Chairman of the House Financial Services Committee Barney Frank has proposed legislation to tighten up practices in mortgage lending. Because Frank is more interested in substance than most legislators, his draft has elicited howls from the usual suspects, no doubt a strong indication that it is on track. Frank’s general aim is to create clearer […]
Read more...A story in today’s New York Times, “Buyers Pounce as Homes Go on the Block.” shows that true belief in housing as an investment is far from dead. And the belief that auction = bargain quickens the pulse. While some local markets will have shallow (if any) price declines and fast rebounds, and Minnesota, the […]
Read more...Rising defaults across a range of debt products confirm that credit woes are not just a subprime affair. Stories in the New York Times and the Financial Times focus on different aspects of this problem. The Times tells us that collateralized debt obligations, complex structured credits that can contain tranches of other structured credit deals, […]
Read more...A reader question got me to work through a back of the envelope calculation of what the SIV rescue plan, the so-called Master Enhanced Liquidity Conduit, would buy for its chief beneficiary, Citigroup. What I came up with gives cause for pause. It’s one thing to know in a general way that a proposal is […]
Read more...Marguerite Yourcenar’s Memoirs of Hadrian contains a stunning line: “I begin to discern the profile of my death.” The news of this evening has given me the perhaps mistaken impression that the end game of this credit crunch is similarly coming into view. Before, it seemed an open question as to what measures would be […]
Read more...Courtesy Calculated Risk, here is a MarkIt chart showing the latest tumble in the ABX (the chart in question is of the HE-BBB-07-2, a proxy for recent vintage BBB- subprimes): This plunge is troublingly parallel the past falls in February and July. Here is a quote from a Wall Street Journal article in July, the […]
Read more...The prospective SIV bailout plan, officially called the Master Liquidity Enhancement Conduit (MLEC) or informally called The Entity, retreated a bit from the public eye yesterday as the perps, whoops, organizers, seemed to be focusing their energies on firming up arrangements so that they can announce progress and have the appearance of momentum. (if you […]
Read more...An excellent post by Angel Ubide, an economist for Tudor Investments as well as for the Center for European Policy Studies, at Vox EU (you need to click through to Telos to read the full text). He starts with a simple premise, that this crisis can’t be about liquidity because aggressive injections of liquidity haven’t […]
Read more...As we have discussed, the traditional and still most attractive way to deal with troubled borrowers, including mortgage borrowers, is to ascertain whether it is more attractive to modify the terms of the loan or foreclose. Quite often if the borrower has reasonably steady income, a workout is a better solution. However, in our Brave […]
Read more...I’ve been having so much with SIVs that I am late to this piece from Bloomberg. It describes how Paulson will face a great deal of criticism from his G-7 peers this week due to his stance on regulation (more accurately, the desirability of a lack thereof) and the dollar. The writer believes Paulson is […]
Read more...The recent record highs in stock market were presupposed on the notion that the credit crisis of the summer was now history and that growth would resume its former course. Investors chose to regard large writeoffs at UBS, Citigroup, Merrill, and Deutsche Bank as signs that they were all putting the problems behind them. That […]
Read more...An article in eFinance Directory, citing the FBI 2006 Mortgage Fraud Report, reports that mortgage fraud played a role in as many as 70% of early payment defaults. The type of fraud wasn’t specified, but one assumes it was mainly overstatement of income. As the story notes: A study of more than 3 million mortgage […]
Read more...The Journal has redeemed itself a bit with a page one story, “The United States of Subprime.,” in which it seeks to understand what type of people would up as subprime borrowers. A caveat: I’m always leery of judging the quality of analytical work if I haven’t looked at the underlying methodology. One issue confounding […]
Read more...Joseph Stiglitz, in a comment in the Guardian (hat tip Mark Thoma), tells us he would rather have been wrong about the housing bubble. And he anticipates that, since direct and indirect spending related to housing accounted for two-thirds to three-quarters of US economic expansion since the end of the tech boom, the unwinding of […]
Read more...By way of background, an Extreme Measure is a recommendation to take a radical and, upon examination, unworkable approach to a pressing problem. We’ve only been on this beat recently, but so far, the Extreme Measures we’ve seen have had to do with the US housing crisis or the credit contraction. The first was from […]
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