Cross-posted from http://www.presimetrics.com/blog/ By Mike Kimel of Presimetrics This post is going to be a bit different, at least for me. Generally I like to write things that are more data oriented, and that involve some pictures and figures. But this is a little story that happened to my wife and me, only a few […]
Read more...RealtyTrac, as reported on Housing Wire, gave a gloomy update on the US housing market. RealtyTrac does granular collection of data on foreclosures, capturing every filing. One of the shortcomings of this approach is that processes vary by state (as in some state require more court filings over the course of a foreclosure than others). […]
Read more...A well placed Washington contact wrote: I was in a discussion with the staff at one of the Federal agencies involved in housing to ask them about the new policies on strategic defaults. It became clear almost immediately that regulators obviously have no idea how to identify strategic defaulters except by asking big banks. They […]
Read more...One has to be cautious in invoking cultural stereotypes. However, when the subject of defaults or mortgage mods comes up here and in other forums, almost inevitably some readers will start off on a bit of a rant: “I pay my mortgage/rent, why should these people get a break?” And these discussions often take a […]
Read more...The Wall Street Journal today has solid piece of reporting on how banks are avoiding writing down commercial real estate loans. And the article even invoked “extend and pretend” near the top of the piece. The Journal also provides a critical factoid: regulators unwittingly enabled this practice. I had been wondering why we hadn’t seen […]
Read more...A reader with considerable experience in real estate who has asked to remain anonymous pointed to an article in Housing Wire describing some possible unintended consequences of the Administration’s push for more short sales: This past week, I received an email from one of my dearest friends that has really stuck with me. It illuminates […]
Read more...While the headline focuses on her outlook for housing, Whitney is bearish across the board, seeing little reason to cheer on the employment and bank earnings fronts. She sees a 10% fall in housing prices in the next six months (!), which will hit bank earnings (Whitney has argued since at least early 2009 that […]
Read more...This blog warned a few weeks ago of a coming campaign by the officialdom against so-called “strategic defaulters”. It has arrived even sooner than we expected. We warned that this development was the inevitable result of financial firms, taking an increasingly predatory posture toward their customers. Borrowers are responding in kind, by taking a cold-blooded […]
Read more...By Mike Konczal, a former financial engineer and fellow with the Roosevelt Institute who writes at New Deal 2.0 A year ago a week from today I discussed the financial innovation that wasn’t. It was a look at Lewis Ranieri, the creator of the mortgage backed security, as well as one of the minds behind […]
Read more...One of the dead bodies in plain sight that generally goes unremarked upon in polite company is the buyers’ strike in the securitization market. Issuance of private label (as in non-government guaranteed) residential mortgage backed securities has collapsed, with government entities insuring 96.5% of all home mortgages in the first quarter 2010. The commercial mortgage […]
Read more...Charts courtesy Andrew Horowitz. Notice how the late 1980s-early 1990s housing downturn, which was considered to be serious at the time, pales in comparison in contrast to our current slump. And in that downturn, it took fifteen quarters for prices to bottom.
Read more...Readers of this blog may know that we broke story in our book ECONNED of the role that the hedge fund Magnetar played in increasing the severity of the subprime bubble through its program of hybrid CDOs (meaning composed of actual tranches of subprime bonds plus credit default swaps). To recap: Magnetar embarked on an […]
Read more...I’m not quite certain how to calibrate journalism American Banker style, but I found this article, “Challenges to Foreclosure Docs Reach a Fever Pitch,” (sadly, subscription only, e-mailed by Chris Whalen), to be both interesting and more than a tad disingenuous. The spin starts with the headline, it’s a doozy. The “challenge to foreclosure documents” […]
Read more...The Brits appear to understand the danger of having an outside and uncontrolled banking sector relative to the size of their economy. So if it’s too hard to attack TBTF directly, the next best is to put (or be able to put) hard constraints on banking. This proposed authority for the Bank of England is […]
Read more...The New York Times reports on an intriguing study: Columbia University assistant business professor, Stephan Meier…. found that borrowers with poor math skills were three times more likely than others to go into foreclosure. Mr. Meier conceded that the results were not shocking, but he said he had not expected the connection between math skills […]
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