Fall of the roaming empire: telecom groups face revenue loss as travel collapses FT. That’s a damn shame.
Epidemiologist says COVID-19 may be more infectious than thought Harvard Gazette.
Kinins and Cytokines in COVID-19: A Comprehensive Pathophysiological Approach Preprints 2020 (Paul Jonker-Hoffren).
* * *
Testing Is Our Way Out Paul Romer, WSJ
* * *
Would-be coronavirus drugs are cheap to make Science. Can’t have that.
* * *
Lessons Learned From Running ICUs in Disaster Zones Pro Publica (nvl).
Running medical systems in under-resourced environments is completely different. In some sense it would be better to have the health minister for Rwanda, Agnes Binagwaho, come show us what to do, because they were very intentional about capacity. I was never allowed to walk into a room and examine a patient unless I had gloves on. If we didn’t have gloves that day, we didn’t have a clinic. They completely understood that the real risk was to get your providers sick, because they’re actually the system. The machines and drugs and everything we do, they enable all of those things to work. As soon as you take out your providers, then you end up in a death spiral. You and your mortality jumps from 1% to 10%.
If you’ve got 200 ventilators, but you only have enough personal protective equipment to keep enough providers well to take care of 100 ventilators, then that’s your capacity. If you exceed it, you end up with these horrific rates of sickness. And then you end up with morale problems, and the system works less efficiently because those teams are now broken up.
The rule No. 1 in a resource-constrained system is keep your providers healthy.
Given our Third World country status, does it makes sense for us to learn from Rwanda?
Coronavirus: Body-bag stocks ‘in danger of running out’ BBC. Maybe we can recycle the garbage bags nurses are wearing?
* * *
* * *
Jerome H Powell: Covid-19 and the economy Bank of International Settlements
* * *
Throwback to the Volcker Recession The Reformed Broker
* * *
Exclusive: Documents seen by Guardian show tech firms using information to build ‘Covid-19 datastore’ Guardian (Maryann: “Our old friend Palantir”).
* * *
What does this economist think of epidemiologists? Marginal Revolution. “How smart are they? What are their average GRE scores?”
* * *
The ‘Red Dawn’ Emails: 8 Key Exchanges on the Faltering Response to the Coronavirus NYT. Congratulations to the Times editor who wrote the headline, which artfully yokes the RussiaGate panic with a pandemic. Real lizard backbrain stuff.
Why it’s too early to start giving out “immunity passports” Technology Review (dk).
* * *
A natural experiment for #COVID19 response: The UK and Ireland. Thread:
I don't understand the British media. I really, really don't.
Basic things: Ireland and the UK started this pandemic with roughly the same number of ICU beds (6.5 per 100,000 for Ireland, 6.6 per 100,000 in the UK).
If anything, the UK was slightly better off. pic.twitter.com/owhHMUZccU
— Elaine Doyle (@laineydoyle) April 12, 2020
Let me also rehoist (from March 26) a second natural experiment: Kentucky v. Tennessee:
Look at the difference between how the Kentucky Governor and Tennessee Governor handled the Coronavirus
And look at the results of those policies pic.twitter.com/U3T4WMuF5a
— Matt Jones (@KySportsRadio) March 21, 2020
* * *
Some heroic assumptions, like a vaccine for health care workers by October 2020:
Morgan Stanley: “While we understand the desire for optimism, we also caution that the US outbreak is far from over. Recovering from this acute period in the outbreak is just the beginning and not the end. We believe the path to re-opening the economy is going to be long.” pic.twitter.com/dnrcTS89SV
— Robin Wigglesworth (@RobinWigg) April 12, 2020
Joe Biden: My Plan to Safely Reopen America NYT. Shorter: “Nothing would fundamentally change.”
Is the European Union failing the viability tests? Ekathimerini
‘It’s going to be a long night’ – How Members of Labour’s Senior Management Team Campaigned to Lose Novara Media. “Far from a few ‘bad apples’ the messages expose systematic and sustained efforts to undermine the leadership by multiple figures in director-level positions.”
‘Hyper-factional’ Labour staff sabotaged efforts at dealing with antisemitism: Report Middle East Eye. More:
In 2019 half of all Labour antisemitism complaints came from one person. pic.twitter.com/sxaWP4QSbO
— TrueAnon Pod (@TrueAnonPod) April 12, 2020
Dear me. This is a simple question of fact. If true, a single source seems a rather tenuous driver for a full-blown moral panic by the UK’s political class and intelligence services.
Untold relevance of MR Bangur in the season of Covid-19 The Telegraph (J-LS). The doctrine of frustration. Sounds legit.
The Belt and Road After COVID-19 The Diplomat
In coronavirus-gripped Washington, rhetoric rises but anti-China bills stall South China Morning Post
African nationals ‘mistreated, evicted’ in China over coronavirus Al Jazeera (Re Silc).
How they handle in-person voting in the First World. Thread:
??♀️>11 million have voted thus far (26.7% of the population) for just the early election (this also is an impressive indicator of their social capital).
— Hannah Nam MD (@HannahNamMD) April 13, 2020
Virginia governor makes Election Day a holiday and expands early voting CNN. Election Day should be a national holiday. It’s ridiculous that it isn’t.
What We Know About the Joe Biden Sexual Assault Allegation New York Magazine. Leaving aside the merits, the #MeToo, #BeleiveWomen crowd has certainly gone strangely silent on this topic.
Into the Maw (book review) The Nation. From last week. “Faced with a shattering economic breakdown, Obama and his key advisers largely sought to restore the wobbly pre-crisis status quo, inaugurating a decade of economic stagnation and dislocation that culminated in the election of Donald Trump.”
Our Famously Free Press
This Absolute Bullshit Would Not Be Possible Without Propaganda Caitlin Johnstone, Medium
MBA students demand tuition fee refunds over campus closures FT. Let them use Zoom like the rest of us proles. Builds character.
What’s Behind Falling Productivity: The Census May Hold the Answer Economics 21. “Steven Ruggles and Diana Magnuson show that a series of badly managed private contracts made the 2000 and 2010 census far more costly than 20th-century efforts.”
The Plan Is to Save Capital and Let the People Die In These Times
Canonical grain weights as a key to ancient systems of weights and measures Jon Bosak, Academia.edu. From 2013, but still fun. Tally stick mavens?
Happy Easter, albeit delayed:
Happy Easter to you all. I found the Downing Street eggs; they’d put them all in one basket…
— Larry the Cat (@Number10cat) April 12, 2020
Antidote du jour (via):
See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.