post on how the end of the consumer credit bubble is going to expose rifts papered over by the illusion of rising living standards for all. In fact, average real wages have been stagnant since the mid-1970s; the gains in income have accrued entirely to those at the top […]
Read more...The Financial Times reports on a FT/Harris survey found a surprising consensus across eight countries in Europe and Asia, as well as in the US, that increasing income disparity was undesirable. Not surprisingly, respondents favored increasing taxes on the rich. Of course, this poses an interesting conundrum for politicians, given the sway of multinational corporations […]
Read more...Why is it that some ideas capture the popular imagination and others die on the vine? A lot has to do with timing, getting noticed by opinion leaders, having a pithy turn of phrase. Yet I’ve seen articles and books that (at least to me) make fundamentally important observations and go nowhere, and others which […]
Read more...I’ve been meaning to discuss how increased income disparity is bad for economic growth, because in the end you wind up with insufficient labor income to fund consumption (note that America’s high consumption rate has been achieved by lowering its already low savings rate to zero) and too much capital chasing too few investment opportunities […]
Read more...Quite often, policy debates get mired in superficial, outdated, manipulated, or simply incomplete understandings of the facts. Getting relevant data is vital to coming up with intelligent approaches. Unfortunately, Paul Krugman, who has tried getting to the bottom of whether trade has increased income inequality in the US, concludes that we don’t have the right […]
Read more...Barney Frank, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, has the reputation of having a sharp mind (and occasionally sharp tongue) and it shows in this Financial Times comment piece. The article makes a two pronged attack against the rightward economic drift of the last 30 years, noting that deregulation has not been the panacea […]
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