Category Archives: Politics

US/China Rhetoric Escalates Over Rise in Chinese Exports

China posted a 48.5% increase in exports in May over its level the prior year, which led to much consternation and chest thumping in DC. Recall that Treasury Secretary Geithner was under considerable pressure from Congress to certify China a currency manipulator on April 15 (one of two semi-annual opportunities). China posted a rather surprising […]

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Does This Mean We Never Leave? $1 Trillon Mineral Find in Afghanistan

The New York Times reports on a monster find of minerals in Afghanistan, some of them strategic (hat tip reader Francois T): The United States has discovered nearly $1 trillion in untapped mineral deposits in Afghanistan, far beyond any previously known reserves and enough to fundamentally alter the Afghan economy and perhaps the Afghan war […]

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Satyajit Das: The Year of Wishful Thinking

By Satyajit Das, a risk consultant and author of Traders, Guns & Money: Knowns and Unknowns in the Dazzling World of Derivatives – Revised Edition (2010, FT-Prentice Hall). A year of wishful thinking … The period from March 2009 was the year of wishful thinking. Central banks cut interest rates and governments opened their cheque […]

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Guest Post: Liberals and Libertarians Need Each Other

By Bob Goodwin, an investor and medical device entrepreneur who lives in Mercer Island, Washington Ideological groupings of the population are an interesting phenomenon. I believe they are caused by two human traits. People need a mental construct or shortcut to make sense of complex externalities, and likely overuse these constructs. More importantly people are […]

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BP Given 48 Hours to Step Up Recovery Efforts

We’ve admittedly gone a bit heavy on the BP coverage in the last day or so, but since we aren’t having a financial crisis weekend, this is one of the few major stories that is having meaningful developments. Bloomberg reports that the Coast Guard has ordered the oil producer to increase its recovery efforts. The […]

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BP Shows Belly, Says Willing to Cut Dividend, So What Will Obama Do?

BP has clearly decided that it needs to do what it takes to get the Administration to de-escalate its campaign against the oil producer, and is signaling that it is willing to cut its dividend, something it has fiercely resisted, as a peace offering. BP’s chairman, Carl-Henric Svanberg has been summoned to meet with Obama […]

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BP: Is Team Obama Pushing for a Full Externalities Precedent?

As readers may know, I’ve been consistently disappointed by the Obama Administration: its faux progressive packaging versus its corporatist posture, its half-hearted, halting reforms which are noisily trumpeted as the real thing, its deep seated belief that public antipathy to its initiatives means it needs to work harder on selling its message, when it really […]

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Rising Global Imbalances Likely to Precipitate New Crises

It is not a sign of intelligence to repeat a course of action and expect different results. Yet our officialdom is doing pretty much just that on the economic front. Treasury and the Fed in particular seem quite pleased with their success in patching up the financial system with duct tape and baling wire and […]

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Auerback: The United Kingdom Draws the Wrong Lessons from Canada

By Marshall Auerback, a fund manager and investment strategist who writes for New Deal 2.0 (and happens to be Canadian). For once, Canada is making the news for the wrong reasons: The government of the United Kingdom has braced the country for cuts in government spending of up to 20 per cent as the new […]

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Another Wee Poke at China Over Steel Exports

A $200 million market is so small as to be beneath most readers’ notice, except when its has the potential to escalate frictions between the US and China. The US has been selectively investigating markets where the Chinese are purported to be engaging in anti-competitive practices and taking action. The first salvo occurred last September, […]

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Satyajit Das: Even More Crunch-Porn and Crash Lit

By Satyajit Das, a risk consultant and author of Traders, Guns & Money: Knowns and Unknowns in the Dazzling World of Derivatives – Revised Edition (2010, FT-Prentice Hall). Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth Rogoff (2009) This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly; Princeton University Press, London Raghuram G. Rajan (2010) Fault Lines: How […]

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FCIC Subpoenas Goldman (Update: Details on Firm’s Intransigence)

Bloomberg reports that the FCIC subpoenaed documents from Goldman: The U.S. panel investigating the causes of the financial crisis issued a subpoena to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. after the Wall Street firm failed to hand over documents in a “timely manner.” The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission “has made it clear that it is committed to […]

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Geithner at G20 Warns of Imminent Beggar Thy Neighbor Currency Policies

As much as I have been a consistent critic of Geithner in his role as one of the chief enablers of the banking industry, he deserves credit for this succinct remarks at the G-20 via Bloomberg (hat tip reader Scott): In a sign of tension among the world’s economic policy chiefs, Geithner flagged concern that […]

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On BP’s Many Forms of Less Than Artful Dodging

As the Gulf oil leak continues to spew, albeit at a slightly lower rate now, and the American public is becoming resigned to the dreadful spectacle of continued damage to wildlife and coastlines, BP continues to act as a law unto itself. Not that that should be any surprise; the oil producer clearly believed from […]

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On the Maybe Not So Slow Motion European Train Wreck

I owe readers a longer comment on this, since we may be going into crisis mode (ah, the joys of waking up and toddling out to the computer to see what wheels are falling off the global financial system today). Your humble blogger may be a bit jaded (two years of watching the crisis and […]

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