In that light, America’s 20 percent positivity rate is disquieting. The U.S. did almost 25 times as many tests on April 15 as on March 15, yet both the daily positive rate and the overall positive rate went up in that month. If the U.S. were a jar of 330 million jelly beans, then over the course of the outbreak, the health-care system has reached in with a bigger and bigger scoop. But every day, 20 percent of the beans it pulls out are positive for COVID-19. If the outbreak were indeed under control, then we would expect more testing—that is, a larger scoop—to yield a smaller and smaller proportion of positives. So far, that hasn’t happened….
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Coronavirus Vaccine Prospects Derek Lowe, “In the Pipeline” Science. Grab a cup of coffee. This is absolutely a must-read to understand the vaccine situation.
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Covid-19 in Thailand: Are we missing something? William Aldis, Bangkok Post. A “pooled specimen” testing strategy. Could be important.
How to test everyone for the coronavirus MIT Technology Review (Re Silc). A deceptive headline; nobody actually knows.
Smaller Hospitals In Chicago Can Have 2-Week Waits For COVID-19 Test Results CBS Chicago. Just because the numbers make nice curves….
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COVID-19 in forensic medicine unit personnel: Observation from Thailand Journal of Forensic and Legal Medicine. Transmission via biological samples and corpses.
The Coronavirus Pandemic Peaks in New York’s Hospitals The New Yorker
Lockdown is wrong for Africa Mail & Guardian
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It’s the End of the World Economy as We Know It Neil Irwin, NYT
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Coronavirus drives barrage of new lobbying activity Open Secrets
If I wash my hands in Pepsi, will that kill the virus?
Pretty good pic.twitter.com/NlTgwArOSt
— k-dubs (hero) (@DubsHero) April 16, 2020
Maybe so, considering what it does to my stomach.
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— CNN Politics (@CNNPolitics) April 17, 2020
“Now go and make me do it.”
Going by class and cultural markers like clothing, this is not the same crowd as the gun-humpers in Michigan:
Americans are literally begging to die for capitalism pic.twitter.com/jTMXKJUD9A
— A Very Good Jamie ? (@jamie_agust) April 16, 2020
Naturally they want to work. They have families to take care of, and the political class took care of the squillionaires and stiffed the working class, as usual.
DOJ lets companies skip paying penalties during pandemic The Hill. Stoller: “We wouldn’t want convicted fraudsters to have a liquidity crisis.”
The WHO Shouldn’t Be a Plaything for Great Powers The Atlantic
Inclined to Putrefaction LRB. From February, still germane. On the Florentine response to the Plague in 1629:
The Sanità arranged the delivery of food, wine and firewood to the homes of the quarantined (30,452 of them). Each quarantined person received a daily allowance of two loaves of bread and half a boccale (around a pint) of wine. On Sundays, Mondays and Thursdays, they were given meat. On Tuesdays, they got a sausage seasoned with pepper, fennel and rosemary. On Wednesdays, Fridays and Saturdays, rice and cheese were delivered; on Friday, a salad of sweet and bitter herbs. The Sanità spent an enormous amount of money on food because they thought that the diet of the poor made them especially vulnerable to infection, but not everyone thought it was a good idea. Rondinelli recorded that some elite Florentines worried that quarantine ‘would give [the poor] the opportunity to be lazy and lose the desire to work, having for forty days been provided abundantly for all their needs’.
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Fumbling for the exit strategy The Economist
Our Post-Pandemic Future Patrick Lawrence, Consortium News
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Remedies and ameliorations:
Washington Journal Primetime on COVID-19 (video) C-SPAN. Viewer questions for Fauci.
Full text of Wuhan’s notification on revising numbers of confirmed COVID-19 cases, deaths Xinhua/. “The total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Wuhan as of the end of April 16 was revised up by 325 to 50,333, and the number of fatalities up by 1,290 to 3,869.” Oopsie.
Coronavirus: China’s economy shrank for the first time since 1976 in first quarter South China Morning Post
US alerted Israel, NATO to disease outbreak in China in November — report Times of Israel. Following hard upon a New York Times story based on — and I know this will surprise you — anonymous sources in the intelligence community.
Why does India have so few Covid-19 cases and deaths? Quartz (J-LS).
Covid-19 effectively suppressed but efforts focused on eradicating virus in nursing homes RTE. Remember that Ireland v. the UK is a natural experiment.
Tunnels and Lights Stethoscopre on Rome (DG: “Many facts in one place. Here interpretations of possible drugs, drug trials, and treatments seem to be on the mark). From the post: “Italy has taken initial baby steps toward reopening the economy, allowing a bizarre list of productive activities: dry cleaners, forestry, computer factories, and stores selling books, stationery, or baby clothes. But several regions where the fires of covid-19 are still burning, such as Lombardy, have declined the invitation.”
The World’s Biggest Plane Joins Fight Against COVID-19 Popular Mechanics (Re Silc).
Russia is about to face its biggest test yet in Syria Robert Fisk, Independent
It looks like Putin conned the FBI into the ‘Russiagate’ probe Rich Lowry, New York Post
New Details Hint at Risk of Russian Misinformation in Dossier NYT. The last paragraph:
Complicating matters, however, is that Mr. Steele was trying to understand what Russian intelligence services were doing with regard to the Trump campaign. He would seemingly need his sources to be in contact with people with connections to those services or the Kremlin who were in a position to know what was going on.
Fair enough. But the stupidest possible outcome of RussiaGate would be that the Obama administration got suckered by Russian chickenfeed in the Steele Report, so I guess we should assume that’s what happened.
Corporate Media Cover for US Mob Threats Against Venezuela Venezuelanalysis
An Open Letter to the New New Left From the Old New Left By Former Leaders of The Students For a Democratic Society, The Nation. As the story propagates, Corey Robin comments:
The author of this tweet is a former spokesman for the National Security Council. https://t.co/sPvqyXcmvl
— corey robin (@CoreyRobin) April 16, 2020
What Happens If A Presidential Nominee Can No Longer Run For Office? FiveThirtyEight (J-LS).
The Democratic Establishment Suddenly Loves Bernie Sanders Sidney Ember, NYT
The Pandemic Is Just Fine for Health Insurers John Authers, Bloomberg
Why this pandemic is an indictment of socialized medicine Marc Thiessen, WaPo
Imperial Collapse Watch
U.S. Decline: Three Strikes and You’re Out? Counterpunch
The Army Is Trying To Replace the Bradley Fighting Vehicle. Again. Popular Mechanics. Failed state.
‘This Many Strikes Says That Something Fundamentally Is Changing in the Country‘ (interview) Mike Elk, FAIR. And literally the only political entity capable of recognizing and acting on this change, having been paralyzed, has just had its brain-case pierced by the Democrat Establishment’s ovipositor, preparatory to having its internal organs dissolved into a mush-filled egg sac.
Antidote du jour (via):
See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.