I’ve been waiting for estimates of what the impact of a pandemic would be. Although the swine flu has now been elevated by the WHO to pandemic status, it’s far too early to say what that might mean in costs, both lives and dollar costs.
Moody’s has made a first cut. From the Financial Times:
Moody’s estimated in a research note on Tuesday that the global macroeconomic impact of a mild flu pandemic could cost 1.4m lives and reduce global gross domestic product by 0.8 per cent or $330bn.
Mild is 1.4 million? Let’s hope that assessment is too dire.
We may know a bit more tomorrow:
With little information available publicly from the WHO, the agency said it was convening an expert panel on Wednesday to provide more information on the virology, epidemiology and treatment experience with the virus.
If you are a health news junkie, you can visit HealthMap (hat tip reader Dwight), Skippy recommends Biosurveillance for “unfiltered” information. They also have a blog. And the BBC has an interactive flu map (hat tip reader Steve)