Several alert readers caught the Financial Times story, “Wall St banks seek to ring-fence bad assets,” and I held off from posting on the assumption it would merit coverage in the Wall Street Journal or the New York Times. Not so. The Financial Times article says that investment banks are seeking to put dodgy assets […]
Read more...On the one hand, I should be flattered that Brad DeLong took the time and trouble to take two posts (here and here) to respond to my comments on an earlier post of his, in which I objected to his and Summers’ notion of having the government fund either directly or indirectly, the purchase of […]
Read more...A Financial Times story reports that the Financial Stability Forum, which is tasked with finding remedies to our credit crisis, is circulating a paper which suggests some radical possible solutions. The fact that these measures are under consideration says that the authorities do not expect a resolution any time soon. One paragraph caught my eye: […]
Read more...Avinash D. Persaud gave a speech to the Committee of European Securities Regulators (posted at Willem Buiter’s blog) that argues that banks’ risk models and regulation based on market based pricing were bound to fail. That’s a very bold claim, yet Persaud appears to have the goods. If any of you have worked with models, […]
Read more...A reader sent me the link to this week’s Institutional Risk Analystics, and I am posting despite the fact that at points it undermines its own credibility. Most of the article, “Novated Bears & the Education of Ben Bernanke,” is a combination of trader gossip about the fall of Bear Stearns, some of it quite […]
Read more...Bill Gross argues that tougher regulation of investment banks, particularly regarding leverage, will lower their profits. While his forecast is intuitively correct, it will also increase the propensity of professionals in non-capital-using businesses, like M&A amd fund management, to form boutiques or operate in pure-play firms subject to less oversight. From Bloomberg: Goldman Sachs Group […]
Read more...Yes, I know we are not even done with the first quarter, but I am highly confident this whopper will withstand the test of time. From the New York Times: Mr. Paulson is clearly taking a stand against critics who support even stricter regulations, while rejecting any notion that the crisis in financial markets or […]
Read more...Why is it that the media feels compelled to take pronouncements from government officials more or less at face value? By now, they ought to know that if someone from the Bush Administration is moving his lips, odds are it’s a lie. Today’s object lesson is the so-called financial services regulatory reform plan announced by […]
Read more...The US is acting more and more like a banana republic with every passing day. One of the characteristics of a banana republic is that it puts out flattering-to-the-point-of-being-unreliable data about its economy and important institutions. Alert reader James Bianco pinged us about a new SEC release today and Floyd Norris of the New York […]
Read more...Before I put my buzz saw to work, let me make a few things clear. First, I have a good deal of respect for Robert Shiller’s work. Anyone who was willing to tell Greenspan in 1996 that he ought to be worried about asset bubbles has a good deal of foresight. Second, I am a […]
Read more...A reader sent this note by AIG’s Bernard Connolly, which is surprisingly blunt for a sell-side analyst: In saying today that the housing price correction must be allowed to proceed, Paulson is in effect calling for a massively weaker dollar – athough he probably does not realise it. Of course it is true, as Paulson […]
Read more...Martin Wolf of the Financial Times sees the Bear Stearns bailout as the high water mark of free market capitalist ideology. Staunch advocates of a light regulation, both the Fed and Hank Paulson, moved aggressively forward with a government sponsored salvage operation. Wolf says greater regulation is inevitable: the public simply (and correctly) will not […]
Read more...Andrew Ross Sorkin in the New York Times provides some important background on how the Bear deal wound up being retraded today. But he does his readers and the greater public a huge disservice by telling the story so as to flatter Wall Street. According to Sorkin, the $2 price for Bear was the Fed’s […]
Read more...The comments in the Financial Times by Yoshimi Watanabe, Japan’s financial services minister, are extraordinary. He ventured to give the US advice on its credit crunch based on Japan’s experience during its post-bubble-years banking crisis. And it’s not pretty. Why are these remarks so unusual? Consider: Most countries don’t give other countries advice on how […]
Read more...There are two useful but frustrating articles addressing different aspects of the extraordinary measures implemented by the Federal Reserve in the last ten days, in particular the bailout of Bear Stearns. A New York Times article, “What Created This Monster,” is very much worth reading despite its shortcomings. It attempts to say how we got […]
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