Yearly Archives: 2008

Chinese Electrical Output Fell 9.6% in November (Plus Possible False Positive on Shipping Front)

Although talk of deep OPEC production cuts and hopes for an auto industry rescue have given oil prices a boost, the fundamentals are far from out of the woods. Indeed, as OPEC bravely claimed demand and supply really weren’t so far out of whack (was that at effort to set the stage for a less-than-hoped […]

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Banks Supposedly Will Cut Consumer Credit Card Lines by $931 Billion if Reforms Mandated

There is a rather amusing story at the Financial Times tonight, “Credit card reforms ‘to cost banks billions’”. Let’s look at the particulars. The story is based on a study by law firm Morrison & Forester which concluded that banks will suffer a world of hurt if they are forced to give up practices like […]

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Links 12/14/08

Cracks in the crust Economist, On Iceland. The Man Who Is Unwinding Lehman Brothers New York Times. A profile of Harvey Miller, which mentions in passing that he think the firm could have been put into bankruptcy in a way that would have been less disruptive to the markets. How high-risk mortgages crept north Globe […]

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Investors May Be Too Optimistic About Consumer Recovery

The most accurate banking analyst, Meredith Whitney, has warned that banks are likely to continue to restrict consumer credit, particularly if reforms to end “gotcha” practices, like universal default and double-cycle billing, are implemented. Credit card issuers shifted their model away from one where they earned a reasonable return from all types of customers – […]

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Yet More Retention Bonuses at AIG

Over a weekend, word leaked out that AIG is paying yet more retention bonuses. This move is making a complete and utter sham of the supposed punitive elements of the rescue. But clearly, there was not enough of an adverse reaction to the earlier announcements of retention bonuses to deter the giant insurer. A few […]

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Links 12/13/08

Waste coffee grounds offer new source of biodiesel fuel EureakAlert It’s Bank Failure Friday again Interest Rate Roundup The Stock Market Still Hopes for a Bailout Jim Surowiecki, New Yorker (hat tip reader Scott) Big 3 Get Lifeline in Bank Rescue Aid Wall Street Journal. Provides useful detail on where the TARP funds stand and […]

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"Deflation has become inevitable"

I’m reproducing the bulk of a very good (and possibly final) post by London Banker, a former central banker and securities regulator, that takes issue with some of the conventional wisdom surrounding the efforts to remedy our economic crisis via liberal applications of monetary easing and fiscal stimulus. I happen in general to be sympathetic […]

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Scarcity of Debtor-in-Possession Financing Forcing Earlier Bankruptcy Filings

In more normal times, when a company faces the risk of bankruptcy but believes it has a viable business, it files for Chapter 11 and works out a deal with its various creditors. To keep functioning (and paying its lawyers) while the court proceedings are in motion, large companies have resorted to debtor-in-possession financing. The […]

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Links 12/12/08

Elephants ‘die earlier in zoos‘ BBC Lost seal rescued from field BBC Energy-Generating Floors to Power Tokyo Subways Inhabitat Somali Pirates to acquire Illinois Senate Seat Rolfe Winkler (hat tip Felix Salmon) Focus switches to ‘Lady Macbeth’ of Illinois Independent Bernie Madoff: The Indictment Clusterstock UK consumers adopt Depression-era mentality, Asda head says FT Alphaville […]

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